Regarding #nuclearweapons, I believe the following are all true:
1. As long as nuclear weapons remain, there is a risk of a nuclear use
2. Nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used
3. Nuclear use risks escalation to general nuclear war
4. Nuclear escalation isn't automatic
1. As long as nuclear weapons remain, there is a risk of a nuclear use
2. Nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used
3. Nuclear use risks escalation to general nuclear war
4. Nuclear escalation isn't automatic
5. Even one nuclear weapon could cause an immense disaster with consequences that are difficult to predict
6. One or few nuclear weapons in themselves are unlikely to cause a disaster even comparable to the Second World War
6. One or few nuclear weapons in themselves are unlikely to cause a disaster even comparable to the Second World War
7. All-out nuclear war could cause the greatest disaster in human history
8. Even all-out nuclear war and its consequences would probably be unable to destroy every society in the Southern Hemisphere
8. Even all-out nuclear war and its consequences would probably be unable to destroy every society in the Southern Hemisphere
9. Standing up against nuclear blackmail may end in the detonation of one or more nuclear weapons
10. Not standing up against nuclear blackmail may cause genocide and increase the risk of war, including nuclear war, in the future
10. Not standing up against nuclear blackmail may cause genocide and increase the risk of war, including nuclear war, in the future
11. Humans who have the authority to use nuclear weapons may make mistakes, and accidental use is a grave concern
12. Humans are reluctant to actually use nuclear weapons even in exercises designed to force them into using them
12. Humans are reluctant to actually use nuclear weapons even in exercises designed to force them into using them
13. Decision-makers can have very different ideas about nuclear weapons than what we believe they have, and could see them as useful even if we don't
14. Even unhinged decision-makers probably don't make the decision to go nuclear lightly
14. Even unhinged decision-makers probably don't make the decision to go nuclear lightly
15. In any conflict with a nuclear-armed power, prudence and caution are important
16. Too much prudence and caution may increase, not reduce the risks and damages in the long run
16. Too much prudence and caution may increase, not reduce the risks and damages in the long run
17. It is a moral duty to avoid war in general and nuclear war in particular, and end wars as soon as possible
18. It is a moral duty to help those who are attacked, instead of forcing them to yield to their attackers
18. It is a moral duty to help those who are attacked, instead of forcing them to yield to their attackers
See here for longer explanations
https://twitter.com/jmkorhonen/status/1581936708416720896?s=20&t=0FpQ16D2aslG8kq2Of48Rg
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