Several people asked if I could share the slides from our #TippingPoints conference session. So I thought I'd put them up here too.

Thanks to all who took part. I look forward to working together to grow our understanding of social movements can accelerate tipping points🧵1/n
The importance of building powerful social movements with carefully targeted campaign goals came up repeatedly throughout the conference.... 2/n

Movements are a crucial to achieve social change, as it is not enough to just have evidence, or even to communicate it with compelling stories, you also need to build counter-power that can force change in the existing system 3/n
Analysis by @IsakStoddard et al of why we have failed to even bend the emissions curve (despite over 30yrs of scientific warnings!) compellingly reveals the role of the power of vested interests in blocking action.

We need movements to overcome this! 4/n
annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.114…
One way to see this power in action in the comms sector is to identify the discourses of climate delay that are prevalent in much of the mainstream debate on #climate.

A paper by @lamb_wf et al helps us identify such discourses:
cambridge.org/core/journals/…

5/n
h/t @leolinne
The latest @IPCC_CH WG3 report on mitigation is clear that we have *high confidence* that "collective action as part of social or lifestyle movements underpins system change"! 6/n
Recent reviews are clear that social movements play a key role:

Thiri et al - How social movements contribute to staying within the global carbon budget sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Temper et al- Movements shaping climate futures
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108… 7/n
Why are we talking about this at a #TippingPoints conference?

Because social movements are necessary to access the deeper leverage points necessary for tipping social systems (check out Donella Meadows!)
drbalcom.pbworks.com/w/file/fetch/3…

8/n h/t @futuresforensic
There's a neat example of how this model can be applied in the @IPPR & @RunnymedeTrust report on making change happen by @Laurie_L_L et al -

ippr.org/research/publi… 9/n
But what are social movements? It's a concept that's quite hard to define- a useful way to think of it as an ecosystem of change with lots of niches to fill!

Thanks @NEON_UK for introducing me to this way of thinking! I really recommend this course:
neweconomyorganisers.org/training/movem… 10/n
We only need to look to history to see the key role social movements have played!

But we must be wise to the distortion in the stories that are now told - these were hard won struggles in the face of fierce opposition. Those we remember as heroes were once seen as villains 11/n
We must also reject misleading narratives of a 'great-man' view of history. These movements were won by millions of ordinary people self-organising and taking action in many different ways, we can all help lead the way! 12/n
In summary, social movements can tend to be identified as possessing these characteristics.

Key questions for research right now include:
- How to grow such movements?
- How can they be resourced?
- How can there be better collaboration?
- What are key strategic demands?

/End

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More from @ThierryAaron

Aug 29
I’m thrilled to announce @StuartBCapstick @EmilyCoxSussex @berglund_oscar @steviedubyu, @JKSteinberger & my new paper in @NatureClimate on why scientists should consider participating in civil disobedience to promote climate action.

Here's a short🧵1/15
nature.com/articles/s4155…
We all know #climate action is incredibly urgent, the @IPCC_CH reports tell us we have a 'rapidly closing window to secure a liveable & sustainable future for all’

Scientists have been issuing such warnings for years, but it's not leading to the necessary political action 2/15 Image
We also know that a key reason insufficient action is being taken are power structures within society, particularly the influence of vested interests seeking to maintain the status quo.

As reviewed in this paper by @IsakStoddard @KevinClimate et al: 3/15
annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.114…
Read 15 tweets
Aug 19
So, Jamie Dimon the CEO of @jpmorgan thinks "it is not against #climate [change] for America to boost more oil & gas".

Which could not be more wrong!

Here's a🧵on some science he (& his colleagues in the banking sector) may want to try to pass through their cranium... 1/20
@jpmorgan Firstly, #climate action is incredibly urgent, the @IPCC_CH reports tell us we have a 'rapidly closing window to secure a livable & sustainable future for all!' 2/20
It is "Now or never" if we are to have a chance of meeting the 1.5C climate target agreed at Paris.

As Prof. Jim Skea, Co-Chair of @IPCC_CH WG3 explains, we need "deep emissions reductions across all sectors". Starting NOW! 3/20

theguardian.com/environment/20…
Read 21 tweets
Jul 12
I'm in the UK & it's hot🥵🌡️

We typically talk of global average temp rise - but shifts in the mean can have big impacts on the distribution of extremes as this @NASAClimate video shows.

Here's a short🧵on what this means for future extremes... 1/n

@NASAClimate As the average temperature increases we see a corresponding shift in the extremes, so that previously rare heat extremes become common.

These extremes are temperatures to which we are not well adapted and can stress our infrastructure to breaking point. 2/n
One way to class the severity of an extreme is by statistics of the probability of occurrence.

A 2 sigma event is experienced ~2% of the time (or 2% of the surface in any year) - or on average once per 50yrs.

A 3 sigma event has 0.1% chance or 1 in every thousand years! 3/n
Read 12 tweets
May 1
I was recently invited to debate with a representative of @bp_plc about what the net-zero target means for UK energy policy.

Here's a🧵based on my slides about why the Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy's letter is scientifically illiterate 1/n
First things first. I was asked to participate in this debate, as I'd been arrested taking part in this protest with @ScientistsX at @beisgovuk. Our demand was simple & science led, that the UK end all NEW oil and gas exploration.

Read more here: 2/n
theguardian.com/environment/20…
As @antonioguterres, the @UN Secretary General, made plain at the launch of the @IPCC_CH WG1 report we are now at #CodeRed for humanity.

This is (as the UK parliament declared) a #ClimateEmergency 3/n
Read 23 tweets
Jan 11
Social science has a huge amount to teach us about the causes, impacts of & solutions to the climate crisis, yet is often badly neglected.

Here's a short🧵highlighting some key papers I've recently benefit from reading - what papers would you add? 📖

"What would it mean for sociology to make climate change a core disciplinary concern?" asks @EricKlinenberg et al.

annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.114…
The sociological imagination can help us answer "why climate change is happening, how we are being impacted, why we have failed to successfully respond so far, and how we might be able to effectively do so." says Kari Norgaard

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Read 12 tweets
Nov 1, 2021
So, @BorisJohnson has warned that unless leaders at #COP26 address the #ClimateEmergency, we risk the collapse of civilization. Is this really a possibility?

Unfortunately, yes, many leading climate scientists are indeed warning of collapse 1/n 🧵

independent.co.uk/climate-change…
@BorisJohnson The following quotes are from some of the world's most distinguished climate and earth-system scientists warning of the risks we now face due to decades of inaction… 2/n
@BorisJohnson “...virtually all of us are now convinced that global warming poses a clear & present danger to civilization”

Prof. Lonnie Thompson, former Director of @ByrdPolar 3/n

link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Read 13 tweets

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