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Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
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Oct 15 • 7 tweets • 2 min read


Russian troops are arriving in the Belarussian city of #Gomel that is 20km from the border of Ukraine.

Russian offensive towards #Kyiv in last february started from the same direction.


Yesterdays posts and light analysis about the belarussian troop buildup.
My personal guess is that this is not a bluff. They know that they are losing the war so their last option is to try & go for Kyiv.

Risky & desperate measures but its a matter of survival for both dictators.


This is what comes to my mind too about this.
Putin is reportedly leading the war more & more even on operational level.

If they cross the border, its entirely possible that Putin has bypassed his generals again & decided to just go for it.

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More from @TallbarFIN

Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 16
Iran is preparing to send the first patch of Fateh-110 & Zolfaghar ballistic missile systems to Russia

They have a range of 300km-700km, so Russia will surely fill its depleted ballistic missile stocks with iranian missiles

Western powers should really reconsider the ATACMS now ImageImage
There are also rumors that Iran is selling more powerful drones to Russia.

Iranian heavy kamikaze drone Kian (Arash) has a range of nearly 1000km and it has larger warhead than the current iranian/russian drones operating in Ukraine have. ImageImage
Russia has also ordered Iranian Arash 2 drones.

They are very similar to turkish now famous Bayraktar drones that Ukraine has used efficiently in this war. Image
Read 4 tweets
Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 16
Russian border city #Belgorod is under heavy bombardment today.

Whatever is being used, its some heavy weaporny.
Read 6 tweets
Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 14
Russian & belarussian sources are reporting that russian troops will begin arriving in #Belarus in coming days for joint force.

Pictures & videos from today indicate that Belarus is moving a big portion of its army near Ukraines border

The invasion is looking more & more likely Image
AFU has been preparing defences & building fortifications for a while. They have also mined roads & blew up bridges on some strategic places.

There is no doubt that Ukraine will be ready from the very start if the enemy plans to cross the border.
Belarus is building up its forces as close as 20km from the Ukraines border. If russians join them, its pretty clear what they are planning.
Read 6 tweets
Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 14
At least some of the russians are being fed their own medicine.


Are they bombing themselves? 😅


There's always an "explanation". That is of course a lie but still he seems to forget that Russia is constantly bombing ukrainian civilians with S300 ground to air missiles.

And there's actual proof of it.
Read 4 tweets
Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 13
Russian sources are reporting that AFU is completing preparations for a massive offensive in the #Zaporizhzhia sector.

If the offensive truly happened, it would propably look something like this. AFU's first & most important objective would be to cut the "land bridge" to #Crimea
If Ukraine attacks in two direction at the same time like on the map, the eastern side of the offensive would likely go to #Berdyansk or even #Mariupol

The main objective is still to reach the sea and cut the railroads and highways. #Crimea would then be cut from supplies
AFU would definitely go for #Melitopol because its an important logistics hub & has an airfield that russia uses in its operations. They would probably also go for #Enerdohar to take the NPP back.
Read 8 tweets
Tomi 🇫🇮🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 13
AFU is steadily approaching the city of #Svatove 💪🇺🇦
Video is from the north west of Svatove, about 20km away. This means that AFU has cut off the russian supply line from the north. ImageImageImage


AFU has the highway under direct control
Read 4 tweets

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