Adam Frisch and Adam Gray lost #CO03 and #CA13, respectively, by less than 600 votes each. And they conceded. Didn’t cry fraud. Didn’t insult the integrity of elections workers. Didn’t claim that the elections were rigged.
Compare that to Kari Lake and Mark Finchem.
Lake and Finchem lost their races by a larger point margin than Frisch and Gray. And they continue, to this day, to insist that they won the race and that the contest was “stolen” from them. Even though they didn’t even do as well as Trump in 2022 - and HE lost.
Losing an election doesn’t make somebody a loser.
Lying to people’s faces, manipulating people, not having an ounce of dignity and being willing to burn democracy to the ground for the sake of your bruised ego - THAT makes you a loser.
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Let me say first for the record that I love Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Great states. Great people.
I'm also a person who likes to quantify things.
Why might it make sense for Democrats to shift the order of the primaries?
Let's look at the results.
If you take a look from 1984 onward, which is the time period in which all four of the early voting states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina all had primaries and caucuses, looking at non-incumbents, the winner of the SC primary most frequently won the General.
The non-incumbent winner of the New Hampshire Primary has not gone on to be elected President at any point from 1984 onward.
The Iowa Caucus famously sent Barack Obama on his way to the Presidency in 2008.
If you had to choose between the following candidates for office:
Candidate A says they support issues important to you but they have a lot of character issues.
Candidate B is on the opposite side of your most important issues but seems like a great person.
For years, I think a lot of people have voted for Candidate A. Because we’re tribalized to the max. For a long time I would have minimally refused to vote for Candidate B.
But the last several years have made me wonder if this approach is inherently flawed.
All politics aside, can you really expect good results from bad people?
Kari Lake and her supporters are trying to blame her loss on Election Day voting issues in Maricopa County.
So let’s talk about all the counties other than Maricopa where Kari Lake did worse than Donald Trump did in 2020. And Donald Trump LOST Arizona in 2020.
Kari Lake underperformed Trump in the following Arizona Counties not named Maricopa (which is 59.7% of Arizona’s Voting Age Population)
Cochise County (1.9% of VAP)
Coconino County (2.2%)
Gila County (0.8%)
Graham County (0.5%)
Greenlee County (0.1%)
Mohave County (3.3%)
…
Kari Lake underperformed Trump in the following Arizona Counties not named Maricopa (which is 59.7% of Arizona’s Voting Age Population)
Pima County (15.1% of VAP)
Pinal County (6.5%)
Yavapai County (3.7%)
A lot of candidates of both parties lost close elections in the 2022 midterms. Most of them conceded the races and accepted it didn’t go their way this time. Otherwise known as adulting.
But because two candidates, the drama queens who ran for #AZGOV and #AZSOS, refuse to admit they lost, spurred on by the biggest drama queen who has ever lived, Donald Trump, I decided to compare a few things.
We know what it looks like when a Republican wins Arizona. Donald Trump himself narrowly won Arizona in 2016. It wasn’t pretty and was a lot closer than when Romney won the state just four years beforehand. But we can use that as a baseline. And compare it to 2020 and 2022.