This will not be easily observed due to opsec but those who prowl the FIRMS data may be able to trace the general flow of the battle. Intercepts may also provide us with some insight. @wartranslated may prove to be our Oracle of Delphi for this
Everyone pray for success. If this is the big one, Ukraine needs the win. Pray that it comes with a minimum of loss to the Ukrainians who will need every son and daughter to rebuild their nation. It's going to be bloody and horrible and only look like victory in comparison to
what defeat looks like. For most of us on twitter the war is sanitized, canned and packaged, for the troops on the ground its blood, fire, and filth. Remember that, and remember that the war is also here. We know the Russian trolls will double down to try and shift the narrative
and that Russia herself will be looking for ways to make the Ukrainians falter perhaps via false flag attacks to try and drum up western opposition to a new stage of high intensity fighting. There are way too many western politicians and media sources willing to carry that water
them so its up to us to stop it. #WeAreNAFO and Ukrainian supporters everywhere rally to the flag and prep those memes. Give the vatniks no rest and no space to gain traction. Double down on donations to @MriyaAid, @georgian_legion, @UkraineAidOps or whatever your charities of
choice are. Listen in to @MriyaReport to stay abreast of the latest news. Reach out to your politicians and tell them to keep supporting Ukraine. @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, @RepFrenchHill back @POTUS as Ukraine fights to liberate her lands. You have my support and vote.
Welcome to the fog of war. You can hear the guns firing and see distant flashes on the horizon but very little else. Ukraine obviously needs OPSEC and to help conduct successful operations and Russia lies. FIRMS data can provide some insights but that is only the vaguest of
picutures. Your own commander is in the dark and can't raise anyone on the radio. There is little fuel, little fresh food, everyone is scared shitless and the men just want to go home except there is a giant ass river behind you and no bridges across it. This is the current
picture. This is the information situation facing many Russian invaders this morning. It is going to compel commanders to do something very stupid: transmit. Whomever finds themselves in charge of a part of the battle is going to have to transmit and that makes them vulnerable to
and #WeAreNAFO now has a prime-time anchor for our media ops with the arrival of @JRewinski because expansion is non-negotiable. All kidding aside, it really is something profound when private citizens all
over the world now have the ability to affect the battlefield via private donations of money, goods and services and individual acts to counter dis-info and propaganda online are successful enough to gain the recognition of a nation fighting for its survival.
What are the NAFO articles? As far as I know they have never been written down but here is my take on them. They are officially unofficial so do with them as you will
1. NAFO exists to help @georgian_legion specifically and #Ukraine generally stop the #GenocideOfUkrainians Other charities in combination are OK as well so long as it's about Ukraine's ultimate victory over evil.
2. See a #Fella follow a Fella 3. Acceptable religions, creeds, politics, pronouns, orientations, sexes, genders and nationalities are Any/All 4. Fella down, Fellas up no Fella left behind.
So in a couple hours I have to go rent a trailer to make a trip to the dump and pick up a couple of roll-around shelving units. We are moving the dinning area into the second living room just off the kitchen and adding more storage to the storage room. Later today its going to
be time for a Travellers game. Such things are routine for the middle class in a first world country. I live better than any Roman emperor by almost any metric. While much of thew world does not have, and likely will never have the level of comfort enjoyed by the American middle
class, overall human access to food, medicine, information, entertainment and security has been going up for the last 200 years and even faster since the end of WWII. The planet by all objective measures is in a "golden age". Yet there is still so much farther to go. Most of the
Yesterday Russia disconnected Europe's
largest NPP from the grid while it was running hot. They bet a massive meltdown against the chance that some corrupt Russian had not looted some critical part that would keep the backup power from coming online to provide cooling. This was
easily the most insane nuclear stunt of my lifetime. Tens, perhaps hundreds of millions of people and two continents were put under the gun for a stunt. The whole situation there just screams gross negligence on a planetary scale. From the fighting to seize the plant to using it
as a giant ammo dump where any accident could unleash radioactive clouds to deliberately shelling their own positions to generate a false flag operation to yesterdays cooling power stunt all against a backdrop of Russia refusing to let plant workers do their jobs unmolested or
Ok todays essay is half cautionary tale and half lesson on what it takes to do maneuver warfare on a large game changing scale inside of a high intensity conflict against a peer/near peer foe. The sentiment in this tweet is rather common.
Building an army and supporting military that can launch corps sized attacks and fight them deep across hundreds/thousands of square kilometers is an effort of years. The most basic building block the individual soldier needs weeks to become a soldier, weeks more of education
to reach a minimal level of skill at a military specialty. Months more to integrate as part of a crew or team. Then that crew/team needs months working with others at the small unit level before that small unit can start working as a slightly larger unit so on and so forth.