Dare I say a major #AVCT rerate is (at last!) at hand?

Genuinely company-defining news could be landing over the coming weeks.

The question that is shortly to be answered:

Is @avacta's preCISION platform working in man?

If it is, the superheavyweights of Pharma move in.

1/8
I have said all I need to, on #AVCT's preCISION platform, here ⬇️:

Since that note, a third cohort has been launched in the AVA6000 trial, with a further considerable dose increase (+33%).

My view is that they stop here. The specificity of the...

2/8

aimchaos.files.wordpress.com/2022/04/avacta…
...substrate to FAP is so high that the concentration ratio of active doxorubicin in the tumour : healthy tissue, will negate the requirement for increase in dose size. [My view!]

Enough dox is already becoming active in the tumour micro-environment, at the current...

3/8
...160 mg/m2 dose, to already substantially improve efficacy over standard dox.

The crux: if the trial replicates the data of the animal models, #AVCT could be sitting on the most targeted oncology platform in the world.

And - as mgmt itself has suggested - there's...

4/8
...reason to suspect the animal data could actually be surpassed, in man.

#AVCT's preCISION prodrugs are intended to target "FAP-high" solid tumors.

Solid tumours comprise ~90% of cancer cases - and most solid tumours are FAP-high.

A v. large majority of the ~$70bn pa...

5/8
...chemo market is thus up for grabs, for preCISION prodrugs. What's more, that portion of the market they can target, can be multiplied, as explained in the last bullet point ⬇️

Existing holders know that the past 12+ months of trialing AVA6000 has already dramatically...

6/8
...reduced the clinical risk for #AVCT.

The P1a trial is not blinded. There's no placebo. If things hadn't been going to plan, the trial would have been stopped long ago.

The magnitude of what @avacta may be sitting on will be realized soon enough.

Eyes of Big Pharma...

7/8
...are on #AVCT, of that I am 100% confident.

The simplicity of the platform is extraordinary.

"Supercharged chemo-without-the-side-effects"

Compared to ADCs:

- Cheaper drugs
- Faster development route
- Lower clinical development risk
- Improved targeting?
- HUGE MOAT

8/8

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More from @MylesMcNulty

Jul 8
Whilst many scream, "avoid loss-making growth stocks like the plague!" (e.g. #AVCT!)...

@Merck ponders a $40bn T/O of oncology-focussed biotech, @SeagenGlobal.

In 2021, Seagen made a loss of $0.67bn, on revs of $1.57bn.

'22 rev forecasts: ~$1.7bn.

1/6

reuters.com/markets/deals/…
$SGEN specializes in antibody-drug conjugates ('ADC') - a relatively novel form of targeted cancer treatment.

@avacta's targeted cancer treatment platform, preCISION, has the real potential of generating pro-chemotherapies that are MORE targeted than ADCs, and thus...

2/6
...also potentially capable of delivering a more potent drug payload.

#AVCT will be announcing the results of the first preCISION prodrug P1 trial (AVA6000) in the next few months.

Success will mean the platform could be used to modify many other existing chemotherapies.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Mar 3
Two weeks from entry into @BushveldMin_Ltd, and the SP (and vanadium market!) is really heating up.

Russia accounts for almost 20% of global V production. With sanctions potentially about to bite, panic buying is evidently already occurring.

The #BMN investment case ⬇️

1/25
@BushveldMin_Ltd controls one of the largest and highest grade vanadium resource bases globally, at 549 million tonnes.

It controls:

- 3 major, high-grade deposits, one of which is a working open-pit mine;

- 2 processing plants;

- an electrolyte plant (in construction).

2/25
#BMN's operations are located on the Bushveld Complex in the North of South Africa.

Prior to 2017, the Co was a pre-revenue mineral explorer. Its flagship asset was the Mokopane vanadium deposit.

A 2016 prefeasibility study suggested a 30-year mine-life, producing...

3/25
Read 25 tweets
Feb 18
Rare earth elements continue to fly largely under the radar of the investment community.

The reason being that they're used in traction motors of EVs, and not the ever-discussed batteries.

The key REE, Neodymium, is now up 376% since 1 July '20.

Valuation check on #MKA ⬇️

1/8
@MkangoResources is due to complete its bankable feasibility studies for each of its rare earths mine in Malawi (Songwe Hill), and its separation plant in Poland, by the end of next month.

Details have been scarce, but #MKA has indicated the intended output of the...

2/8
...mine and separation plant - which is more than double that of the output suggested in the 2015 pre-feasibility study.

Presumably with a little guidance from #MKA mgmt, @MkangoResources' broker provided some very basic headline numbers of how the integrated operations...

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Feb 16
@PetraDiamondsIR #PDL is now at 96p / £186m and threatening to break out. It's in touching distance of the post-restructuring, intra-day high of 97.5p, with blue skies above.

Interim results are due out next Wednesday.

A basic summary of the investment case ⬇️

1/25
#PDL is a diamond miner, with interests in 4 mines:

3 underground mines in South Africa (all 74% owned), namely: Cullinan, Finsch, and Koffiefontein;

1 open pit mine (75% owned) in Tanzania, named Williamson.

The mines were all acquired from @DeBeers between 2007-11.

2/25
The mines had all suffered from underinvestment when owned by @DeBeers. As such, between 2006 and 2019, #PDL invested approximately $1.6bn in improving the operational efficiencies of the mines and in extending their lives.

Much of this came in the form of debt...

3/25
Read 25 tweets
Jan 28
The contrasting opinions on @avacta's valuation on FinTwit is fascinating.

Those who think #AVCT is overvalued, just can't seem to get their heads around the possibility that a £250m British biotech could be on the cusp of revolutionizing cancer treatment.

The bull case⬇️

1/25
#AVCT has four platform technologies:

1) Affimer Diagnostics
2) Affimer Therapeutics
3) pre CISION
4) TMAC (a combo of 2+3)

The purpose of this thread is to focus on and explain pre CISION and its potential value. This is the greatest near-term value driver for @avacta.

2/25
pre CISION - what is it? The most basic of explanations would be:

"Chemotherapy with dramatically reduced side-effects."

Chemotherapies are highly effective treatments for cancer, and have been used for decades. The issue with them, however, is that their effects are...

3/25
Read 26 tweets
Jan 17
There are so many ways to arrive at the conclusion that #AVCT's valuation is nonsensical.

Another, beyond the below, is to look at #APTA - owner of a first generation antibody mimetic platform, Aptamers - that recently listed on AIM.

On Friday it surpassed £100m mkt cap. 1/14
For each of its past two FYs, #APTA has generated no more than £1m in revenue.

The Affimer platform is a next generation antibody mimetic platform. It was "engineered to overcome many of the problems associated with aptamers or with antibodies". ⬇️

2/14

avacta.com/2014-06-20/
To my knowledge, #APTA (or its partners) has not put in place manufacturing capacity of 30+ million per month to sell propreitary, Aptamer-based SARS-CoV-2 LFTs.

#AVCT has.

So @avacta not only possesses a next gen., superior antibody mimetic platform; but from it has...

3/14
Read 14 tweets

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