Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Equities

Most recents (24)

FT opinion article: “How shadow banks threaten the global economy”. The Fed seems to think the financial world is separate from the economy. See how that works out. Thread #markets #equities #bonds ft.com/content/d22ec3…
1/The author points out that the next crisis will arise from shadow banking “institutions”. Especially those that lend to corporates. They have a lot of debt, especially in the US, and the cost is set to rise.
2/Private markets are taking over from public ones, with investors seeking yield. “Swing a stick in Manhattan and you’re bound to hit someone involved in private lending”. Debt is now much higher.
Read 5 tweets
FT opinion article: “The dollar’s rapid rise increases risks for global economy - Dangers are particularly acute for developing countries already facing number of crises”. Our currency, but your problem #dollar #Fed #markets #bonds #equities ft.com/content/099cf5…
1/According to the author the recent rise in the dollar has attracted less attention than it should. In theory it should help exports by weaker countries and ease US inflation.
2/This year the dollar is strongly up due to expectations of more aggressive Fed monetary policy, economic outperformance and safe haven status.
Read 8 tweets
FT opinion article: “Let the Fed put money where it is really needed”. She means CBDC. The problem is that the Fed now needs to take money away, not add to it. This is not going to end well. Thread #Fed #monetary policy #markets #bonds #equities ft.com/content/0c8636…
1/The author argues that the Fed has overreached its mission. It has fuelled a shadow banking system and an asset bubble and will now have to create a recession in order to control inflation.
2/And politicians have been happy to outsource the decisions because they can then claim they are not to blame. The Fed is being asked to do stuff it is not qualified to do (same as the Supreme Court).
Read 6 tweets
#Inflation will always be one of the prime reason of making #investments in #Equities. Rest depends up on #investors behavior, asset allocation & the #goals. Focus on 'Real Return' not marketing gimmicks. #SaarthiZarooriHai
& #PlanZarooriHai with #MasterMindFinnAsset (1/n)
#Investment decisions contribute in a big way to inflation-proofing your #mutualfund portfolio. Frequent churning, performance chasing & exiting at the first sign of volatility lead to sub-optimal gains. (2/n) #MutualFundsSahiHai #investing #investors #StockMarketIndia
Avoid making impulsive #investing decisions based on predicted short-term changes in the #economy. Make sure any strategies you use to hedge against #inflation align with your overall #FinancialFreedom plan & assists to meet your #financial #goals. (3/n) #goalsetting #investing
Read 6 tweets
It's weekend and it's the end of the month. The #markets are closed.

So there is the perfect time to analyze the #momentum & relative #strength of the markets.

This information is relevant for all #investors, but especially for #trend #followers 📈📈📈

#marketresearch

🧵
The #momentum of the markets are one of the most powerful forces in the evolution of the #asset #prices.

The #reversion to the mean is the opposite force, which is equally powerful. Momentum works on a short and medium term (up to 3 to 5 years).
There is a ton of academic research related to the momentum and the benefits of using it and relative strength. But presenting it this is not the purpose of this #thread.

Relative strength is actually a comparison between the #momentum of two or more #markets.
Read 35 tweets
Bloomberg opinion article: “Big U.S. Banks Get a Little Taste of the ‘Doom Loop’ - Deepening bond losses cut into capital ratios, which put cash payouts to investors at risk.” Not only payouts. Thread #equities #bonds #banks bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
1/According to the author US banks are getting a little taste of the European style bond doom-loop. When bond prices fall owners have to mark them to market which for a bank eats into their capital base.
2/In weak European countries this led to the fear that the banks would have to be bailed out, leading to strains in government finances, increasing risk and pushing bond prices further down. A vicious circle that still haunts Europe.
Read 8 tweets
FT opinion article: “Central bankers should think twice before pressing the brake even harder - The war against Ukraine has brought a new negative supply shock on top of the old one”. Harder? Thread #bonds #equities #centralbanks #monetarypolicy ft.com/content/41c248…
1/According to the author the invasion of Ukraine has silenced the debate about “transitory” inflation. But where central banks stood impacts how they react. Initially the idea was that inflation was the result of supply issues that could be ignored. This view lost out.
2/Central banks made hawkish turns and have painted themselves into a corner, as the Ukraine crisis has brought a new supply shock. Central banks committed to tightening when the second shock made things worse.
Read 11 tweets
Thank you to @BloorStreetCap for yesterday's insightful #uranium discussion with some of the pioneers of the industry. A fantastic line up with in depth insight into all aspects of the #uranium sector.

Some of our highlights can be found the the thread below:
1/ “The world is recognising the science of nuclear power, not the false ideology.” – #NexGen CEO

“Price of #equities is screaming buy relative to the #spot price” – @uraniuminsider

“We’re on the cusp of a really really big move here [spot price]” – @UraniumEnergy
2/ #Sprott are seeing growing #institutional and #FO interest in the #uranium space. Very early stages of broad adoption by generalist #investors. Ciampaglia believes we are ‘just starting the second inning of this uranium cycle’.
Read 12 tweets
A lot has been made of the death of the #petrodollar system.

This has massive implications from #equities to #crypto. From the #US to #China.

I agree its time will come. But not anytime soon.

Stick with me for 8 tweets👇🧵
USD is EXTREMELY entrenched

USDs are 50%+ of int. loans and 60% of reserves (below).

That bottom green bar 2%? Thats the Yuan
But oil is priced in $ that's why countries hold it in their reserves? Can't they just switch to the Yuan?

Sure to support the world PetroYuan system China would have to:
-Run trade deficits
-Allow foreigners property rights
-Eliminate the soft peg to the $
-Un due cap controls
Read 10 tweets
European #equities have seen record outflows last week to Wednesday with an outflow of $13.4bn. This is mostly driven by domestic European funds selling European equities ($12.6bn). data from: @EPFR
By contrast, US #equities saw $9.2bn in purchases by domestic investors while foreign funds (mostly European funds) sold $1.5bn of US equities last week. data from : @EPFR
Read 3 tweets
China equities: A look under the hood (thread)

Monetary easing and rising credit impulse are positive for equities. Valuations are low but technicals
mixed.

Key drags incl Common Prosperity/Internet regulations on $MCHI (not econ) and #Fed hikes.

#China
h/t @jpmorgan
1/ ImageImageImage
Past instances of monetary easing and broad credit growth were positive for equities and economy.

No longer as crystal clear for equities with Common Prosperity "guidance" on index heavy-weight
Internet/tech sector - 32% in just top 10 of $MCHI.

h/t @jpmorgan @iShares
2/ ImageImage
Regulatory tightening on Internet/tech continues, with the eventual scale and timeline is unknown.

Privately-owned enterprises (POE) in social
sectors, which includes Internet/tech, are of highest risk.

wsj.com/articles/meitu…

h/t @GoldmanSachs
3/ ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few #ETF graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.

What a year it's been for #Oil & #Energy! Sharing only positive YTD #MSCI #Sector performance with #Financials.

$IXC $IXG
2/15

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA 1YR performance in USD (+9.9%) is still ahead of $EEM (-11.3%)

$URTH
3/15

#Global #Value #stocks (#ETF) recently enjoyed short-term recovery, but still got some serious catch-up to do over the longer term.

$IWVL
Read 16 tweets
S&P 500 - avg returns of large cap index components by GICS Level 1 sector factor 1day, 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter.

#Quant #momentum #investing #trading #SwingTrading #stocks #Equities
S&P 500 - avg returns of large cap index components by GICS Level 1 & Level 2 factors 1day, 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter.

#Quant #momentum #investing #trading #SwingTrading #stocks #Equities #HedgeyeNation
S&P 500 - avg returns of large cap index components by Interest Coverage Ratio Quartiles

(1=good cos and 4=vulnerable cos)

Colors continuum - shaded by columns

#Factor #Quant #momentum #investing #trading #SwingTrading #stocks #Equities #HedgeyeNation #Hedgeye
Read 5 tweets
#Global #ETF (thread): 26 Aug 2021

- 2020 worst perf #sectors making still leading in 2021 $IXG $IXC

- This is helping #oil producing countries with #SaudiArabia & #UAE in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $KSA $UAE

- #SouthAfrica $EZA still in top30 YTD performers
2/12

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+8.2%) is still ahead of $EEM (-0.95%)
3/12

#Global #Value #stocks enjoyed short-term recovery to the end of April, but since then, $IWVL #ETF really struggled against #Quality & #Momentum. Over 1yr period it is however still the best-performing #factor, very much in its recovery phase.
Read 13 tweets
What can cause the market to crash 70%+? I've been thinking more and more about this question as almost nobody, except @DaveHcontrarian, thinks it's a possibility.

Important thread⬇️for anyone invested in $BTC $ETH $SPY $QQQ #FANG or any other risk asset.
Let's start off by saying that I am in no way giving advice on what to do to prepare for a potential crash in the markets.

I am only giving my thoughts on what could happen that would lead to a massive correction and how I would not be surprised if it did.
Let's take a step back and look at the current environment:
-> Retail speculation at all time highs, look at any highly leveraged stock with worthless equity and madness going on in #crypto land and #NFTs
-> #liquidity near alltime highs, consumers flush with cash from stimmys
Read 16 tweets
The #economy and #markets today present us with a type of confusing environment: a tremendous growth rebound amid concerns over different forms of #overheating due to policy being late to normalize, and then the uncertainty of an ultimately harsher policy unwind down the road…
… It’s in this kind of environment that we find that what #investors want to do can be very different from what they need to do – the opposite, or mirror image, in fact: bit.ly/3u0nmr9
Over the last decade, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield Index has traded in a #yield range of about 4% to 12%, and both those extremes have come during the pandemic period (the last 14 months).
Read 10 tweets
This isn't an easy topic to address but I'll do my best to provide my thoughts via a simple generic🧵

#RealEstate isn't linear. It is multifactorial:

1) Country
2) Time period
3) Information asymmetry
4) Opportunity cost
5) Personality
6) Job security

etc

🧵👇
2/ There is no guarantee for any gains in any investment vehicle. No guarantee in #RealEstate, #bitcoin, #Equities etc

As cliche as it sounds, the only constant is: Change.

History only provides a clue.

Simply put, yields are not guaranteed.

Back to factors 1 to 6
3/ #RealEstate differs from country to country.

In a jurisdiction where there are high capital gains tax or when the cost of borrowing is high, owning/investing in property might not make much sense.

In #Singapore, capital gains tax has been abolished
Read 9 tweets
Edwards & Magee discussed H&S acting as a continuation chart pattern with a 1936 example. Somewhere in between, new smart authors, thought new generation chartists that H&S can only form as a top or bottom reversal. WRONG.

I can show 100s of similar examples.
A recent #breakout #alert on $CCK
Another H&S continuation example, a recent #BREAKOUT #ALERT from #SINGAPORE reached its price target. SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES. More setups >> blog.techcharts.net
Read 4 tweets
US tech stocks have been hit hard, as attention focuses on the underlying quality of themes like the migration to electric vehicles.
Yet this shakeup is also happening against the backdrop of a fast-changing investment environment due to a strengthening US growth outlook, rising inflationary pressure and an unnerved bond market which is driving yields higher.
In this video interview, Will Denyer seeks to unpack these dynamics in order to navigate a course through difficult trading conditions. vimeo.com/521265797 #assetallocation #equities #us #stocks #bonds #economy
Read 3 tweets
Anybody feels like looking at a few #Global #ETF graphs? Or are you all sitting in front of a big fire, ready for that Sunday braai or potjie?

If there's interest, I'll be happy to show 1 graph for every like or retweet?

#MonthEnd #Markets
That's nr1 (5 likes & retweets). Nice one @RocknDad 😂- saw you sneak in both a like & retweet, but rules are rules.

#SouthAfrica dropping down to 10th in the #Country #ETF YTD rankings. #China losing the lead to #Taiwan. #Brazil new current holder of the wooden spoon.
That makes it 2.

#DevelopedMarkets (+2.5% in US$) making a bit of a comeback against #EmergingMarkets (+0.8% in US$) in February. #MSCI #SouthAfrica however outperformed both with 5.3% (in US$) over same period.

$URTH $EEM $EZA
Read 19 tweets
Is Everything a Bubble❓Part 2 Recap 🔥

Most seem to think so... but don't take our word for it.

Have a look for yourself 👇 as we take you into the lions den to hear from the lions themselves.
🔥Adapting to New Market Nuances and the Golden Age of Macro🔥@JulianMI2

Are we in a bubble❓

“Yes, but it's somewhat nuanced. There's unquestionably single assets that are bubbles."

"There's groups of assets which are arguably excessively valued."
Specifically which names are bubbles❓

“There is absolutely no question that if I look at a chart of $TSLA, this is a classic bubble.”
Read 23 tweets
In preparation for my slot on #SquawkBox yesterday, I sent the guys a few slides as a synopsis of my last, detailed subscriber report for the discussion.

I called it #Pyromania. Feel free to take a look

1/x

#macro #bonds #commodities #dollar #inflation #centralbanks #fiscal
Is it possible to overkill an act of overkill? #JeromePowell & #JanetYellen seem set to let us find out.

2/x
Not that they're alone in their folly, of course. The #ECB is outodoing them handsomely, while the #bankofengland is breaking records stretching back to its founding, 327 years ago.
#centralbanks
3/x
Read 10 tweets
Thread 🧵 on Advantages of #Investing in #MutualFunds ...

🌟Must read for everyone, especially those who do not understand #Equities and have not yet invested significant amount in Mutual Funds as well.🌟

#MutualFundsSahiHai

@invest_mutual @dmuthuk views invited 🙏
1⃣ Professional Management:

#MutualFunds use services of experienced & skilled professionals, backed by a dedicated investment research team that analyses performance & prospects of companies and selects suitable investments to achieve objectives of scheme.

#MutualFundsSahiHai
2⃣ Diversification:

#MutualFunds invest in a number of companies across a broad spectrum of industries & sectors. This diversification reduces risk because seldom do all stocks decline at same time and in same proportion.

#MutualFundsSahiHai
Read 13 tweets

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