There will be howls of "escalation" from the Kremlin and its stooges in the West, but in #Patriot, the U.S. is giving Ukraine a strong shield, not a sword. cnn.com/2022/12/13/pol…
This system will significantly improve Ukraine's air defenses, and give it the possibility to protect itself from the threat of attack by ballistic missiles - Russia is known to have been attempting to procure ballistic missiles from Iran.
A long-range system, Patriot gives Ukraine the chance to add another layer to its air defenses, which include the shorter-range NASAMS, IRIS-T, and Gepard - all of which have proved highly effective. Ukraine also obtained the elderly yet still effective Hawk SAM from Spain.
Ukraine itself operates the Soviet-era S-300 SAM system, another aging system that proved not up to the task of reliably protecting the country against attack by Russia's cruise missiles.
Ukraine's fighter jet pilots have also become expert in shooting down Russian cruise missiles and Iranian suicide drones. But until Ukraine has Patriot up and running, the country has no defense against ballistic missiles other than trying to destroy them at their launch sites.
Case in point. Russia understands perfectly that NATO is a defense alliance, and the only threat it poses is to the Kremlin’s ability to invade its neighbors. It even moved troops from its border with Norway and sent them to Ukraine.
There was no prospect of the US sending Patriots to Ukraine before Russia’s full-scale invasion - that’s an absurd falsehood. They’re coming to Ukraine entirely due to Putin’s own aggression.

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More from @Euan_MacDonald

Dec 7
Tu-141 reconnaissance drone, which Ukraine may have modified into a cruise missile with 1K km range - enough to strike Russian strategic bomber air bases. Thing is, only 142 of them were made, we don't know how many UA has, and the Soviets used to use them for target practice.
One of these is known to have crashed in Zagreb, Croatia, 550 km from Ukraine, on March 10, presumably after having suffered a catastrophic navigation failure.
Unknown weapons, but within the Tu-141's range, struck the Saki airbase in UA's Russian-occupied Crimea on Aug 9. On Oct. 9, an explosion struck the Crimea bridge between UA's Crimea and Russia - at a distance even further than the Saki attack, but still within Tu-141's range.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 5
Air raid alert in #Kyiv: Central and eastern oblasts so far. Electricity went out at 1300 for scheduled blackout, but air raid sirens we’re working this time. Usually have mobile Internet for an hour or so after the power goes, then the cellular base station’s battery runs out.
"were working"

Autocorrect is the bone of my lift.
Novina Ukrayina says 12 Russian Tu-95s have launched missiles at Ukraine, and there could be 50 cruise missiles incoming.
Read 26 tweets
Dec 5
Not enough info to draw firm conclusions, but explosion at Engels air base (700 km away), where Russian bombers that attack Ukrainian cities are based, comes day after Ukraine announced successful tests of 1,000-km-range strike drone. Quite a coincidence.
Read 13 tweets
Dec 5
Interesting video of explosion at Engels Airbase. At 15 sec, sound of something passing overhead. At 42 sec, light from explosion. 19 secs later - sound of blast, about 6.2 km away (speed of sound 326.34 m/s, dry air -8 C.)
As has been pointed out: We can't know if the "whatever-it-is" that is heard at 15 sec in the video is connected to the explosion - it could have been a jet on approach to the air base, but we can't know the direction or speed of the "whatever-it-is" from just this video.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 5
Explosion reported at Engels airbase in Russia, two Tu-95 bombers said damaged. Perhaps drone attack - at 700 km from nearest UA airbase, it’s within reported range of claimed new UA strike drone. Perhaps accident with missile - it’s one of the bases from which Russia attacks UA.
Also reports of a fuel truck exploding at airfield in Ryazan. Mistakes in rushed preparation for another big strike on Ukrainian cities?
Read 6 tweets
Nov 27
Putin finally torpedoes the Russian propaganda myth of "separatists" and "civil war" in Ukraine. It was always a covert Russian military intervention, and media that continue to talk about "separatists" are quite simply misleading their audiences.
english.nv.ua/nation/putin-s…
That's not to say there aren't some separatists in Ukraine - but they were always a tiny minority, and only in the areas where Kremlin forces managed to establish a foothold did the "separatists" succeed.
The "Donetsk People's Republic" and "Luhansk People's Republic" are sham entities, set up in 2014 to mask Russia's military intervention in Ukraine. They are controlled and financed from the Kremlin, and always have been.
Read 4 tweets

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