The top tax policy priority in year-end negotiations should be delivering the full #ChildTaxCredit to 19M children who now get < the full amount or zero b/c their families’ incomes are too low.
Our new report w/ state-by-state numbers on these children: cbpp.org/research/feder…
The business community is pressing Congress to pass corporate tax cuts– undoing provisions of the Trump tax law that offset some of the cost of huge corporate rate cuts. The #ChildTaxCredit is a far higher priority & certainly no corporate tax cuts should proceed w/o the #CTC.
As the success of the #AmericanRescuePlan showed, a high rate of child poverty is a policy choice. The year-end tax negotiations are the time when policymakers should choose to lower child poverty, not push it higher.
Because the #ChildTaxCredit expansion expired, right now the #ChildTaxCredit gives the least to the children who would benefit the most. Children in families with low incomes should receive at least as much as children in higher income families.
Consider a single mother with a toddler & a 2nd grader, who earns $15,000 as a home health aide helping older adults meet their basic needs. This family gets $2,125 less than the maximum #ChildTaxCredit. A married family making 20 times as much gets a full $4,000 credit.
The 19 million children who receive less than the full #ChildTaxCredit or none at all because their families’ incomes are too low stand to benefit the most from receiving the full amount – in both the short & long run.
The 19 million children who get < the full credit or no credit include an estimated 45% of Black children, 39% of Latino children, 38% of American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) children, 17% of white children & 16% of Asian children (kids under 17).
Because of past & present discrimination and other systemic barriers, Black, Latino & AIAN individuals are over-represented in low-paid work. Making the #ChildTaxCredit more available to children in families w/ lower incomes would push back against these long-standing inequities.
Children living in rural areas are also more likely to be denied the full #ChildTaxCredit because their parents’ pay is generally lower: 32% of children in rural areas receive less than the full credit or no credit compared to 26% living in metro areas.
Proponents of conditioning the #ChildTaxCredit on earnings should consider two new data points
1. The Rescue Plan just gave us a natural experiment & the results are extremely comforting for policymakers concerned about employment effects. For example, “we find no effects on employment” from a group of U of Michigan researchers: nber.org/system/files/w…
2. Policymakers in the Venn diagram overlap of “inflation hawk” & “CTC earnings requirement supporter” should consider that efforts to tame inflation could force people to lose their jobs & it would be unfair to take away their #ChildTaxCredit b/c of this policy-induced job loss.
Those two points are in addition to the compelling evidence that the long-term benefits for children outweigh any potential small effect on employment.
Poverty and hardship shortchange children’s futures – resulting in poorer health and education outcomes. Research finds that helping their families afford the basics opens up opportunity. We showed that we can bring down child poverty – if we make the right policy choices.
Even if one agrees that non-economic issues have increased in importance, in a world where nothing matters but everything matters, economic policy debates still matter
And the fact that many social conservatives are more economically liberal than sometimes assumed is critical
Consider the upcoming tax debate, where Republicans again will push extending tax cuts for wealthy, add to corporate windfalls, & prioritize tax havens. There is a broad liberal-social conservative coalition to be energized to beat this every time & to do the exact opposite
Here is a three-part thread on the IRS funding in the Inflation Reduction Act:
1.Current state of the IRS: gutted by Republicans
2.This bill funds a re-build: computer systems and workforce to reduce the tax gap 3.Republican response is reckless and needs to be engaged
Starting in 2010, Republicans, particularly in the House, gutted the IRS. Phone calls are not answered, computer systems are held together, in effect, with duck tape, and the audit rate for millionaires has plummeted:
The audit staff, especially those that audit the most sophisticated high-income & big corp returns, needs to be rebuilt. The ranks of these top auditors have been cut 40% since 2010 – to a level not seen since the mid-1950s – the economy today is over 7 times the size it was then
Here’s a quick thread on the 1% excise tax on stock buybacks that the Senate is now adding to the Inflation Reduction Act.
It’s excellent policy. It passed the House and it raises $125 billion over ten years.
Corporations have two basic ways to distribute profits to their shareholders: issue dividends (the traditional route) or offer to buy back a certain number of their own shares, which in turn raises the value of remaining stocks held by individuals and institutions
While dividends and stock buybacks are economically similar, they are taxed differently.
One of the things that surprises me about the current tax debate is how infrequent it is to see the words “leveraged buyout” come up given their integral connection to one of the three main revenue raisers, i.e. carried interest
The policy question before the Congress on the carried interest loophole is whether the people who structure leveraged buyouts (LBOs) should pay taxes like everyone else, including investment bankers who do similar work
Given their cultural prominence decades ago, it’s surprising – or maybe not since it’s decades ago – that many people engaged in the debate may not even know what a leveraged buyout is – so let’s start there
Thread: The new #BuildBackBetter framework legislation is paid for with a package of revenue offsets that:
1.Require higher-income people to pay a fairer amount of tax;
2.Reduce unwarranted tax advantages of profitable corporations (eg tax havens);
3.Reduce the “tax gap”
In sum, the Administration reports that the three revenue buckets raise $1.85 trillion over ten years: $650 B from high-income individuals, $800 B from large multinationals, and $400 B from reducing the tax gap. A solid package to pay for critical investments.
Thread: The #BuildBackBetter framework would extend for 1 year the Rescue Plan expansions of the #ChildTaxCredit & EITC for adults not raising children & do important work but for low wages
Plus: it makes the driver of the child poverty reduction–“full refundability”– permanent!
The framework extends for one year the Rescue Plan’s full #ChildTaxCredit expansion: $3,600 for young children and $3,000 for 6-17 year-olds.
It makes the key feature for cutting child #poverty -- “full refundability” – PERMANENT. This means that the full credit will permanently go to children in families with low or no income.