Thread by @TimInHonolulu

1. Because sadly I think any attempt to wake the @WhiteHouse up to deal with this catastrophe is likely to prove fruitless, I will focus on how to defeat the Turkish backed terrorists the best I can. So I looked at the NASA FIRMS maps and found something I didn't expect.

2. This shows fires in areas of the reported Turkish strikes in Syria to the east around Derik but it also show large numbers of fires in Turkey north of Syrian town. If these aren't a sudden burst of crop fires it looks like Turks are being hit but SDF doesn't have

3. long-range fire capability to my knowledge. So what is all that? I don't think is can be the flash of Turkish artillery because that is momentary and the satellites would have to be right over head. Unlikely. I have believed that the only way SDF can defend itself is to

4. take the battle to Turkey and make Turkey fight a major war on its turf rather than in Syria. Could that be what this is? Any other OSINT input would be helpful.

5. First, SDF should discussing with @Centcom the turn over of Hol camp so fighters can be used for defense of the civilians in AANES. This has been coming for some time so I have to believe that @DefenseIntel and @CIA are prepared to take control of the camp. I think something

6.short of a brigade should be enough but I don't know enough to be certain. Expect ISIS to attempt breakouts because this is all coordinated with the the Turks.

7. A head-on attack of the Turks will play into their air and weapons superiority. Taking villages and town in Turkey and cutting of the ability of Turkey to relieve as the expanding fan of SDF possession inside of Turkey will require Erdogan to focus on the force in Turkey.

8. If Erdogan wants to bomb cities let them all be in Turkey. Next a general Kurdish uprising in Iraq that goes after all the Turkish bases. Make being in a Turkish base near impossible. Move quickly and avoid using cell phones to be targeted by drones. Dismount from vehicles.

9. Turkish drones and F-16s are noisy and listening posts can be stood up to give warnings of air activity. Digging bunkers that are not a single target but an interconnected series of posts connected by a covered trench will allow the SDF to hold position while the

10. Turks play the shell game guessing which part of trench system to hit. Then go for strategic targets. Free the water by opening the gates on the water control in AANES. Then take action to prevent the Turks from cutting it off if they take control again.

11. A long protracted war favors the Turks. A fast attack that Turkey does not expect will create the basis for international involvement and hopefully the end of Turkey's colonial quest in Syria and Iraq. Let's call it operation #TurkeyTrot to make the Turks trot back home.