Time for some fun.
Instead of mocking others, let's do some self mocking.
This is the "best collection" of stocks.
I'm going #equalweight.
Just Ten MostBoring Stocks.
All-in-one Hall of fame list.
Presenting
The #BoringStocks of 2023.
Feel free to track & ridicule.
Here we go.
#HDFC. The mother of all boring stocks. Soon to be #hdfcbank.
Should do better simply because the expectations have never run so low.
1/10
#COALINDIA. No less boring. Much hated. Much bitched on WhatsApp. Everybody loves to abuse." Dividend play that's a widow stock" is what #BAAP Moghuls will call it on TV.
Most "intelligent investors" feel the same way about its owner as they do about their own mother-in-law.2/10
#Powergrid. Every now and then sees an inside hit job that will kill investor confidence. It has Ministries working overtime, competing with one another to destroy it's marketcap. And, it is so boringly safe that nobody loves it. Infact, "smart investors" hate safe stocks. 3/10
"Oh it's a PSU. Has only one customer." Somehow our intelli"gents" don't see shipyards & aeronautics the same way. Different strokes for different folks. But, this is so boringly safe, it's almost a sureshot. All you need is buy it when it falls. Or should I say, lands.#HAL 4/10
“Oh, you are too #PSU biased.” Before one of Old-Male Aunties start, let me steel up, move to the Private-Public sector- Yes, Tatas. Finally, something good can actually happen to #TataSteel. For old foggies waiting since 2008 for that Golden moment of Alchemy, 2023 is hope. 5/10
I don’t know if it’s a Private or PSU Bank. But, it has been slowly getting to where it always wanted to be. It has got its tech right, leadership in place,all growth engines going and looks well set. But, markets remain doubtful, awaiting bad news all the time. #ICICIBANK 6/10
Another Private-PSU. When i turned bullish at ₹1700, my friends gave me killer looks."You were such a critic?". When facts change, i changed my mind. Though it isn't #ITC, it's as diversified, if not worse. But, #Larsen 's time has come. It's in a classic buy on dip phase. 7/10
This Co is now kicking #ITC 's butt in its only winning #FMCG segment. Finally. But, it's management certainly doesn't inspire trust. Yet, its biz has got all the right cookies in the jar. The one #FMCG play that looks ahead to ₹#GoodDay' s. #Britannia is classic boring. 8/10
An Out of favour sector must find place in a #BoringStocks list. This stock's seen more controversy than any other #Pharma Co. But, it is also fundamentally a great Co. And, it has been doing all the right things recently. #Sunpharma is looking at better days. Hope it lasts. 9/10
Picking the last name is always tough. That's when you get more ideas, get confused on which one stock to pick. I am seeking divine help. So, will come back with the 10 th one soon.
Disclaimer: Cancer kills. And the only reason to buy this stock is it's cigarette business. The rest of the story is not firing anytime soon. But, cigarettes are lighting up faster than ever before. But,rest assured, its a boring ride from here. To all diehards, #ITC is 10/10.
Making a public portfolio as an open list is an over-rated skill. Portfolio management requires far more application, review, conviction & patience than it takes to simply do a list. This exercise is more to test out how a #BoringStocks list does vis-a-vis supersmart stock lists.
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“Why should I practise multi-asset investing?” Any die hard equity investor would loathe the idea. Investors tend to believe multi-asset investing is only meant for those with lower return expectations. But, that in my view, is stereotyping.
Multi-asset investing = Versatility.
When i decided to work in the advisory space, i asked myself a simple question. What will allow me the freedom to invest wherever the opportunity is most attractive? Only an open-minded approach would give me that freedom. Multi-asset investing helped me do that professionally.
Advising clients on multi-asset investing was hardly easy. Often, investors heavily influenced by recency bias would not listen to advise. Opportunity would be missed. It was when I decided that if we productise and take the investment discretion, we would be able to deliver.
Owning vast tracts of farm land was sign as wealth in 60s and 70s. Losing that land was seen as economic failure. So if you wanted to make a community lose economically, you had to make them sell their land. If they lost economically, they would automatically lose social status.
If they lose social status, they will have nothing left that motivates them to stay. So making people sell their land and leave was seen as political genius.
It worked for a few decades. Actually, it worked very well. People sold their lands, misallocated their monies and fell.
The fall was social, economic and political. It had a triple whammy. But, opportunity is always universal. It's the basic human spirit to somehow regain what you lost. Meet generations that follow people who lost everything & you will see a raging fire within them to succeed.
#newtaxregime - good or bad?
The debate has just begun.
Firstly, no sensible person saves or invests to avoid taxes.
We do it because we know we need to.
It's for our own good.
By investing a part of our income, we ensure we have enough money when our income stops or reduces.1/n
When we invest for our future, we need to have a plan.
We need to have measurement.
We need flexibility.
We need to practice a blended approach.
When one studies what people did with their tax savings, it will be amply clear their investing lacked on these critical needs. 2/n
Here are some glaring blunders.
Firstly, look at insurance.
Most people were missold insurance.
Yet they ended up being under insured.
People bought 50k worth of insurance policies.
Yet, they weren't even insured for 1 cr .
They saved taxes. But, still were exposed to risks. 3/n
This is for #Nykaa investors.
Assume you hold 100 Nykaa shares from the #IPO.
The IPO price was 1125.
A 5:1 bonus was issued.
Today you own 600 shares.
The cost of your original 100 shares will be your IPO purchase price.
If you sell now at 175, let's see the overall impact. 1/n
First , let us see the tax impact.
Your original 100 shares cost ₹1125.
IPO listing date was November 11, 2021. Share allotment date was between November 1 and 8, 2021.
If you sold your original 100 shares at ₹175, you attract a long term capital loss of ₹950. #Nykaa 2/n
Now to the bonus shares of 500. The cost of these 500 shares will be zero.
When you sell them within a year from the allotment date of the bonus shares, you will attract a short-term capital gains tax of 15%.
In reality, you never made a profit. You actually made ₹75 loss. 3/n
Assume your stock is trading at 1000.
PE is 50.
EPS is 20.
If earnings go up by 15% &
PE multiple falls by 30% .
What will be the impact on your investment?
If you understand this simple math, it will help you learn what 100 videos on #BAAP#Quality stocks don't teach you.
Assume your stock is trading at 1500.
PE is 75.
EPS is 20.
If earnings go up by 15% &
PE multiple falls by 30% .
What will be the impact on your investment?
When PE is higher, derating can hurt far more. If you fall from a higher place, then the injury will be worse.
Simple.
Assume your stock is trading at 2000.
PE is 100.
EPS is 20.
If earnings go up by 15% &
PE multiple falls by 30% .
Imagine the PE contracts and earnings expand at the same rate 2 years in a row.
Here is a thread on #SBI. It simply shows what storytelling is lying all the time to you.
"Changing timelines can change the Narrative and numbers." The next line of defense is just about to be taken down. So,here is the first image that seems to support that arugument. But, wait.
"But,how do I know when to buy and sell. I need enough track record or clear buy signals." This crowd would have failed miserably because when the signals and charts were perfect, only losses followed.