So what crashed in the village of Przewodów, Poland today?

With the cooperation of @blueboy1969 we analyzed the available photos of fragments and came to a clear conclusion that they belong to the 48D6 motor of the 5V55-series missile of the S-300 AD system- a Ukrainian one.
Although other missile types (48N6-series and possibly others) also use a very similar design, these aren't available to Ukrainian forces.

It's important to note here that this ID is only of this fragment; we can't be sure if nothing else landed or precisely how this happened.
For comparison - the end seal of the 48N6DM SAM's rocket motor. As you can see, it is nearly identical to the fragment found in Poland.

Of course, the whole incident appears to be a tragic accident.
For everyone who asked for the sources of the reference fragments:
news.pn/uk/RussiaInvad… S-300 strike, Mykolaiv
news.pn/ru/RussiaInvad… S-300 strike, Mykolaiv
t.me/andrii_nebytov… Wreckage of a S-300 missile, Kyiv

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More from @UAWeapons

Nov 6
#Ukraine: A bunch of 155mm M107 projectiles inside a Ukrainian AHS Krab SPH - quite normal by now, but not this time!
Actually, these projectiles now being used by Ukrainian forces were made as a part of the US Mutual Defense Assistance Program especially for the Italian Army 🇮🇹.
These M107 you see were originally intended to be used with Italian M114 howitzers. In the early 1990s Italian M114 were withdrawn from service - apparently along with the ammunition.
However projectiles were not disposed of - and now they have been transferred to the Ukrainian army as a part of military aid from Italy 🇮🇹.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 20
#Ukraine: The Ukrainian army has received more Iranian-made 🇮🇷 ammunition - in addition to 122mm, 152mm HE projectiles (for D-20 howitzers and 2S3 Akatsiya SPG) have also appeared. Like last time, these projectiles were manufactured in 2022.
Despite the fact that this type of ammunition is not shown in Iranian export catalogs, the Iranian state is known to make 152mm projectiles for domestic use - and Iranian-made 152mm projectiles have been documented in Syria too. ImageImage
The examples seen in both countries also use the distinctive Iranian B-429E fuzes, additionally confirming Iranian origin of the projectiles. Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 17
#Ukraine: A video recently surfaced showing Chinese mortar bombs in Ukraine, claiming they were supplied to the Russian army from China and then captured by Ukrainian forces.
Spoiler - this is absolutely not true.
Indeed, in the video we can see a crate full of Chinese-made mortar bombs - these are Type 63 60mm bombs (a.k.a Type 27) with Pai-1A fuzes. The ones seen on the video were manufactured in 1975. For those who aren't informed, the Russian army doesn't use any 60mm mortar platforms.
Moreover, these bombs were already documented by us back in May, when they were captured from the Ukrainian army in Rubizhne, Donetsk Oblast. The examples captured back then are even manufactured in the same year.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 12
#Ukraine: Perhaps you through that Ukrainian Army captures from #Izium City were over. Wrong!

First: Seven MT-LB armoured vehicles, two T-72B-series tanks, a destroyed BTR-82A. (Note two tanks seen at end are already known)

Again, pics are thanks to @OSINTua-even more materiel.
Another casual MT-LB, and two more BTR-82A APC just sitting there.
It seems there was a lot of APC in this location; 4x BTR-82A, a BMP-2 IFV, and a transport truck.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 11
#Ukraine: Yet more massive quantities of armour and vehicle left behind by Russian forces in #Kharkiv. These images are thanks to @OSINTua, and are quite remarkable.

First, MT-LB, MT-LBVM with other MT-LB based vehicle, MT-LB with DShKM HMG, BMP-2 IFV.
Next: Two MT-LB, a BMP-2, and a 2S6M/M1 combat vehicle from the 2K22M/M1 Tunguska anti-aircraft system that was destroyed earlier.
Three more BMP-2 IFV, and a BTR-82A also left behind.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 6
#Ukraine: We obtained another video demonstrating 🇮🇷 Iranian OF-462 122mm projectiles used by Ukrainian artillerymen - this time with much clearer markings, unequivocally identifying them as manufactured in Iran in 2022.
The way the crate is marked is absolutely identical to most Iranian materiel supplied abroad. The ammunition crate itself is also the same as crates coming from Iran. There's no way that's a coincidence.
The markings also state the fuze used - B-429E, which is an Iranian copy of the Soviet V-429E artillery fuze. The same designation is presented only in the Iranian Defense Industries Organization catalogue.
Read 9 tweets

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