Climate crisis has added fuel to a debt fire. Global south countries borrowing costs have soared just when they need it the most. Many face impossible choices.
This is menu of what must be done. What are political blockages to action on these fronts? eurodad.org/a_tale_of_two_…
3/ Burdened by Covid, Debt & Climate crises, Latin & Central Am are at frontlines of 21stC system-level shocks. Green investment, debt write-offs, and bigger welfare states are solutions.
4/ The position of developing countries is analogous to the position of municipalities in rich countries. Both face extremely high financing costs in bond markets even though they need to do adaptation & decarbonization the most.
5/ Climate & finance ppl must grok geopolitics. "Interwoven into Anglo-American legal and financial wealth-defense networks is a transnational security apparatus"
6/ There have been a slew of proposals to reform IMF & World Bank governance as they empower put creditor interests.
Unequal country quotas at the IMF make climate-vulnerable countries underrepresented in decisions that disproportionately impact them. bu.edu/gdp/files/2022…
7/ Are there ways to break the deadlock? Can climate finance flow without changing intl finance architecture?
8/ In bombshell report @danielmunevar finds poor countries will pay an astonishing $330B in debt service on bonds worth $691B. What governs the size of the pound of flesh that global bondholders demand for lending money to poor countries? ht @policytensor policytensor.substack.com/p/global-polar…
9/ @rishirbhandary on how intl fin architecture is being pushed
">#COP27 called on MDBs to do more on climate finance
>Yellen has called for a World Bank evolution roadmap
>G20 report on MDB capital adequacy shows they could increase lending by billions" opendemocracy.net/en/oureconomy/…
10/ It is a rich irony that states who drilled the most oil and gas - US, Saudi Arabia, UAE etc - also have the money that is being used for climate finance
Unsurprisingly, they want to keep drilling & don't want to turn into "stranded countries". Thread
11/ Climate finance is riddled with greenwashing schemes.
Saudis and Emiratis are taking Biden's CCS and Hydrogen program to the developing world. The "Build Back Better world agenda", is brought to you by the gulf petrostates #GeopoliticsOfGHGs
Nothing in life is certain except destabilizing climate, 'uneven & combined development' & taxes.
Join us in a few hours (3pm EST) with an amazing panel to discuss Climate, global political economy, & power. There will be a recording if you can't make it bit.ly/money-and-clim…
"Problem of modernization has not gone away. In fact, it has returned with unprecedented urgency with #climatecrisis. The advanced nations of the world want a global energy transition. The Third World states have more urgent priorities..." @policytensor policytensor.substack.com/p/global-polar…
Cracking Polycrisis panel on Money, Climate, Debt is now live. Tune in here:
Fun & insightful Polycrisis panel. If you missed it,don't FOMO. Recording here:
-Financing & dollars are drying up for rest of the world just when they need it the most
-get domestic politics right & countries can creatively do a lot
The "flying geese" model
"(originally presented by Akamatsu), according to which transfers of tech foreign investment, &trade between richer and poorer parts of a region generate development through a restructuring in the division of labor" - Alice Amsden citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid…
2/"Japanese and South Korean firms built supply chains across SE Asia to lower production costs and reach Western markets. Samsung invested heavily in manufacturing plants in Vietnam. Japanese automakers like Toyota...set up auto plants across Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia"
3/ "And of course, Japan and South Korea helped turn China into a global manuf hub. Along the way, Japanese & Korean companies frequently brought over their own machinery and equipment while keeping the high-tech, high-value work at home." - @kyleichan high-capacity.com/p/china-is-try…
This week we scan the latest frontiers of Trump’s trade war, from India to Brazil, amid the US pressure campaign against Russia. We end in Alaska, where Putin is slated to meet Trump on Friday. Is a new world order taking shape before our very eyes? buttondown.com/polycrisisdisp…
2/ On Aug 6, Trump punished India with an addil 25% tariff for buying Russian oil in an executive order The EO’s title —Addressing threats to the US by the Russian Federation —made it clear that this wasn’t about bilateral US-India trade but about Ukraine buttondown.com/polycrisisdisp…
Holy moly trump killed Moderna in US!!
“The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) today announced the beginning of a coordinated wind-down of its mRNA vaccine development activities...."
“The projects — 22 of them — are being led by some of the nation’s leading pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer and Moderna to prevent flu, COVID-19 and H5N1 infections.” apnews.com/article/kenned…
Trump government curbing research in vaccines, satellites, NIH, NSF, cancer research, clean energy,
Is this the beginning of the American dark ages? Sure feels like it
America in its Florentine Medici era
9 billionaire families:
Free market capitalism is designed to produce Billionaire Raj. But the extraordinary FAANG tech boom is a v recent development. Since 2016 the largest corporations have shot up in market value. Their CEOs became *more* Right to protect wealth from taxes policytensor.substack.com/p/a-note-on-th…
Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum is an energy systems expert. She is positioning Mexico to lead in the global green economy —from EVs & batteries to Renewables,Critical minerals,HVAC manufacturing. Her Plan Mexico is at a critical juncture. Our report: netzeropolicylab.com/mexico-green-o…x.com/maxvejares/sta…
Claudia Sheinbaum:“Plan Mexico is the path that I am certain will lead us to a Mexico with more well-paid jobs, with less poverty & inequality...with a lower carbon footprint that respects the environment and increases our self-sufficiency and sovereignty" netzeropolicylab.com/mexico-green-o…
3/ How did Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum became the most popular president in the world?
Read this.
“We will not return to the neoliberal model … We will continue with Mexican Humanism and with the maxim of ‘For the good of all, first the poor.’” phenomenalworld.org/analysis/the-f…
"The Financial Times has misled its readers by not clearly stating that its promotion of trade blocs and revision of other key principles means in reality the abandonment of neoliberal globalization as a project"
Martin Wolf: "It is conflicts over power that most threaten globalisation. By seeking to enhance their security, great powers make their rivals more insecure, creating a vicious downward spiral of distrust. We are already a long way down this spiral" ft.com/content/8954a5…