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Oct 8 13 tweets 5 min read
Thread on #KerchBridge damages and observations Image
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Multiple Sections of the road collasped Image
More road collapses Image
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Additional 2x sections of road collapses and potential structural damage to the rail section of the bridge Image
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Total fuel between all cars is between 1,207,500-1,725,500 gallons of fuel.

At least 2x-5x cars involved in the fire for a total of 69,000-172,500 gallons of fuel.

I used a Standard US DOT-111 Tank car which has a maximum capacity of 34,500 gallons Image
Better Composition of the Train. @OSINTEng @sentdefender @Osinttechnical @RALee85 @GuinieZoo_Intel @IntelDoge Better fuel estimates are the following 655,500-800,000 gallons of fuel with 10x covered hoppers and potentially 2x Gondolas Image
Section of road on the arch damaged Image
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Russian State Media is now beginning the narrative that a truck bomb (VBIED) exploded on the Crimean Bridge.

I would expect this narrative to possibly change, as we have seen Russia’s story lines in the past.

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More from @OSINTschizo

Oct 7
Thread 🧵 Extraordinary Claims require extraordinary evidence.
Allegedly according to LB.ua sources, as a result of a kamikaze drone attack on Shaykovka military airfield 2x Tu-22M3 bombers were destroyed.
#RussiaUkraineWar
lb.ua/society/2022/1…
Governor Vladyslav Shapsha is purported to have commented on an explosion IVO the airfield stating "the apparatus of the explosion arrived from the border"
According to LB.ua Russian TG channels stated the explosion occurred when an UAV was over the runway. The drone took off from the territory of Ukraine and flew unhindered 200 km from the border. Russian air defense proved to be completely powerless.
Read 8 tweets
Sep 30
Lyman is virtually encircled according to Pro Ukrainian and Pro Russian sources
#Lyman #UkraineRussiaWar #UkrainianCounteroffensive
Russian correspondent Semyon Pegov says that Ukrainian forces have broken through in the Stavky area of the Lyman pocket, cutting off the Drobysheve-Torske road (and the BARS-13 unit’s main egress route)

Read 5 tweets
Sep 29
The following countries have urged their citizens to leave 🇷🇺 will update if other governments make similar statements.
#UkraineRussiaWar #AnnexationofUkraine
#NAFO

Poland 🇵🇱
Estonia 🇪🇪
Latvia 🇱🇻
Italy 🇮🇹
United States 🇺🇲
Bulgaria 🇧🇬
Romania 🇷🇴
Taiwan 🇹🇼
Canada 🇨🇦
Portugal 🇵🇹
The following countries have also joined in urging their citizens to leave Russia.

Spain 🇪🇸
Australia 🇦🇺
Also add Lithuania 🇱🇹to the list
Read 5 tweets
Sep 29
Mine thread 🧵
The Main Intelligence Directorate of the UA Ministry of Defense assesses the threat of Russia's use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine as
"very high"

This was reported by the representative of the GUR Vadim Skibitsky:
"The strikes will likely target areas along the front lines where there are a large number of personnel and equipment, as well as important command centers and critical infrastructure. To stop them, we need not only anti-aircraft, but also anti-missile systems"
What is most striking in the assessment is the probability of "very high". For those with little or no experience let me break this down for you and then take a look at the rest of the assessment.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 28
Thread on interesting coincidence in regards to #NordStream2. As Malcom Nance says "coincidence takes alot of planning" I will not lay blame on any nation as there is much unknowns ATT. As another saying goes a lie travels halfway around the world before truth puts on its shoes.
2/ Not even 12 hours after the explosions of NS2, officials from 🇩🇰 and 🇵🇱 gathered in Szczecin Poland to inaugurate the #BalticPipe. Why is this important?
the Baltic Pipe will bring Natural Gas from 🇳🇴 to 🇩🇰 and then 🇵🇱 where is can be distributed across the 🇪🇺.
3/ The Baltic Pipe was first conceived after the 2014 annexation of Crimea. Poland saw NS2 as a danger to Europe and worked diligently to come up with an alternative to prevent energy blackmail by Russia, along with creating competition on the market to lower costs.
Read 9 tweets

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