Scott Reid Profile picture
Nov 26 8 tweets 3 min read
It escapes me how any rational observer could conclude this past week was anything but a thorough success for the government. Not in the sense of 'we won'. No one wins. But the immense jeopardy that each minister, the PM and the PMO faced was averted entirely. #POEC
Trudeau faced a grueling test today. Hours of televised, public testimony on technical, difficult and extremely important issues. And he provided controlled, compelling & in-depth explanations of his every move and consideration. He didn't take a single punch. #POEC
It will fall to the Commissioner to determine if the statutory obligations of the EA were met. Or whether they need amendment. Or whether protocols governing interaction between leaders and policing services need revisiting. Much less interactions between levels of gov't #POEC
But those hoping for a faceplant from the relevant Ministers and PM surely came away devastated. Instead, the convoy's advocates limped off looking reduced and incoherent. All week, they offered conspiracies, incompetence and heckles. And not much else #POEC
So gruesome was the convoy's humiliation that poor Brendan Miller was stripped of his grand moment. We can only assume his bumbling exhibitions cost him the opportunity to face down Trudeau. It's gotta sting when absurd people deem you too absurd to tolerate any longer. #POEC
The PMO deserves huge credit. They were prepared and serious. They adjusted and compensated for past oversights. They created a clear narrative and put Ministers in a position to succeed. Most importantly, they readied their boss for a huge risk. They really came through. #POEC
One of the sure tells of how profoundly capable the govt's management has been is the deafening silence from the Official Opposition. Once champions of the convoy, they are now wisely unseen. Not a word of quarrel or quibble. Poilievre smartly swallowed his whistle all week #POEC
Who knows what Rouleau thinks. Who knows what he'll conclude or recommend. Those are challenges to contemplate another day. But this week was a giant landmine. And Blair, Mendocino, Lametti, Freeland, Telford, Broadhead, Clow and Trudeau all walked through unscathed. #POEC

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More from @_scottreid

Nov 25
For Trudeau there are three keys to a successful outing today. First: Be Prepared. I assume this is a given. His Ministers and staff have appeared very ready. But remember the atypicality of this setting. Only the 3rd time in history a PM has appeared at a judicial inquiry. #POEC
A PM is never subjected to the marathon of four straight hours of questioning. When any sentence can be your undoing. Requires huge concentration. And it's a lot harder to steal large chunks of time for prep from the PMs sked than a Minister's. #POEC
Second: Be Deliberate. PMJT does not have the option of not making news today. So he needs to be deliberate and go in having made choices about where and how he wants to make news. Carry in your own clip. Of your choosing. Make it brightly coloured and everything else grey #POEC
Read 6 tweets
Nov 25
As PMJT appears today before Rouleau - only the third time in history a PM has testified under oath at a judicial inquiry (I happened to be around for the last one) - I think there's been something notable about the testimony from Ministers this week. Something overlooked.
#POEC
A few other things, before coming to that. First, to varying degrees, I would say the Ministers have acquitted themselves well this week. No one has blown up. No one has become a raging news story. No one has broken down under questioning like a bad ep of Law & Order. #POEC
Second, they've all made a shift in tone that was necessary: They're owning the decision to invoke the EA. So much of the gov'ts early trouble in messaging around this subject was their apparent reluctance to accept responsibility for the decision - i.e. the cops wanted it #POEC
Read 13 tweets
Jun 10
The mistaken assumption that the @TorontoStar and so many others are making right now is that Poilievre isn't already serious. Or that he's just posing, fishing for votes and he will, at some point, pivot/dilute/moderate his arguments and positions. This is assumed because...
It is typical. But PP is atypical. He is a proudful, deliberate, explicit departure from convention. He and his people roasted O'Toole for campaigning as one thing and then becoming another. PP will NOT do that. AND he doesn't believe he needs to in order to win the country
They believe the well of anger, antipathy and grievance toward elites who direct our institutions is deeper than the TO Star Ed Board or all us pundits and salon talkers realize. They believe a coalition can be built on the broad back of that fury. And dammit, they might be right
Read 11 tweets
Feb 2
I see people saying the #CPC has shown how divided it's become and now we'll witness a rollicking battle for the soul of the party. That's not how I see it. That battle is over and won. I think Conservatives know exactly who they are and what they stand for. #cdnpoli
The #CPC will be a dedicated populist movement, harder-edged, more accommodating of online demagoguery, misinformation and feeding people's grievances back at them. They'll talk about the Harper coalition but it owes a lot more to the modern GOP - the DeSantises of the world #CPC
This party will not permit itself to be defined as hard-right or SoCon - but it will be much less uncomfortable with and far more inviting of those elements. They won't front-window them but they won't shame them either and they'll be quick to defend them. #CPC
Read 8 tweets
Jan 3
So, in anticipation let's try to put some structure to all of this. I recognize that there might be no alternative to these measures - that we've so failed to take proactive measures and the viral spread is so great that shutting society down might be the only option. #onpoli
But what frustrates is the way in which the Ford government's approach is so consistently late, improvised and half-assed. Never acting in anticipation in order to mitigate, only responding in desperation with measures that may well be too overdue to achieve much good #onpoli
What's clearly lacking is a plan - and, just as importantly - the articulation of a plan. How are decisions being taken? What are the critical indicators that will guide future policy change? How will the impact on people and small biz be mitigated? No framework. Ever. #onpoli
Read 12 tweets
Oct 30, 2021
The G20 exists because Paul Martin & Gordon Brown recognized in 1997 that a gathering as unrepresentative as the G7/8 would find it impossible to manage transnational challenges in an interdependent world. It was sparked by the Asian Crisis but its logic persisted #G20Italy
My old boss Mr. Martin was absolutely gripped by the issue. He began lobbying for a G20 while hosting the 1998 APEC Finance Ministers in Kananaskis, Alta (an event that gave me a classic Ralph Klein anecdote). We even had windbreakers made up with a nifty logo #G20Italy
By 1999, he had made real progress internationally. The first G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting was held in Berlin. And Martin served as its inaugural Chair. It was an important milestone. But there was still stiff resistance at the Leaders' level #G20Italy
Read 12 tweets

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