Never thought I'd see one of those there.
OK, so what is it? How 'laden' is this with explosives?
Will it explode and damage the pipelines?
Very short thread.
🧵⬇️
Well, this is a SeaFox mine clearance one shot underwater vehicle.
There are 2 variants, an 'I' round and a 'C' round. The I round is for inspection only and carries no explosives. It is a reusable vehicle used to identify before prosecuting a target with a C round.
The C round is the one shot system. Slight differences to the I round, the main one being 'laden' with explosives. This comes as a 1.5kg high explosive shaped charge.
Initial thoughts from those images is that this is the C round, based purely on the colour. Clarification needed
Will it detonate next to these pipelines? 2 parts to this answer, firstly if it did, what damage would it do? The orientation of the round is pretty much parallel, thus the shaped charge would not penetrate the concrete covering the pipeline let alone fracture the pipeline.
Can it detonate is the second part of this, simple answer - no.
There is no self detonation method. To detonate various waypoints have to be met. Loss of communications via the fibre optic link essentially stops the round.
It still leaves 1.5kg of high explosives on the seabed. There is always a risk with any explosives but the risk of detonation is extremely low that it isn't a consideration.
This SeaFox round was removed in 2015.
I wrote about one of the UK's minecountermeasures vessels that use SeaFox here.
This is good news, because of the sanctions imposed to end international companies ties with Russian industry we will see more of this. Sanctions are limiting support to any company operating in Russia. themoscowtimes.com/2022/06/14/rus…
Siemens may not be able to provide the support needed. Will have to look into this further!
With thanks to @HelloMrBond for picking this up.
Canadian sanctions are they key factor for a Siemens gas compressor, recently overhauled in Montreal, to be held there.
The EU commission and Canadian government are in contact with each other.
I find it hard that this hasn't been picked up as a big concern re: energy security for EU countries weaning themselves off Ru gas supplies.
The outage is expected to last 3 weeks, the steps taken to bring the plant back online will go something like: 🧵
A very brief run down, a lot of detail is within here. Unfortunately I'm approaching it from a UK perspective, appreciate any US people with OSHA experience hopping on.
A brief look at the 1936 Montreux convention. This convention is to “regulate transit and navigation in the Straits of the Dardanelles, the Sea. of Marmora and the Bosphorus.”
Currently, Turkey has closed the Bosphorus and Dardanelles straits to warships citing article 19 of the convention. Of note, Turkey is not belligerent/involved in the conflict.
Article 19 is interesting as it also explains how the passage of NATO naval assets could occur.
NATO, nor any country not at war, are allowed free passage as per the usual restrictions mentioned in articles 10 – 18. However, these usual restrictions are detailed and do limit any warships entering the Black Sea.