With ๐บ๐ฆ advancing all over NE Kherson, and steadily closing in on Nova Khakova with the dam over the Dnipro river. Questions arise where could ๐ท๐บ retreating forces try to make a stand. We have been monitoring this area and have seen an increase in activity around the dam.
As you can see ๐ท๐บ have established a whole ring of defensive works, which they began building end of July. This makes lead to believe that they were allready getting ready for an eventual retreat & defense of the area. As can be seen the at the entrance road to the dam itself.
Just outside Vesele near the gas station on the E58 highway the town on the N side of the dam on the a large trench area can be seen as well as multiple vehicle dugin positions, these pos. are linked to pos. to the easteren side of town. This is probably the last line of defense
From Vesele in the direction of Beryslav two defensive positions has been setup by ๐ท๐บ forces. On the place where the main T-0403 HWY splits there is a fortified positions set up,also on the exit toward Nova Khakova along the HWY defensive pos. have been setup on the N side.
When we look west, ๐ท๐บ defenses have been setup around Sylova Balka, on the S side of the road from Beryslav, aswell as on the point where the P-47 turns into Vesele. This is a very important chocking point because on the W water largely protects entry.
On the W side of Vesele, the railwayline comes in from Snihurivka, the area here is divided by an inlet from Dnipro river, along the crossing points fortified positions have been setup to counter any attack coming from the area W/NW of Kherson city.
As the ๐ท๐บ forces are digging in, reserves must be kept somewhere in/near the town of Vesele,where is unclear but we are keeping an eye on developments here ๐ฐ ๐ aswell as on the attemps to bring in supplies. This ๐งต is a collaboration between @DefMon3@ArtisanalAPT@COUPSURE.
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i have been monitoring the EW units in Kursk oblast and mainly the border region with extreme interest the last 6-9 months, drone defense exsisted of a number of Pole-21 gnss jamming stations placed strategically in border towns, complemented with Zithel-R331 mobile jamming
Units, which would not only jam but also record used frequencies by Ukrainian forces in these area's. These pole-21 systems would be mainly placed in cellphone or other comms masts, spaced about 5 km. apart. Thus creating a sort of overlapping wall of jamming.
In addition to this a number listening posts was established along the border area of the sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. All of these russian EW measures where under the responsability of the 16th EW brigade, which are based in Kursk.
Credible sources within the Ukrainian army and russian sources, are reporting the displacement of units of the 76th Guards Air Assault Division from the Kreminna/Svatove area to the harbor city of Berdyansk. Indications are at least 2 regiments have moved.
The 234th Guards Air Assault and 237th Guards Air Assault Regiments , who had been stationed between Kreminna and Svatove, with a command centre located in Milutavka, which is near the city of Svatove.
234th regiment is know for its involvement in the Bucha massacre both regiments suffered heavy losses in the war in Ukraine and have been replenished with Mobiks who had short training in camps just across the border in Russia (Rovenki) and near Nhyznoteple in Luhansk
1/3 Recently large numbers of tanks in the Pervomaiske area have been destroyed, also video's came out showing large numbers of assault forces (So-called SHO units) who surrender to ๐บ๐ฆ forces.Another indication something was up in this area, the increased nr. of ๐บ๐ฆ drone attacks
2/3 This could indicate part of the ๐ท๐บ defensive lines around this part of the front might be weaker around Pervomais'ke then other parts, most likely also because units from this part were moved to support the 3rd army on the south flank of Bakhmut.
3/3 Today we learned that ๐ท๐บ forces blew up the dam in the town of Karlivka, this dam not only holds the water in the Karlovska reservoir, but also a bridge on the E50 road toward Pervomais'ke, which is a main supply route for ๐บ๐ฆ forces in the area.
1/3 Reliable sources on the ground near Soledar are reporting ๐ท๐บ sapper units possible from 107th Seperate Guards Engineer-Sapper battalion, are activly mining roads leading out of Soledar. Several crossroads and fields have been mined with 100's of AT-62M mines.
2/3 This in it self can mean different things, either Russian & Wagner forces are preparing a retreat to more favourable defensive positions outside Soledar, or Russian forces are setting up obstacles to prevent the retreat of the Wagner forces stationed in Soledar.
3/3 In case of retreat of all forces from Soledar, the possibility is that they would fall back all the way to the defensive positions build a few months ago west of Popasna on the border between Luhansk & Donetsk. Time will tell when Soledar is liberated by ๐บ๐ฆ. #SlavaUkraรฏni
1/6 Elements of the 10th Tank regiment part of the newly formed 3rd ๐ท๐บ army corps, arrived around 13th of may in the area of the town of Odradivka (48.494300,38.014800). They had previously been deployed near Avdiivka, were they were involved a multiple failed frontal assaults
2/6 In which they suffered serious losses including most of their tanks and IFV's. They had been regrouping near the town of Lysychansk and seems to have been re-plenished with new mobik recruits from all over Russia but mostly recruits from Buryatia.
3/6 Their arrival in the area south of Bakhmut is likely an attempt to stop Ukrainian advances in this area.The unit took up positions along the T0513 road between Odradivka and Optyne. Almost immediatly after their arrival shelling and drone attacks by ๐บ๐ฆ forces took their toll.
1/15 I have been working on unraveling the ๐ท๐บ logistics networks in the Luhansk area since the beginning of jan. When different geolocated videos showed convoy's of armoured vehicles moving towards the frontlines in Luhansk & Donetsk
2/15 These convoy's peaked my interest, and since the ๐ท๐บ logistics machine heavily relies on railway, the most obvious place to start is at the railway hubs it still can use in Luhansk. There are only a handfull which suits the need of the ๐ท๐บ forces & are outside of HIMARS reach
3/15 in S Luhansk the railway route between the towns of Dovzhansk(Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky, has 4 stops that would be out of HIMARS reach, but only two of those are connected with the highways into Luhansk city and onto the frontlines.These are Dovzhansk (Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky