➕➖ CALCulated Thinking ✖️➗

Episode #5: Systems for investing ⚙️

If habits make the person, rules make the investment strategy.

Is having a clear system for your investments the key to becoming a successful investor?🧵
1/ HABITS

Habits are the bite-sized components that make up our lives.

Good habits like eating healthy, working out and being generous create positive outcomes in life.

Bad habits like eating junk food, over-partying and gossiping create negative ones.

See @PowerOfHabitt
2/ INVESTMENT HABITS

The same concept applies to our investments.

Good habits like doing research, regular risk assessments, using cold storage and #DCA create bountiful portfolios.

Bad habits are simply those that come from having no plan and the result is getting rekt📉
3/ SYSTEMS FOR INVESTING ⚙️

The sum of your investment habits makes your system for investing⚙️

These are the rules that you as an investor adhere to reach your goals.

For example, @thedefiedge has some great ones to use as guidance 👇

thedefiedge.com/crypto-investi…
4/ SETTING YOUR SYSTEM

But don't expect to just get it right!

Most crypto veterans have been galvanised through many hard lessons, taking losses and doing things like following the herd...👇

It's never too late to adjust your system, or set one up!
5/ RISK, STYLE, THESIS

To start, it's worth having an honest look at what kind of investor you want to be. Some things to consider are:

👉 Risk tolerance
👉 Investment style
👉 Investment thesis

Can you lose it all?
Do you have the time?
What assets do you believe in?
6/ SYSTEM #1

Let's look at some examples:

Ash is a 9-5 weekend warrior and is willing to make a small bet on web3. She gets 'not your keys, not your crypto'.

She has spare income at month's end, but little time.

A friend told her about @TeamKujira and #IBC. She resonates.
7/ cont'd

Ash sets her own system⚙️
1️⃣ Always uses a ledger device
2️⃣ On-ramps $200 at month-end using @local_p2p
3️⃣ Uses $150 to buy native $BTC and $ETH on @THORChain
4️⃣ Send the rest over to Kujira using #IBC and DCAs weekly into $KUJI on @CALC_Finance.
5️⃣ HODL & Repeat.
8/ SYSTEM #2

Pete works for @coingecko and breathes crypto 24/7 but degen gambling is his Achilles heel.

He got rekt twice in 2022, but part of the reason he is in crypto is the thrill of the 100x (As long as he can keep paying rent).

He loves #NFTs and doesn't mind CEXs.
9/ cont'd

Pete sets his own system⚙️
1️⃣ Has 200 $USDC at month-end.
2️⃣ 100 $USDC go into @Kucoincom. He sets his 10x bets.
3️⃣ 100 $USDC are sent to @StargazeZone using @axelarcore
4️⃣ Sweeps the floor and spends time flipping NFTs.
5️⃣ Takes profits into $BTC.
6️⃣ HODL & Repeat.
10/ SYSTEM #3

Crush got into crypto in April 2021 📈

He got into #Terra, made some gains, took some profits, regularly used a ledger and even diversified a bit.

But he ALWAYS did so on a whim.

He knew his 101s, but he had NO SYSTEM ⚙️

It's Nov 2022, and Chris is REKT 📉
11/ cont'd

This means that although Crush knew what he needed to do, he seldom did.

His knowledge never translated into action because he didn't have investment habits⚙️.

According to 'The Power of Habit', 45% of our decisions are made out of habit 👇

sloanreview.mit.edu/article/are-ha…
12/ Which system do you identify with the most?
13/ TAKEAWAYS ⚙️

👉 Everyone has their own system ⚙️
👉 A simple system is better than no system.
👉 Think of your risk, thesis and investment style.
14/ This is ep #5 of our education series:

➕✖️ Calculated Thinking ➗➖

☑️ Follow @CALC_Finance
☑️ Like + RT to spread this info.
☑️ Join our TG protocol discussions: t.me/calcprotocol
☑️ TG Announcement channel: t.me/CALC_Finance

Not financial advice.

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More from @CALC_Finance

Oct 28
Episode #4: Is your portfolio risk-balanced? Probably not! 😲

When we allocate our portfolios, we do so based on our asset conviction, and often over-simplify risk in the process.

But is this the alpha play for managing risk?

By @Marco_112358 (CALC Strategy DAO)

🧵
Deciding on your portfolio’s asset allocation is challenging.

Doing so by comparing your belief in certain assets over others tends to be a good basis.

But this comes at the expense of risk: humans are hard-wired to be terrible at judging risk👇

wired.com/2007/03/securi…
Enter Risk Decomposition 🚪

A tried and tested method for understanding how your portfolio's risk decomposes into its individual assets. 🧠

This refers to the risk of an asset changing past a certain threshold📉 (price down 😩 )
Read 11 tweets
Oct 17
Harnessing the herd mentality 🐑🐑🐑🐑

It's obvious that not everyone on #twitter has your best interests at heart but have you ever blindly invested in something because everyone else was doing it?

Why?

A #GrownUpDeFi THREAD: 🧵 Image
What is herd mentality?

→ The tendency of people in a group to think and behave in ways that conform with others in the group rather than as individuals.
This social tendency is a double-edged sword ⚔️

On one hand, it may pay to move against the herd:

1. @michaeljburry shorting the housing bubble in 2007
2. @GiganticRebirth's $UST short
3. Even @NicolasFlamelX exiting $LUNA in size before things went south
Read 23 tweets
Oct 12
Breaking the #FOMO mindset 😰 🧠 📌 🔨

Be more self-aware when making investment decisions by better understanding the mechanics behind the FOMO phenomenon.

🧵
'Fear of missing out' refers to the fear of not being included in something that others are experiencing.

It's a behavioural phenomenon that can directly influence our investment decisions and is rooted in a fundamental human need:

→ A sense of belonging.
According to clinical psychologist Natalie Dattilo:

“FOMO includes both the perception of missing out, which triggers anxiety, as well as compulsive behaviors, to maintain social connections.

People are likely to experience FOMO if their basic psychological needs aren’t met."
Read 25 tweets
Oct 6
Loss aversion — a behavioral phenomenon where humans show a higher sensitivity to potential losses than to gains — is most likely negatively affecting your investment decision making.

But what exactly is loss aversion and how can understanding it make you a better investor?

🧵
The tendency to value something more when it is lost rather than gained is deep-rooted in our evolutionary history:

→ Those that feared the snake in the grass were more likely to pass on their snake-fearing genes than those who were too greedily picking fruit to notice.
In fact:

→ In low-resource environments humans are cognitively biassed to make sure they do not go below the minimal level of resources required for survival.
Read 19 tweets

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