Most #smallcaps do not reverse split after being recent multiday runners. Typical R/S goes like BIMI, nothing going on month prior to the split. $COSM had a lot of swing carry positions at the tail end of multiday runner adjusted into split. Exploration opp for MMs.

1.
Whether there really was failure to adjust the split correctly before market open or it was done intentionally it doesnt matter. Due to selling restrictions by many, the supply was limited. It created purer fresh squeeze agenda, and less overhead participation.

2.
Restrictions on selling by many brokers added to the fact that float was more "pure" and untouched. Overhead reduced. Whoever decided to corner the float had less overhead selling presence, easier to market-make and drive out fresh shorts on SSR also.

3.
In short, it was easier to create demand imbalance.

4.

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More from @TradetheMatrix1

Dec 17
End of the week recap for cycle flows in #smallcaps. Regardless of $COSM action the overall message is still quite clear, weakness incorporated.

Thread:

1.
Big picture:
Strong cycle in August followed by weak cycles more or less into December followed by strong cycle that exhausted very quickly. One prior short lived strong cycle in Sept also ended the same.

Longer lasting weak cycles combined with short lived strong cycles.

2.
For example ADFs showed up very early into this strong cycle, just three days into it heavy ADF mode.
Same as in last one. All tickers that tried to take the lead position (AMAM etc) had no d2 or d3 followthroughs. Early exhaustion.

3.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 10
Prolonged contraction of ranges and volatility brings strong expansion after. But since contraction can last for very long (2 months) the key is identifying those little clues that suggest expansion this time really might happen.

Weak-strong ignition.
#smallcaps

Thread:
1.
Day2 liquidity increase is something I track closely. SMMT had two days ago significant increase in d2 liquidity and squeeze unlike majority of past tickers for entire month. Disconnect of theme. Significant factor.
Warning 1.

2.
Type4 patterns increased. They went from non-existent for entire 3 weeks to all sudden being present on $SMMT two days ago. Type4s never show up randomly. They are mostly present in early stages of strong cycle, they are liquidity hunting patterns for MMs.
Warning 2.

3.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 9
$AMAM was early avoidable short, but very impractical to know it ahead unless you have seen many strong cycles in small caps (4 years plus), because of key aspect: This pattern is rare.

thread:
1.
In early stage of every strong cycle there is one 0.5 USD ticker that gaps up, and then goes into halt squeeze mode. ( $APDN in August). The structure of this tickers is always the same (price/volatility/volumes). Its a pattern. But recognizing it can be difficult:

2.
It is strong cycle specific pattern. Short sellers get caught, because there is large gap between each new strong cycle (2 plus months). You forget how things went step by step last time.

There is the clue above. You have to reverse engineer whole flow d1-d14:

3.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 7
Doing manual test to confirm misconceptions is important to refine your knowledge of markets. Many ask: Are whole round numbers important in #smallcaps #trading?

Run simple exercise to see significance vs noise:

1.
Collect 200 smallcap charts, find how many run on fresh frontside into whole round number and what happens to price there. For example first push from 4.2 to 5.00.
Run it for multiple % levels not just one: 2, 4, 5 etc. First touch-test only.

2.
Is reject followed often (by 30c) or does many times price swipe straight over? Remember what you seek is significance vs randomness. If sometimes it works but many times it does not respect level at all, the answer is hidden in finding right complimentary situations.

3.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 6
Some have lately stepped up educating about manipulation in #smallcaps. To highlight there is significant difference in only doing it in hindsight vs doing it with actionable insight realtime. Second one requires significant more exp and trickery mindset.

1.
Key being if one can't do it realtime with forward warnings often the usecase is limited. Anyone can actually "educate" about rigged things in all games out there, because the complexity only is noticeable in realtime not hindsight. Why?

2.
Becuase of difficulty of getting it right realtime. For anyone really doing it well realtime you would quickly realize it's not easy to hit good accuracy at all, even if in hindsight it all clicks "on the paper".
Educating about it and executing on it is very different.

3.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 19
Let me give you outline why I trade fulltime daily #smallcaps and why "training" aspect is huge component. Why dedicating 5h or more and obsessively trying to be close to market changes on daily basis.

1.
When times get difficult and market changes people give up. They leave whatever the market niche where flows changed and go to some other market seeking for next better opportunity. This is problematic as you never develop sustainable edge in market. Always on the fence.

2.
Many traders over past two years got spoiled. They came to market for 1 hour made gains and left. Thought this is normal and that "training" aspect can be completely disregarded. When lush opportunity is out there sure you can take it very easy and comfy.

3.
Read 10 tweets

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