Karen Cutter Profile picture
Nov 17 9 tweets 4 min read
NSW Health have released their epi report for the week ending 12 November.
A thread/
#Covid19Aus #Covid19NSW

You can find the full report here...
health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/cov…
Cases are up 60% this week, back above 20,000 for the week.
While not shown here, RAT cases more than doubled (up from 3,600 to 8,000) while PCR cases increased from 10,500 to 14,600.
PCR test positivity is still going up, at 16% this week.
By age band, adult age groups increased by 65%. Kids up by 50%. That gap between the 60+ age group and the rest is getting bigger.
480 people admitted to hospital or ICU this week, and I expect another 90-ish not yet including in the data.
That's admissions up about 35% on last week.
The number of people in hospital is back over 1,000, up 23%
24 deaths again this week.
Latest variant picture, noting this goes up to 5 Nov so is almost 2 weeks old.
Reading numbers off the graph, it looks like:
- BA.5 still about 50% of cases
- our home grown BR.2 about 25%
- BA.2.75 about 10%
- BQ.1.1 about 8%.

ends/
@Mike_Honey_ I have another variant question for you sorry. Is BR.2 shown here both BR.2 and BR.2.1? And why is BA.2.75 growing all of a sudden?
I am finding it very hard to keep track!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Karen Cutter

Karen Cutter Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @KarenCutter4

Nov 17
An excellent short piece by @meepbobeep on US mortality in 2020 and 2021 (provisional data).
A thread of a few highlight (lowlights really)/
The age-adjusted mortality rate increased by 17% in 2020 and a further 3% in 2021.
The age-adjusted mortality rate for 2021 is similar to levels last seen 20 years ago.
The increase in mortality in males was higher than in females in both years (M 18%, F 15% in 2020; M 4%, F 2% in 2021)
Read 12 tweets
Nov 16
The ABS released some new data on Covid deaths today, looking at breakdowns by various demographics over the different Covid waves.
#COVID19Aus
A thread/

You can find the full report here...
abs.gov.au/articles/covid…
The ABS have reported on the following waves:
- wave 1 = March-May 2020
- wave 2 = June-Nov 2020, predominantly in Victoria
- Delta wave = July-Dec 2021
- Omicron wave = 2022, with some stats further broken down by month.

Data is based on registered death certificates.
First up, they show a table of deaths *from* covid (ie. covid was the cause of death) versus *with* covid (ie. covid was a contributing factor). But I find my own graph easier to understand 🙃
Proportion with covid increased in the Omicron wave with increased prevalence.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 15
After the comments by CMO Paul Kelly yesterday where he predicted Australia’s coming wave would be short and sharp based on Singapore’s experience, I thought I’d have a quick look at the two countries.
Here are cases diagnosed.

Shows both countries had similar sized BA.5 waves in July.

And then Singapore had XBB in Oct. Peaked a little below BA.5 wave, and wasn’t as long. Image
Note that the peak of Australia’s BA.5 wave is now about 4 months ago, whereas in Singapore, their BA.5 wave was 3 months prior to XBB.

So we’ve had an additional month of waning immunity. Not sure how material this might be.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 11
I would like to apologise for the use of the word “faaark” in three of my tweets yesterday.

I was unaware of the panic it would create.

I would like to apologise for being hysterical. I’m sorry for crying. I sorry for being a bedwetter.

I now understand…
..this coming wave will definitely be short and sharp.

I have a much better understanding of hybrid immunity now, so no need for my demands for PH measures to be reinstated.

I have embarrassed myself.

I will try to stick to the facts from now on.
I forgot to include that I will now be using the term "not good" as it will avoid the mayhem that "faaark" created.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 10
The NSW Health epi report for the week ending 5 November was released today.
I feel like I follow NSW reasonably closely, but there were a few surprises in here for me.
#Covid19Aus #Covid19NSW
You can find the full report here...
health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/cov…
Surprise #1: Cases were up 45% this week, with 14,000 cases reported.
While this is still much lower than earlier in the year, it is a lot more cases than the weekly update suggested (the last weekly update was to 3 Nov, had 12,500 cases reported, up 24% on the previous week).
Surprise #2: The number of PCR tests conducted was up a bit (10%), but positivity increased A LOT to 14%. Not good.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 9
The ABS yesterday released some new stats on life expectancy.
Before I comment on the numbers, I thought I'd explain what this measure of life expectancy is.
A thread/
There are two ways to measure life expectancy:
1. period life expectancy, which is what the ABS data is
2. cohort life expectancy, that I'll circle back to at the end of this thread.
Period life expectancy is the life expectancy of a person if they had the same mortality every year of their life as the "period" upon which the estimate is based.
e.g., the ABS table in their tweet shows the 2020 life expectancy at birth for Australia of 84.3 years.
Read 19 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(