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Oct 19 • 12 tweets • 6 min read
1/ In this Wednesday edition of the #KCRDailyThread: Unpopular Empirically Informed Views.

#InvestmentStrategies #InvestingStrategy #StockMarketAnalysis
2/ #KCRDailyThread
3/ #KCRDailyThread
4/ #KCRDailyThread
5/ #KCRDailyThread
6/ #KCRDailyThread
7/ #KCRDailyThread
8/ #KCRDailyThread
9/ #KCRDailyThread
10/ #KCRDailyThread
11/ #KCRDailyThread
12/ Get Safe Dividend Stocks: A Staples Update & A Brand New Bag

kailashconcepts.com/white-papers/s…

#DividendInvesting #DividendStocks

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More from @KailashConcepts

Kailash Concepts Profile picture
Oct 20
1/ Terrific chain. Simple “positive” & “negative” examples of how to clean up ESG.

One positive example follows below. 👇
2/ Engineers have nearly doubled fuel economy despite exploding vehicle size, weight and horsepower due to consumer preference for bigger, safer faster cars

This is proof of superb R&D by automotive OEMs Image
3/ Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) have received massive subsidies based on highly politicized decisions by the CARB board.

Unfortunately, as the environmentalist group explains in this simple image, they require epic amounts of LITHIUM Image
Read 10 tweets
Kailash Concepts Profile picture
Oct 19
1/The new math of "BEATS" by broken growth stocks

$NFLX surprised to the upside on subscribers sending the stock's market cap up ~$16bn after hours.

With revs up just 6% YoY, Op Profit -13% and EPS -4%, the ebullience is all in the subscriber story.... Netflix_The New Math of Broken Growth Stocks Blowout Quarter
2/...and then the company said they were going end guidance for paid membership, choosing instead to focus on sales, operating income, operating margin, net income and EPS
3/ That sounds a lot like a mature company where traditional valuation metrics start to become the yard-stick by which they are measured.

If the wheeler-dealer days of subscriber growth beats, agnostic of fundamentals are over, then one has to contemplate FREE CASH FLOW
Read 5 tweets
Kailash Concepts Profile picture
Jul 15
1/ @DoombergT put out one of the best summaries of the tremendous success created by massive chemical facilities like BASF’s in Germany that most of us never have to see.
@DoombergT 2/ Barring some very good fortune we are all going to be learning about the business of chemical plants.

doomberg.substack.com/p/moribund-ver…
@DoombergT 3/ This has been on the back pages of the news off-and-on since Bayer’s glyphosate plant went down unexpectedly and sent crop prices soaring. One of the headaches with weed-control is that the efficacy of glyphosate has been declining due to a lack of innovation in weed control.
Read 12 tweets
Kailash Concepts Profile picture
Jul 14
1/ Let's look at a 2021 Summary... Market Cap to GDP hits 234% by November – a full 59% higher than the dot com bubble peak.
2/ By December, 10 year stock market returns hit 200+ year peaks with the Shiller PE hitting 39x.
3/ Warren Buffett’s cash pile hits an all-time record of $149bn by November. Private Equity sets a record for “putting funds to work” in 2021, with deal volume approaching $1.25 trillion.
Read 5 tweets
Kailash Concepts Profile picture
Jul 13
1/ Historically, investors in large cap core index funds had the bulk of their money invested in stocks with reasonable valuations with negligible exposure to stocks valued over 10x price to sales.

#stocks #investors #growthfunds
2/ As the below chart shows, that is no longer true today.

Should evoke caution for those using index fund investment strategies with large cap core exposure to make sure they are consistent with your investment objectives, risks, and other goals.
3/ Index fund investors’ exposure to stocks at excessive valuations with historically poor payoff structures is not without precedent – unfortunately, the precedent is not a good one.
Read 5 tweets
Kailash Concepts Profile picture
Jul 5
1/ An update of a thread posted last month... 😉
2/ I’m staring at a list of stocks in the S&P 500 Index. The results are sorted by their weighting in the index from largest to smallest. At a 6.97% weight, $AAPL is at the top.
3/ The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 represent 29.7% of the index. Nearly a third of every dollar you invest in that index is going into just ten stocks. The value-weighted average price-to-sales ratio is 7.3x.[i] Madness.
Read 10 tweets

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