Movements are a crucial to achieve social change, as it is not enough to just have evidence, or even to communicate it with compelling stories, you also need to build counter-power that can force change in the existing system 3/n
Analysis by @IsakStoddard et al of why we have failed to even bend the emissions curve (despite over 30yrs of scientific warnings!) compellingly reveals the role of the power of vested interests in blocking action.
One way to see this power in action in the comms sector is to identify the discourses of climate delay that are prevalent in much of the mainstream debate on #climate.
The latest @IPCC_CH WG3 report on mitigation is clear that we have *high confidence* that "collective action as part of social or lifestyle movements underpins system change"! 6/n
Recent reviews are clear that social movements play a key role:
Why are we talking about this at a #TippingPoints conference?
Because social movements are necessary to access the deeper leverage points necessary for tipping social systems (check out Donella Meadows!) drbalcom.pbworks.com/w/file/fetch/3…
But what are social movements? It's a concept that's quite hard to define- a useful way to think of it as an ecosystem of change with lots of niches to fill!
We only need to look to history to see the key role social movements have played!
But we must be wise to the distortion in the stories that are now told - these were hard won struggles in the face of fierce opposition. Those we remember as heroes were once seen as villains 11/n
We must also reject misleading narratives of a 'great-man' view of history. These movements were won by millions of ordinary people self-organising and taking action in many different ways, we can all help lead the way! 12/n
In summary, social movements can tend to be identified as possessing these characteristics.
Key questions for research right now include:
- How to grow such movements?
- How can they be resourced?
- How can there be better collaboration?
- What are key strategic demands?
/End
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We all know #climate action is incredibly urgent, the @IPCC_CH reports tell us we have a 'rapidly closing window to secure a liveable & sustainable future for all’
Scientists have been issuing such warnings for years, but it's not leading to the necessary political action 2/15
We also know that a key reason insufficient action is being taken are power structures within society, particularly the influence of vested interests seeking to maintain the status quo.
So, Jamie Dimon the CEO of @jpmorgan thinks "it is not against #climate [change] for America to boost more oil & gas".
Which could not be more wrong!
Here's a🧵on some science he (& his colleagues in the banking sector) may want to try to pass through their cranium... 1/20
@jpmorgan Firstly, #climate action is incredibly urgent, the @IPCC_CH reports tell us we have a 'rapidly closing window to secure a livable & sustainable future for all!' 2/20
It is "Now or never" if we are to have a chance of meeting the 1.5C climate target agreed at Paris.
As Prof. Jim Skea, Co-Chair of @IPCC_CH WG3 explains, we need "deep emissions reductions across all sectors". Starting NOW! 3/20
We typically talk of global average temp rise - but shifts in the mean can have big impacts on the distribution of extremes as this @NASAClimate video shows.
Here's a short🧵on what this means for future extremes... 1/n
@NASAClimate As the average temperature increases we see a corresponding shift in the extremes, so that previously rare heat extremes become common.
These extremes are temperatures to which we are not well adapted and can stress our infrastructure to breaking point. 2/n
One way to class the severity of an extreme is by statistics of the probability of occurrence.
A 2 sigma event is experienced ~2% of the time (or 2% of the surface in any year) - or on average once per 50yrs.
A 3 sigma event has 0.1% chance or 1 in every thousand years! 3/n
First things first. I was asked to participate in this debate, as I'd been arrested taking part in this protest with @ScientistsX at @beisgovuk. Our demand was simple & science led, that the UK end all NEW oil and gas exploration.
The sociological imagination can help us answer "why climate change is happening, how we are being impacted, why we have failed to successfully respond so far, and how we might be able to effectively do so." says Kari Norgaard
So, @BorisJohnson has warned that unless leaders at #COP26 address the #ClimateEmergency, we risk the collapse of civilization. Is this really a possibility?
Unfortunately, yes, many leading climate scientists are indeed warning of collapse 1/n 🧵
@BorisJohnson The following quotes are from some of the world's most distinguished climate and earth-system scientists warning of the risks we now face due to decades of inaction… 2/n
@BorisJohnson “...virtually all of us are now convinced that global warming poses a clear & present danger to civilization”
Prof. Lonnie Thompson, former Director of @ByrdPolar 3/n