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Oct 29 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
$KR 🧵on a name not popular and not covered cause boring ... but makes money: +96% since January 2020, +5% in 2022 a year when not much worked ...
$SPY #SPX $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$KR Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY #SPX $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$KR The Kroger capital allocation: Image
$KR The Kroger dividend overview & shareholder yield:
👉16 years of Consecutive Annual Increases
👉crazy dividend growth % since years
👉shareholder yield = 11.32%
Cash flow machine (not the future/innovation/tech/ hypergrowth, but present ... which delivers & works
@GeorgeC1953 Image

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More from @MaverickBogdan

Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 31
Big Tech Q3 key remark: %YoY change in operating margin, let that sink in!
$META -14.0%
$GOOGL -7.5%
$AAPL -0.9%
$AMZN -2.4%
$MSFT -1.7%
Big tech drag on the S&P500 / $SPY
$META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA Image
Big tech drag on the S&P500 / $SPY: % price YTD and holdings weight
$META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA Image
Read 6 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 28
$PLTR Q3 earnings preview🧵7th Nov:
Valuation since DPO: Price, Actual & Estimated Sales with Free Cash Flow switching positive:
👉when PLTR was making 1bn Sales & Sales estimates were 1.3bn, price = 44
👉when PLTR is making 1.74bn in Sales & Sales est are 2.09bn, price = 8.61🧐 Image
$PLTR Earnings History & Surprises:
👉actual EPS vs EPS surprise
👉1 day price % reaction ... if you feel like trading the stock and/or options during the Q3 earnings have this in mind ... Image
$PLTR Financials Actuals & Consensus:
Wall Street consensus expects:
👉$475m Q3 Revenues while for Q4 $507m with revenue growth just 21% and 17%
👉 1.9bn for 2022, 2.3bn for 2023 and 3bn for 2024 with revenue growth just 23%, 24% and 25% =🧐materially below management guidance? ImageImage
Read 10 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 27
Big Tech charts thread🧵🧵🧵visualizing fundamentals, less words, visuals say 1,000 words:
$META Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$META Facebook capital allocation:
👉CAPEX fully deployed again: $27.6bn & 23.4% out of Revenues
👉Stock Buyback Yield at a crazy 15.2%
Food for thought ... thoughts ?
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$GOOG Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
Read 24 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Jun 21
👉Buffett bought more stock this quarter than in 2008 when he saw a lot of value at a discount
👉I remember like it was yesterday reading his 2008 piece from NYT 'Buy American. I Am.'
👉And yes, I did buy as well ... almost 15 years passed since then ...
nytimes.com/2008/10/17/opi… Image
during 2020-2021 was great to talk with @TSOH_Investing and conclude that BRK would be a very good risk/return profile going forward with a less friendly FED and/or likely inflation ... which yes, it happened ...
one of Buffett's latest purchases is HP $HPQ ... No wonder Buffett bought HP as I am quite sure he likes this kind of 'inflection' points where shares outstanding go down while dividends go up ... tailwind ... margin of safety ... value investing ... Image
Read 5 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Feb 17
1) $PLTR 🧵thread after yesterday's Q4 Earnings Preview, today Q4 Earnings Review. As I expected, revenue beat but EPS miss: Q4 & FY 2021 Financial Summary, but let's dig in:🧵
👉Revenue growth 41% 2021 vs 2020
👉lower Q1 2022 outlook (market not liking it)
2) 👉SPAC investments: I was expecting 50-60m UNrealised loss, came in higher with 73m
3) 👉SBCs (Stock Based Compensation) dropping materially in 2021 from 2020 as expected - guidance: SBC will be lower and will be inline with other peers (I am still modelling the forward rate)
4) Cash, Equity & Debt:
👉higher cash position is never bad: 2.3bn
👉total equity higher from 1.5bn to 2.3bn
👉no debt (non-current), hence hiking rates, mneah, not an issue (if it was a non-fixed rate)
Read 12 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Feb 16
The crowd sees cash as an attractive alternative at the moment. Cash is at highest levels since May 2020. What will they do with the cash should the war risk abate & central banks prove to be less "traumatic"? (Source: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey)
same survey showing how Tech Net Allocation fell to the lowest since August 2006 ... quite a crazy stat ...
Bloomberg Nasdaq sentiment very bearish also ...
Read 5 tweets

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