1/ #India and #Pakistan are once again on the brink of conflict following a shooting attack in #Kashmir – a long-disputed region. But beyond the two, there's a third key player to watch: #China
2/ China controls part of eastern Kashmir (Aksai Chin), is building military infrastructure in Tibet, and maintains a deep strategic partnership with Pakistan. If tensions escalate, Beijing could be drawn in — by choice or necessity.
3/ How might China respond to a potential escalation? Three main avenues are likely:
🔹 Arms supply
🔹 Intelligence & cyber support
🔹 Military force deployment
Let’s break each one down:
China has quite sufficient production capacity, and it can produce as many weapons as long the are orders (demand).
1/8
For example, for equipment such as drones, when Chinese manufacturers fill up their production capacity, what Russia has to consider is not whether China can deliver the goods, but whether they can afford the money once China has fully filled its production capacity. 2/8
What the Russian army needs is micro-drones like the commercial DJI family, which the Russian army will use for reconnaissance. Then there are low-end drones like CH-3/4, which are already low-end models in China, but they are just good for the Russian army. 3/8