The Risk Appetite Index from September’s #IMI fell from -13% in August to -16%, indicating growing risk aversion. Expectations of near-term US equity market returns remain deeply in negative territory. Read more: ow.ly/ZAMW50KI1jH
The biggest perceived drags on the US equity market are the global macroeconomic environment and central bank policy, followed by the political environment.
Special survey questions asked in September reveal that a recession over the next year is anticipated by 79% of investors, though only one-in-ten expect the recession to be deep. At the same time, investors see inflation remaining elevated and a concern to the FOMC.
Energy stocks displaced healthcare as the most favored sector in Sept, with IT/tech also seeing positive sentiment. All other sectors are suffering from negative sentiment for the near-term outlook, with consumer discretionary being the least favored, followed by real estate.

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More from @SPGlobalPMI

Sep 1
The #Taiwan Manufacturing #PMI dropped to 42.7 in August, indicative of a sharp deterioration in operating conditions that was the worst recorded since May 2020 (1/5)
ow.ly/3kBb50Kxr6v
Taking a closer look at the Taiwan Manufacturing PMI data for August shows a deepening downturn in #production. Excluding the initial pandemic lockdowns in 2020, the drop in output was the worst seen since the #GFC in 2009 (2/5)
Firms cut output further as global #demand conditions weakened notably, with new #export orders dropping at one of the fastest rates on record (3/5)
Read 5 tweets
Jul 1
Poland’s manufacturing PMI dropped to 44.4 in June, a level only previously seen during the global financial crisis and the pandemic… (1/4)
…manufacturers are reporting that the war in Ukraine and high inflation is eroding purchasing power, but the loss of momentum in June was startling…(2/4)
…although, despite remaining elevated, there are signs that supply-chain inflation is dissipating…(3/4)
Read 4 tweets
Jul 1
🇰🇿 The latest Tengri Partners Kazakhstan Manufacturing #PMI suggests that the sector is in recovery mode. The PMI hit its highest level since the survey began in March 2019, boosted by a record rise in new orders (1/3)
Firms were also successful in their efforts to hire additional staff, with employment up for the first time in a year (2/3)
The positivity at the end of Q2 was seen despite ongoing logistical difficulties for firms due to the impact of sanctions on Russia and associated disruption to trade routes (3/3)
Read 4 tweets
Jun 8
The latest #PMI data revealed a mix of sluggish global growth and soaring business costs in May, with input price inflation hitting the second-highest since the commodity price surge of 2008-09 (1/7)
The UK and US are reporting the steepest cost increases of the world’s major economies, while Japan and Brazil also saw unprecedented rates (2/7)
While price rises have been led by manufacturing so far, recent data have shown signs of inflation levelling off due to peaking supply delays and cooling of demand (3/7)
Read 7 tweets
Jun 7
🌐 The latest S&P Global Sector #PMI showed the #COVID recovery propelling consumer services further in May. However, weak demand and inflationary pressures restricted growth across production industries.
Global Tourism & Recreation firms continued on their post-COVID rebound in May and raised employment at the fastest pace on record (since Oct ‘09).
The Global Banking sector endured a difficult May, with new business falling at a pace unseen outside of the initial wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 9, 2021
US equity investor risk appetite improved for a second month running in November, rising to the highest since April. The Risk Appetite Index rose from +7% in October to +36% in November. Read more: ihsmark.it/pR4t50GJr7M
November saw investors’ expectations of market support from central bank and fiscal policy lift higher. The macro environment is also seen as more positive for equities, with the US and global economies set to provide the biggest contributions since July.
The Q3 results so far have prompted 32% of investors to ramp up their expectations of Q4 earnings, according to the latest IMI poll, outnumbering the 10% that have revised down their expectations by three-to-one.
Read 5 tweets

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