Typhoon Muifa lashes eastern China, forcing 1.6 million people from homes sc.mp/o406?utm_sourc… via @scmpnews
@SCMPNews 24 hour satellite loop.
12 hour satellite closer view of Shanghai landfall.
Satellite loop for the next 12 hours. Muifa continues to travel up the coast - and as a result continues to be fed by the warm sea waters. All though down-graded to a tropical storm it is a colossal one, and its main threat is through its rain.
And the 12 hours till now:

After two landfalls, Muifa has delivered well over 36 hours of torrential rains and massive waves along nearly 2000 KMs of Chinese coastline - and is about to make landfall for a third time in Dalian due west of North Korea.
The first image here shows the roughly 1200 km path taken by #Muifa over the last 36 hours.

Typhoon #INFA last year in July caused catastrophic damage on a similar path.

The second image shows the next super typhoon, Nanmadol, forecast tolandfall in Japan on September 18th.

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More from @althecat

Sep 17
#Japan #ExtremeWeather Update Super Typhoon #Nanmadol

This storm has been forecast for a fortnight.

Its impact on Japan is likely to be severe as it will arrive as a formidable typhoon and is forecast to be over Southern Japan for several hours.
The animation above shows 24 hours till 3pm CEST yesterday - at the point that #Nanmadol became a super typhoon.

This animation shows the typhoon's subsequent development till 9am CEST today.
Here's a closeup of the pinwheel like formation which is typical of West Pacific Super Typhoons.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 16
A new EU diplomatic participant in the North Ethiopian conflict peace effort, @LaranjinhaEU1 "Managing Director for Africa" at the @eu_eeas - the EU's foreign directorate has arrived in Addis.

All three major IC parties to this effort the US/UN/EU are now present in Addis.
Here she is with the EU delegation to the AU. She appears to be in Addis to coordinate the EU's liason with the efforts to end this horrible war.
And it appears her counterpart EU Envoy to the HoA @EUSR_Weber is also in Addis. Albeit not in that party which included @MikeHammerUSA who visited the Memorial Wall of Heroes.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 16
"Secure the Continent" Panel Show >> youtube.com/c/NewsCentralT…

- @muleta_ledet (@PrimeMediaPM & Ethiopia Shall Continue )
- @meazaG_ (@OmnaTigray )
- @JordTAnderson (S&P Risk Analyst)

Tigray Rebels Finally Agree to AU-Led Peace Talks >>
Whilst it is clear that the broadcaster is doing its best, unfortunately its not a particularly helpful discussion, in part because of the absence of reliable information about the status of the parties and their positions.
In particular:
- the status of the TPLF's letter on Sunday 11th in which they offered talks
- the assertion by the host that the Govt is demanding that the "TPLF lay down its arms" before talks can begin.
- This 2nd claim r.e. the Govt appears to now have widespread currency.
Read 14 tweets
Sep 16
Three typhoons over the Western Pacific, #Muifa, #Nanmadol and #Merbok.

#Muifa may be the most damaging & costly typhoon in history and is about to landfall for a third time. #Nanmadol is threatening Japan. #Merbok has remained at sea.

The thread linked above contains satellite imagery of the last 48 hours of #Muifa's path up China's east coast. #Merbok (below) is now an extra-tropical Cyclone and could cause problems on the Canadian and Alaskan coasts.
Like the last two Atlantic Hurricanes, and Super Typhoon #Hinnamnor which impacted Japan and Korea earlier in September all of these late season storms have been long-lived. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_H…

But these last two are far and away the most damaging of the season so far.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 15
"I think we've heard the parties state clearly their commitment to a dialogue without condition"

A question from yesterday's UN Noon Briefing on progress in the Ethiopia-Tigray Peace talks. From @EdithLedererAP to @UN_Spokesperson Image
@EdithLedererAP @UN_Spokesperson . @StephDujarric is perhaps unaware of @reda_getachew's recent walk back of the "without conditions" part of this formulation, in which he said the restoration of services and unfettered humanitarian conditions are now conditions again.
Perhaps a call from the UN to get a clarification of what the actual position of the TPLF is on this question is in order, noting that the day after the TPLF issued its "no conditions" statement - it launched new offensives.
Read 6 tweets
Sep 15
It seemed extraordinary that there was no mention of Ethiopia in the @StateDept briefings on either the 13th or 14th of September (this past Tuesday and Wednesday) so I took a closer look. On the 13th there was an attempted question.

Direct link to video:
Its possible that the reporter didn't feel confident to re-aslk - these events can be a bit intimidating. There wasn't even an attempted question in transcript for the 14th. Transcript >> state.gov/briefings/depa…

So no Q on Ethiopia Tigray on either the 13th or 14th of Sept.
The absence of Qs in the US would perhaps not ordinarily be remarkable.

But in the context here - active US involvement by Envoy @MikeHammerUSA in alleged mediation in Djibouti which led to Sunday's "ceasefire" statement which now appears to be a mirage?

@NYTimes also asleep.
Read 10 tweets

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