NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 31, 2022 13 tweets 12 min read Read on X
1/12 Update 🧵 about the suspected drone launch site in Mayak, Crimea.Two weeks ago i published an article about Mayak radar station in which research & sat. images showed Mayak radar station in Crimea was the most likely source of drone attacks on Odessa

2/12 in this 🧵 further evidence was found to support the claim of this being the launch point of the Shahed-136 drones, further information (#OSINT & #HUMINT) revealed that Iranian instructors/operators are also present at Dzankoj airport (read 🧵 ⬇️)
3/12 We were able to obtain new high res. 🛰 imagery(30 cm) from the Mayak site, which indefinitly proves the presence of the launchers there. It also shows the kind of setup they will probably use when they know they are out of reach of UA forces and under the umbrella of 🇷🇺 AD
4/12 to give you an idea,of what happens when we get new imagery, ⬇️ the image you would typicaly receive from the providers, as you can see the lighter bits seem "over exposed",using software you can correct this making it possible to get even more detail(see tiles on the domes)
5/12 Using this technique, we were able to positivly identify all of the assets on this base. As you can see in the image ⬇️ 3 different mobile radars are on-site, designed to detect low&slow flying objects (drones) which atm are the greatest threat for units in Crimea, together
6/12 with the NEBO-M radar complex(dome) they should be able to detect any air attack vehicles up to 300 km.More info on these radar systems can be found in the links below⬇️

radartutorial.eu/19.kartei/02.s…

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kasta_2E

defence-blog.com/ukrainian-army…

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nebo-M
7/12 Back to the launchers 😉 in the 🧵 published on 12 oct. We could see the 2 trailer like objects resembling the Shahed-136 launch vehicles (without the cab attached) which match the known size,with enhanced images,we were able to establish that the left trailer was sloped.
8/12 we were also able to distinguish the drone command vehicle which was placed just outside of the base perimiter & the camouflaged command & control center located next to it. A tent which could be the living quaters for the operators can also clearly been seen in this image.
9/12 we were able using known imagery of the drone launchers & command vehicle to establish their dimensions and they line up with the objects found in the imagery we aquired. Also we received #HUMINT confirming drone launches in this area in the period from 1st of oct.

#OSINT
10/12 the conclusion can be that operating these drones from here is a safe bet for 🇷🇺.It's out of range of anything 🇺🇦 has atm, and is well protected against drone and other arial attacks, due to the contingent of AD located nearby. Also the remote loc. makes SOF action unlikely
11/12 This is one of the reasons 🇺🇦 should get the capabillity to strike at these places, giving them ATACMS with a 300 km. range would enable them to hit these locations and protect their civillian pop. against these strikes that are terrorizing them.

#OSINT #ATACMSforUkraine
12/12 🛰 images are expensive (up to $30/km2). If you would like to see more investigations like these, and want to support our cause please consider donating to one of us, thanks 🙏

buymeacoffee.com/NLwartrack0

ko-fi.com/tehrhart
ko-fi.com/intelcoupsure
paypal.me/defmon3

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with NLwartracker

NLwartracker Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @NLwartracker

Aug 17
i have been monitoring the EW units in Kursk oblast and mainly the border region with extreme interest the last 6-9 months, drone defense exsisted of a number of Pole-21 gnss jamming stations placed strategically in border towns, complemented with Zithel-R331 mobile jamming Image
Units, which would not only jam but also record used frequencies by Ukrainian forces in these area's. These pole-21 systems would be mainly placed in cellphone or other comms masts, spaced about 5 km. apart. Thus creating a sort of overlapping wall of jamming. Image
In addition to this a number listening posts was established along the border area of the sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. All of these russian EW measures where under the responsability of the 16th EW brigade, which are based in Kursk. Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27, 2023
Credible sources within the Ukrainian army and russian sources, are reporting the displacement of units of the 76th Guards Air Assault Division from the Kreminna/Svatove area to the harbor city of Berdyansk. Indications are at least 2 regiments have moved.
The 234th Guards Air Assault and 237th Guards Air Assault Regiments , who had been stationed between Kreminna and Svatove, with a command centre located in Milutavka, which is near the city of Svatove.
Image
Image
234th regiment is know for its involvement in the Bucha massacre both regiments suffered heavy losses in the war in Ukraine and have been replenished with Mobiks who had short training in camps just across the border in Russia (Rovenki) and near Nhyznoteple in Luhansk
Read 9 tweets
May 28, 2023
1/3 Recently large numbers of tanks in the Pervomaiske area have been destroyed, also video's came out showing large numbers of assault forces (So-called SHO units) who surrender to 🇺🇦 forces.Another indication something was up in this area, the increased nr. of 🇺🇦 drone attacks Image
2/3 This could indicate part of the 🇷🇺 defensive lines around this part of the front might be weaker around Pervomais'ke then other parts, most likely also because units from this part were moved to support the 3rd army on the south flank of Bakhmut.
3/3 Today we learned that 🇷🇺 forces blew up the dam in the town of Karlivka, this dam not only holds the water in the Karlovska reservoir, but also a bridge on the E50 road toward Pervomais'ke, which is a main supply route for 🇺🇦 forces in the area.
Read 5 tweets
May 19, 2023
1/3 Reliable sources on the ground near Soledar are reporting 🇷🇺 sapper units possible from 107th Seperate Guards Engineer-Sapper battalion, are activly mining roads leading out of Soledar. Several crossroads and fields have been mined with 100's of AT-62M mines. Image
2/3 This in it self can mean different things, either Russian & Wagner forces are preparing a retreat to more favourable defensive positions outside Soledar, or Russian forces are setting up obstacles to prevent the retreat of the Wagner forces stationed in Soledar.
3/3 In case of retreat of all forces from Soledar, the possibility is that they would fall back all the way to the defensive positions build a few months ago west of Popasna on the border between Luhansk & Donetsk. Time will tell when Soledar is liberated by 🇺🇦.
#SlavaUkraïni ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
May 18, 2023
1/6 Elements of the 10th Tank regiment part of the newly formed 3rd 🇷🇺 army corps, arrived around 13th of may in the area of the town of Odradivka (48.494300,38.014800). They had previously been deployed near Avdiivka, were they were involved a multiple failed frontal assaults Image
2/6 In which they suffered serious losses including most of their tanks and IFV's. They had been regrouping near the town of Lysychansk and seems to have been re-plenished with new mobik recruits from all over Russia but mostly recruits from Buryatia. ImageImage
3/6 Their arrival in the area south of Bakhmut is likely an attempt to stop Ukrainian advances in this area.The unit took up positions along the T0513 road between Odradivka and Optyne. Almost immediatly after their arrival shelling and drone attacks by 🇺🇦 forces took their toll. Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 18, 2023
1/15 I have been working on unraveling the 🇷🇺 logistics networks in the Luhansk area since the beginning of jan. When different geolocated videos showed convoy's of armoured vehicles moving towards the frontlines in Luhansk & Donetsk

2/15 These convoy's peaked my interest, and since the 🇷🇺 logistics machine heavily relies on railway, the most obvious place to start is at the railway hubs it still can use in Luhansk. There are only a handfull which suits the need of the 🇷🇺 forces & are outside of HIMARS reach
3/15 in S Luhansk the railway route between the towns of Dovzhansk(Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky, has 4 stops that would be out of HIMARS reach, but only two of those are connected with the highways into Luhansk city and onto the frontlines.These are Dovzhansk (Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky
Read 15 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(