Personally, I don't believe #Kadyrov or #Prigozhin will topple #Putin.
I regard them as warlords. They stand for the disintegration of Russian statehood. The Kremlin has long lost the monopoly on the use of violence. In any state, this is a dangerous development.
1/
The loss of the monopoly of violence, an environment with different violent actors may pave the way to civil strife.
Warlords and mercenaries bring us back to pre-modern statehood.
They loomed large during the Thirty-Year-War, the smuta or the civil war in #Russia. 2/
Any warlord must in the end be defeated by superior force. And the loyalty of warlords is questionable.
They play their own game.
/end

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jan Claas Behrends

Jan Claas Behrends Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jcbehrends

Feb 21
Putin's speech begins with the same arguments as his essay last summer.
I think he really believes in his historical mission.
#Putin #UkraineRussiaCrisis
Understanding Putin's historical thinking means understanding his position in this conflict.
Putin thinks #Ukraine is an artificial product of the Soviet era.
He really thinks like Alexander III.
Read 26 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(