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Nov 8 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
thread: where we are & some climate-pandemic predictions. - Voting this for most cursed paper of the year 2021. If you work in policy analysis or delivery (climate/energy/natsec, really any field) but don't know to read this, maybe consider taking time off to get up to speed? 👍 ImageImage
It's a lot, but again, there are solutions we could easily implement, if we learn and organize better. Ty all. - dm if you have questions/ideas what to do, I'm listening. 🥰
#COP26 @ThierryAaron , respect
#COP27: at least the weather is better than in Glasgow! And probably will be in #COP28 Dubai too. The question is where the real decisions that affect global carbon emissions and human wellbeing are taken. Likely not there.

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Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Nov 10
To anthropomorphize the virus: it downregulates human activity at global scale, makes some chronically ill & introduces SAND in the brains of most SARS-CoV-2 survivors. Saturation bombing but sublethal, mediated by the human immune system (HIS), deniable, highly counterintuitive. Image
These are the most interesting groups for comparative scholars.
As good soul Dan never tires to rub up the fancy scientists' and politicians' noses, t'was a virus that required IMMEDIATELY recognizing what was happening. Really not hard unless you fell victim to cognitive dissonance, most systems thinkers got it 🥰.
Read 9 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Nov 9
Due to the number of lives on the line, and because fundamental issues of scientific and professional integrity seem to be in question, I hope you can answer to the following questions: @Harvard2H 2020, one of the vital papers of the pandemic, barely read. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bi… ImageImageImageImage
@Harvard2H "How much more death is needed before the discussion around gain-of-function work is opened back up and the moratorium against it (or at the very least monitoring by those who do not have a conflict of interest) is reconsidered?" - Dr Karl Sirotkin, 31 Jan harvard2thebighouse.substack.com/p/the-darpa-ta… ImageImageImageImage
@Harvard2H We failed humanity's greatest public health & national security challenge.

What to do? Elimination (zeroCOVID/清零) works. The key measure, international surveillance at point of entry (airports), is well known to experts; unknown in public. @Globalbiosec Image
Read 6 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Nov 8
Take Germany as example: many had large platforms and could have warned, here @Fischblog. Anyone educated KNEW we had to use the precautionary principle, 'No data' is no excuse. Many of us warned every day since Jan 2020. - A failure of science journalism. Image
But of course now 'No data' is no problem anymore, Covid is among the best-research diseases, the threat clear as night.
What's keeping you all from doing your personal rowbacks, so we get this out of the way and can focus on solutions? Hurry up, you're out of time. - ht @Fischblog Nichts für ungut, not personal, hope every journalist sees this, I just can't tag them all. 🙏
Read 24 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Nov 8
If you have a Covid graph of viral load vs. CD4+/CD8+ counts, please share 🙏 You can use the HIV mental model until then. Don't use the flu one. People will rethink only if we have all three - mathematical, verbal, graphic model - as @KateRaworth shows for Doughnut Economics. 🍩 Image
@KateRaworth I may have said this before 😇 sorry to repeat so much.
@KateRaworth Another thing the people who long Covid* may want to learn from the climate movement & systems thinkers: change will work better at local/urban scale (+WHO IHR 2005). Organize—many of course already do 🙏 just apply the rigor of the climate movement to it.
Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Nov 7
My friend offline (and some here 😎) will see this as sensationalist. (Or whatever, you’ll note I don’t even often share my patreon link because I can’t live from this anyway, it’s far too high-level questions. We’ll need other models.) anyway, I wish! I’d like this to be wrong.
If you missed the direct hiv-sars2 parallels, you can follow some @breakfast_dogs threads to get into the discussion. Or not - I can understand why some say it’s not needed for them. Personally I think it’s important to know. Take the origin of omicron! 😂
Read 5 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Nov 3
哭笑不得. Summary: (1) COVID is airborne and causes AIDS. (2) We have no viral load test, no resistance panel, not awareness. (3) China uses zero COVID and ART; the west is decerebrating itself (SAND). (5) We can stop transmission today (WHO IHR 2005) but actively choose failure.
(6) You need to teach people the real medical terms (=HIV medicine) to access care fast enough. Otherwise we will see the progression from "so surprising" "mysterious" to "oh shit now it's too late".

Literally anyone can understand this, as @dbdugger says
@dbdugger (7) Science, technology & system dynamics are fascinating. As institutions and practices, they are (a) our best hope to address the problems they (b) generated themselves. (@ElizKolbert Under a White Sky) This makes SARS-CoV-2 a high-order systems problem.
Read 13 tweets

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