Governments around the world are responding to the crisis by doubling down on clean energy – in the US, EU, Japan, China, India & elsewhere
Their new policies are set to help global clean energy investment rise above $2 trillion a year by 2030, an increase of over 50% from today
For the 1st time ever, today's policy settings are strong enough to deliver a distinct peak in fossil fuel use within this decade.
This isn't enough to avoid severe climate impacts, but it's progress from where we were a few years ago. Stronger policies can steepen the decline.
The rise in coal use this year has attracted a lot of attention, but it's small & our new analysis suggests it will be temporary.
Renewables are set to surge even higher, with their electricity generation rising 90% by 2030, eating into coal & gas's share of the power mix.
Progress in policies & technologies since 2015 has shaved 1°C off projected global warming, but much more is needed to reach the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement
Implementing announced climate pledges in full would lower warming to 1.7°C, moving us closer to safer ground
Limiting global warming to 1.5°C would mean a much faster scaling up of clean energy globally
What's encouraging is that the announced pipeline of clean energy manufacturing projects would, in several areas, approach the levels needed to put the world on track for #NetZeroby2050
One of the effects of the current crisis is that the era of rapid growth in global gas demand draws to a close.
In Europe, climate policies accelerate the shift away from gas. New supply brings prices down by the mid-2020s, and LNG becomes even more important to gas security.
This year's WEO makes clear the long-term impacts of Russia's actions on its energy exports.
Russian fossil fuel exports never return – in any of our scenarios – to their 2021 levels. Within 10 years, Russia’s share of internationally traded oil & gas is set to fall by half.
Amid these major changes, a new energy security paradigm is needed to ensure reliability & affordability while reducing emissions
That's why #WEO22 provides 10 principles to help guide policymakers through the period of declining fossil fuel & expanding clean energy systems
To learn more about the new analysis in @IEA’s World Energy Outlook 2022, explore the freely available report online ➡️ iea.li/3SOmGBW
A short-term jump in energy export earnings can’t offset a permanent loss of trust & markets. Moscow is doing itself long-term harm by alienating the EU, its biggest customer. Its oil & gas sector will also struggle under sanctions.
Myth 2: Today’s crisis is a clean energy crisis
In fact, more low-carbon energy would have helped ease the crisis, & a faster transition is the best way out of it
When people blame clean energy, they are moving the spotlight away from the real culprits: the gas crunch & Russia
The @IEA Special Report on Solar PV Global Supply Chains is out!
China has driven down solar panel manufacturing costs, helping spur solar’s success worldwide while at the same time resulting in a major concentration of global PV supplies
Accelerating clean energy transitions globally will put further strain on solar PV supply chains, with demand increasing massively in a #NetZero pathway
But this also offers opportunities for other countries to help diversify PV production, attract investment and create jobs
Nuclear power has a unique opportunity to stage a comeback amid the global energy crisis, soaring fossil fuel prices, energy security challenges & increased climate ambitions
But whether this happens will depend on governments & industry
Today 600 million Africans have no access to electricity & nearly 1 billion no access to clean cooking. Solving this requires $25 billion per year from now to 2030 – the same as building one new LNG terminal a year
The encouraging news is that a New Energy Economy Is Emerging
#WEO2021 shows that pursuing #NetZero can create a market opportunity for equipment like batteries & wind turbines worth over $1 trillion a year by 2050 – similar to today's oil market
If governments fully deliver on the climate pledges they have announced so far, it would limit global warming to 2.1 C.
Not enough to solve the climate crisis, but enough to change energy markets, including oil – which would peak by 2025 – and solar & wind, whose output soars.