1. Circumstantial evidence says that Kari Lake should win #AZGov. This doesn't prove she's the winner, but it's hard to see how Hobbs should win given these conditions.
Since Hobbs is currently ahead anyway, let's review.🧵
2. Polling:
In no poll since August has Hobbs reached 50%. Lake has 8 times, w/3 in the last week. She currently averages >50% in the RCP composite, w/a 3.5 point lead. In the latest 14 polls tracked by 538, Hobbs only led in 1, w/Lake up 2.4 points overall. Broad agreement.
3. Social Media
If SM is a measure of enthusiasm, engagement & campaign efficiency--then Lake is absolutely demolishing Hobbs.
FB: Lake 229k, Lake 12k
Instagram: Lake 421k, Hobbs 7k
Twitter: Lake 591k, Hobbs 136k
Totals: Lake 1.24 million, Hobbs 155k
8X advantage to Lake.
4. Recent Voter Turnout
In the September primaries, GOP turnout dwarfed the DEM turnout. GOP had a whopping 40% greater turnout than the DEMs, 830k to 596k. GOP voter engagement & enthusiasm way higher.
5. Hobbs's "Basement" Strategy
Hobbs refused to debate Kari Lake & according to the local AZ press, has pursued a hiding strategy--not a "Get out the vote" strategy.
Limited geography lead supports this. Currently, Hobbs is up in only 5 counties--mostly the dense urban areas.
6. Issues
The top issues voters cared about this cycle were inflation, the economy & immigration. This is doubly accurate in AZ which has some of the highest inflation in the nation & is being overrun w/illegals & fentanyl.
These are issues that Lake ran on hard.
7. Money
Over 90% of the time, the candidate who spends more wins.
While Hobbs has raised more directly, Kari Lake & Lake-aligned PACs have outspent Hobbs & Hobbs-aligned PACs $11.5M to $9.3M.
-It's the mid-terms & the opposing party usually gets a bounce
-75% of voters are dissatisfied or angry w/the way things are going
-Joe Biden has historically bad approval ratings
These would all seem to favor Kari Lake.
9. Recap
>Lake led in polling
>Lake led in SM engagement
>Lake had greater recent voter turnout
>Lake had broader geographical support, while Hobbs pursued a quiet "basement" strategy
>Lake leads on the issues
>Lake spent more money
>Typical midterm trends support Lake
10. Given these factors, it's hard to see how/why Hobbs could/should win this #AZGov race.
🧵🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE MEDIA WANTS YOU OBSESSING ABOUT THE SHOOTER--DON'T FALL FOR IT!🚨
🔖(BOOKMARK THIS IMPORTANT MEGA THREAD ON THE CONSPIRATORS & THEIR MOTIVES BEHIND THE TRUMP ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT)
🟥The media will obsess over the shooter--who he is, what his party affiliation was, why he did it, etc. But he's the least important link in the chain. The conspirators will have made sure he's a dead end, or at least ambiguous enough to cause confusion and waste resources--including your attention.
The media is the conspirators' friend, not yours. Have you learned nothing over the last 8 years? While the media is "flooding the zone" with stories on the shooter and other meaningless drivel, this is the gigantic angle they're leaving out:
🟥The Downsides For The Conspirators If Trump Wins The Election
Many of you think in absolutes when it comes to Trump & Zionism--thinking that any support for zionism means complete support for zionism. This is, of course, what the jewish zionist generals want. However, it's not reality. The reality is that support for Israel is on a continuum. However, your totally-understandable hatred of Trump over his Israel support can cloud your vision of the situation if you let it.
Trump is a zionist, yes. Trump has supported Israel, yes. Trump has done much of their bidding, yes. He's moved the embassy, yes. He approved the annexation of the Golan Heights, yes. Trump visited the wall, yes. Trump supported partial annexations in the West Bank, yes. Trump has taken their money, yes. ALL TRUE.
🟥But, Trump has also signalled TWO very critical areas of non-complete support for Israel and its deep state Ne✡️con allies (these are 2 legs of the international judeo-zio mafia bent on world financial conquest). These TWO things are his red-lines, and it's where his "cooperation with zionism" ends:
1⃣He doesn't support ongoing NATO-Neocon war with Russia and has signalled willingness to make a deal with Putin.
2⃣He doesn't support escalating the Gaza conflict into war with Lebanon & Iran, and has signalled that while he broadly supports Israel, he doesn't necessarily support Netanyahu.
🟥ISRAEL & NATO ARE CONNECTED.
Broader NATO War with Russia + War with Lebanon/Iran = WW3.
Consequences: WW3 weakens the world powers (US, Europe, Russia, China), while it grants more land to the Greater Israel project and helps Israel bury the evidence of genocide in Gaza. Moreover, Russia being busy at war with Ukraine makes it harder for it to backstop Iran in a war with Israel.
Meanwhile, the world judeo-zio mafia financial empire would swoop in everywhere after this war to buy up assets cheap, as it did after the fall of the USSR. IOW, Israel and world jewry win WW3, while Gaza and the rest of the world lose. The world-wide Israeli/judeo-zio mafia would consolidate its newfound increased power in Israel.
Donald Trump stands directly in the way of this. But you won't see it if you let your Trump-hate blind you. Other leaders who stood in the way of this, like Robert Fico of Slovakia & Marine Le Pen of France, were also taken out (receipts in thread below).
🟥Quick Summary:
▶️ No WW3
▪️No war w/Iran
▪️No more war w/Russia
▪️Possible neutralization of the ne✡️cons who hate Trump
▪️No massive expansion of world judeo-zio financial empire
▶️Israel War Over Gaza Ends
▪️Bibi gets investigated
▪️Israelis remove Bibi
▪️Maybe Bibi goes to prison
▪️World leaders & journalists go into Israel and investigate/discover the magnitude of the Gaza genocide (Currently estimated by Lancet at 186,000 civilian casualties), which could threaten to end the Zionist terror project.
▪️No 3rd Temple
▪️No seat for the worldwide judeo-zio empire
The end of neocons + the end of israel would be nearly catastrophic to the "deep state" in the United States, as well, which is basically a coalition of Israel-First jews, jewish neocons, open-society communist jews, jewish financial interests (think Blackrock), and other non-jewish Israel-Firsters, warmongering neocons & deep-state enablers like Lindsay Graham, Nikki Haley and the infiltrated intelligence agencies.
IOW, if Donald Trump is successfully elected and pursues his preferred policies, we might get a little World Peace and Gaza might get a little justice. At least there's the possibility!
(cont)
🧵Trump doesn't support Netanyahu
Again, don't confuse support for Israel with support for Netanyahu. Netanyahu is an important nexus for the conspirators as we'll see later in this thread.
🧵Netanyahu & new NATO head Mark Rutte have forged an Israel-NATO coalition.
What does NATO have to do with the Middle East & Israel? This is the tell: Ukraine/Russia & Israel/Iran are now connected. NATO will support Israel, and Israel will support NATO.
That means Israel's deep-state resources will be at NATO's disposal, and vice-versa.
🇺🇸 🇮🇱 If the conspiracy to assassinate Donald Trump had come from the Left, as is being feverishly promoted, they'd have waited until *AFTER* the GOP convention in 2 days for maximum disarray.
Therefore, this attempt came from "The Right," in order to *avoid* disarray by getting someone new at the convention.
Now look at Alejandro May✡️orkas's Secret Service approvals:
❌ Trump has repeatedly asked for more Secret Service: DENIED
❌ RFK Jr. has asked for Secret Service protection: DENIED
✅ Nikki Haley asked for Secret Service protection: APPROVED
▪️Trump wants to end Ukraine/Russia
▪️Trump wants to prevent Lebanon/Iran
▪️Trump is against West Bank annexation
▶️ IOW, Trump wants to avoid "WW3" (NATO vs. Russia-China-Iran)
▶️ WW3 gives Israel everything it wants (The land for Greater Israel, while covering up the 200-300k genocide deaths in Gaza)
❓Who will give us WW3 & give Israel everything it wants?
🇫🇷 This is also why they had to take out Le Pen:
▪️Le Pen also wanted to withdraw from Ukraine-Russia and seek peace.
▪️Le Pen never said Israel had the right to defend itself.
▪️Le Pen's father was branded an "antisemite."
Le Pen is a France-First nationalist who wants to stop the immigration invasion and the wars.
Israel can't have that. So they formed a coalition of left-wing open society communists & center-righters to beat her.
Now they're waging lawfare against her, just like they've been doing to Donald Trump.
Remember when Nikki Haley went to Israel and signed the bombs?
🧵>"Not everyone who claims to be fighting for Christianity is actually fighting for it."
Correct. Some are actually fighting for jews and Israel. Like Seth Dillon.
✡️ Here, Seth Dillon gatekeeps who can proclaim "Christ is King," and when.
✡️ He insinuates that Christians worship a jew, a common antichristian talking point. Christ is God.
✡️ He adroitly sidesteps the connections between judaism & the transgender movement. (look up Magnus Hirschfeld and see next tweet).
Seth Dillon's "Babylon Bee" (named after the city that was refuge for money-changing talmudist jews after they revolted from Rome) regularly pokes fun at Christians & Christianity, but absolutely never pokes fun at jews or judaism.
🧵 Jews & transgender activism: connecting the dots
🧵 D✡️nnis Prager explains how jews disproportionately lead many idealogical movements. Did you really think they wouldn't try to infiltrate Christianity to lead it & turn it to jewish advantage?
Andrew Klavan. Seth Dillon. Brother Nathanael. Joel Osteen (see next tweets).
🧵🇺🇸 1/ Just after midnight, June 5th, 1968: Robert F. Kennedy had just won the California primary & was the frontrunner for the Democrat party nominee for president. He gave a victory speech at the Ambassador Hotel and then exited through the hotel pantry, where assassins were waiting to kill him.
Here's the full coverage of his victory celebration & speech, along with the news coverage of the shooting.
🧵2/ The 24-year old Palestinian Christian, Sirhan Sirhan, shot at Kennedy but missed. The crime was nevertheless pinned on him and framed as an "anti-zionist" revenge killing for the 1967 war.
Even RFK Jr. acknowledges Sirhan didn't kill his dad. The cover up is still in force.
🧵3/ Why did Kennedy exit through the pantry out the back instead of through the ballroom full of supporters?
Because his press secretary Frank Mankiewicz insisted on it.
Frank Mankiewicz was jewish & a member of the ADL of the B'nai B'rith.
Mankiewicz is pictured here at the press conference announcing RFK's death.
🧵1/ Michael Savage said Hitler killed a million jewish children & that Stalin killed twice as many children as Hitler in the Ukraine alone. So, I asked him what kind of children Stalin killed. When someone else answered "Christian," Savage hid the response & went on to call me a child-murdering Stalinist for implying that it was jews who masterminded the killing.
Why would he hide the identity of the murdered children & then call me a child-murdering Stalinist? Read on.
🧵2/ Here are the men under Stalin responsible for so much of the killing and death under Stalin:
"The Jewish Potentates Of Russia"
L-R
Genrikh Yagoda
Semyon Firin
Lazar Kaganovich
Kagan
🧵3/ Michael Savage's real name is Michael Alan Weiner, and he's a *Russian jew.*
When he got bent for me "implying" (his words, not mine) that jews were behind the deaths of 2 million Christian children, he himself implied I was the child-murdering Stalinist.
What we have here are multiple classic stereotypes in action:
✡️ "The jew cries out in pain while he strikes you." (accused me of being a child murderer & while playing the victim)
✡️ "The jew will tell you what happened but never why." (he told you 2 million children were killed under Stalin, but then hid the reply identifying them as Christian, which gives you the "why" they were killed)
✡️ "EVERY ACCUSATION IS A CONFESSION." He accused me of being a child-murdering Stalinist when the fact is it was his Russian jew relatives/coethnics who were the child-murdering Stalinists.
Michael "Savage?" Indeed. Weird that he picked that name as his replacement last name, right?