1/ The #ETH2 Deposit has amassed, holding 12% of the total supply.
As the $ETH exchange reserve drops down to 15% of the total supply and continues to decrease,
What will happen on $ETH after the Shanghai Hard Fork?🧵 shorturl.at/svV08
2/ #Ethereum 'Shanghai Hard Fork' is set for March next year.
After the fork, it will enable withdrawals for $ETH stakers/validators from the Beacon Chain.
It can be estimated to be about 15M, or 12% of the total $ETH supply.
From a short-term perspective, there are higher APY strategies than staking rewards by depositing ETH2 that might not be promised to withdraw. shorturl.at/grvx1
4/ How have the ETH2 depositors and balance changed? 📊
Compared to 2021, the number of depositors decreased by 57% in 2022.
But the deposited balance is similar to last year.
In other words, the total balance per deposit increased by 133% in 2022👀
5/ What about the $ETH exchange reserve?
It may be that the balance of $ETH2 increases as the $ETH exchange reserve decreases.
18M of $ETH are held on the exchange, 15% of the total supply.
However, the exchange reserve is an ongoing downtrend. shorturl.at/clnR1
6/ After the Merge, the supply began to decline; 0.1M🔥
The supply and demand dynamics will shift after the fork, $ETH price volatility is imminent.
Will #Shanghai trigger mass-selling?
Or is it an opportunity that provides more liquidity to buy more $ETH shorturl.at/amH18
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1/ Technically, it was an "external transfer" from BlockFi to Gemini.
Despite BlockFi uses Gemini's custody wallets, it's not the right approach to cluster them into a single entity as flows in BlockFi and flows in Gemini have different patterns.
@CryptoQuant_com has a very conservative algorithm maximizing a dusting process by directly sending BTC to exchanges. Other data providers are maximizing on clustering, which might mislabel other exchanges' wallets.
The worst way to collect address labels is by copying other data providers' labels. What makes ruining this industry is most data providers copying other providers' data.
Sending crypto directly to exchanges is not cost-effective, but it's the most accurate way.