Some things that stand out we will start with the bad and move to the good. 1. Although convicted of murder and initially sentenced to the Gulag (special regime) in the Urals he was able to make it to a better prison where he could have a phone, internet and get married. Good
for him, bad for the system as it implies bribes. You don't give a violent felon with an escape history cushy gigs for free anywhere, let alone in a mafia state that runs on corruption. 2. He was recruited into a penal battalion where discipline was "severe", shoot you in the
face for being surly severe. That might make you hop to it when you think you are being watched or what you do might get back to the hand holding the pistol but its otherwise not real motivating. 3. None of the prisoners trusted each other. That may be a survival strategy in
prison, its suicide in combat where buddies are life. 4. They were given 1 weeks training and allowed on the firing range one time, then sent into combat. He says to collect bodies, but whatever people were shooting its combat. 5. Many of his unit of 17 (body duty) were already
gone by night two, nearly 50% attrition in 24 hours! Now we start moving to the good. 6. He defected to Ukraine. A voluntary deserter who wants to fight for the Free Russian Legion is a defector. 7. He has family in Ukraine and Russia never bothered to check. 8. Somehow a felon
in prison for 23 years found inside himself the moral capital to act, not just for his own enrichment, but for something greater than himself. 9. If a felon can, why can't rank and file Russians who have known softer lives with stronger contacts to others do so? His ability to
stand up for what is right is actually an indictment of the Russian system. This has some seriously bad portents for Russia especially if you combine the 50%+ loss rate inside of 48 hours. As Russia's manpower quality and numbers decline recovering anything from the invasion of
Ukraine becomes ever more remote. No matter how good the tech should have been, no matter the logistics situation if the troops are not well lead, well trained motivated moral actors the effort is doomed. However this brings up an area of trepidation on the Ukrainian side.
apparently Ukraine may be getting some modernized T-55's
If you want to use a tank that cannot fight day and night (no thermal) and can likely not kill any generation of T-80 or 90 and is unlikely to be able to deal with most T-72's and pay 25% more manning costs to do so there is likely a serious problem with tank availability unless
they are being offered without being asked for and are intended for TDF units. But if Ukraine sees a frontline role for a modified version of a modified version of a WWII tank we need to talk about it. It might be time to really push for Leo 2's or Abrams. I know Europe has the
infrastructure to support both at the depot level. Now as to Germany letting big cats loose across the Ukrainian steppes again... I can see the sensitivity. But American (made) tanks battling fascism in Ukraine... Well they have done it before. It would not be an easy
transition. Even making short cuts like staying with 3 tank platoons and Soviet-ish employment doctrines it would still be a grueling process to even build one battalion up. If we are going to do it, we need to get started now if we want Ukraine to have any by spring.
The logistics of supporting a couple of armored brigades of Abrams is going to be resource intensive and strain and already straining logistics network. Abrams may be painted green but the fuel economy gives environmentalist types absolute fits.
I know my political leaders @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton and @RepFrenchHill have voted to support Ukraine and this would fall right into that staunch support. My thoughts on this are complex but if you have any tank related questions catch me later on @MriyaReport the 24/7/365
twitter space devoted to bringing us experts, Ukrainian voices and using those to drive donations to @MriyaAid. So quick question to @Teoyaomiquu or anyone else who might know they habits of Ukrainian AFV crewmen. Why are they not wearing NOMEX? Is it simply a fact that it won't
matter if the ammo gets hit (vs penetrating hits that don't get the ammo), availability, no knowledge why? Here is an example of what I am talking about ebay.com/itm/1647826253…
It tightens around the wrists, ankles, and neck, has non-sparking zippers and buttons and the back has a flap concealing a drag handle to allow evacuation. It might only reduce serious injury and deaths by .01% but every life matters. War is a math problem after all.
So the long awaited "Russian Mobilization" has arrived. No, its not partial, that is poppycock. Its phased which is what I predicted. So lets dig into what it means shall we? There are 3 big take aways and then a bunch of ancillaries.
First, and the most beneficial to the Russian Army is the stop loss effect. Kontracti can no longer quit, contracts no longer expire and thousands of refuseniks now face prison if they do not submit. From a manpower perspective this is the peach, but there is a poison pit in the
center. This will not be good for morale. Telling a soldier he can't leave when he already wants to, when morale is at a low ebb and battlefield success seems impossible and that his fate by remaining is to join his comrades on sunflower duty is going to wreck cohesion. Putin's
More moral rot and a lack of moral capital. The list of horrors coming out of the liberated areas continues to grow. A man was found hands bound and castrated, many local villages had torture chambers set up including purpose made torture devices indicating malice-aforethought.
Russia continues to strike at life sustaining infrastructure on the eve of the seasons changing. Besides letting the Ukrainians know why they can never surrender there is another problem. Rot is contagious and destroys morale. @LanguageIearner is reporting that Russia is now
using NKVD-ish barrier troops, red on red incidents as units fight over loot and I saw a report earlier that Russia is also using helicopters to hunt deserters. The Russian army hasn't collapsed yet, but the rot is eating away at it like cancer. Each deserter, trooper willing
My whole essay nuked because of a miss-key.... I was going to explore the idea of proxy war and if it fits the Ukraine war, it doesn't. recreating that work is less than a thrilling prospect. So, you get a condensed version.
NATO and western support for Ukraine is perfectly inline with Article 51 of the UN Charter. The war itself is a direct result of Putin's belief that only powers able to impose their will on other countries are truly sovereign which is most decidedly not in line with the UN
Charter. Further, Russia's conduct of the war is not in line with the Laws of Armed Conflict and would under the standards set at Nuremburg and Tokyo constitute crimes against peace and violate the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. So in short,
Good morning everyone, today's essay is by request. @DrBrainMD wants my thoughts on the, "amazing and organized" way Russia keeps her stocks of ammunition.
As most of you know, I was an enlisted tanker and I have a B.S. degree from UCA. I am not a professional military officer like @SpencerGuard or an academic like @ford_nik both of whom have also commented on what I am about to write on. In fact many people have remarked on todays
The off odor you keeping smelling, that is the world today. It could be the stink of the mass graves of those tortured and killed in Izyum, public corruption and media malfeasance, the unwashed orcs hiding in their fox holes, burnt out cities or the hopes of Russia's ally Armenia
Regardless of the particular source of the order, its all stench coming from a Russia that is rotting from the inside out. Sadly, the law of unintended consequences seems to have fallen on Armenia. The frenemies Erdogan and Putin are barreling towards complete rupture... guess
who doesn't care? Erdogan; he has watched Ukraine not just resist, but maul the bear just as hard or harder than the bear mauled them. What Azerbaijan is doing in Armenia is only possible because Erdogan gave his tacit approval. Armenia of course appealed to her ally Russia
There are two ways to tell a truth, words and actions. Actions always speak louder because it is harder for actions to lie. Recently, Russia has been telegraphing that she has lost the war. Not set backs, but lost with no hope of winning.