Alexander Kokcharov Profile picture
Dec 29, 2022 7 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Thread.

Overnight, in #Odesa, south #Ukraine, the monument to the Russian Empress Catherine II, was removed from its site

This will cause a major propaganda uproar in #Russia, which will blame Ukraine of “removing Russian cultural heritage”.

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The monument to Catherine II, Empress of Russia in 1762-1796, was erected in Odesa in 1900. It was dismantled shortly after the Russian Revolution, in 1920, after the Bolsheviks gained control of the city.

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In 1965, on the 60th anniversary of the uprising at the battleship "Potemkin", part of the Soviet founding myth (The unsuccessful Russian revolution of 1905), a monument to its mutineering sailors was erected in this location.

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The monument was restored in 2007 by a pro-Russian businessman and Odesa councillor Ruslan Tarpan amid the protests against its restoration. Thousands of Odesa residents protested against it.

Tarpan has been charged with fraud in 2017 and now lives in exile in UAE.

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While Russia likes to present Catherine II as “the Great”, she was clearly not a friend to the Ukrainian people and culture. Under her reign, Ukrainian political autonomy was dismantled, Ukrainian language banned and Ukrainian culture destroyed.

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In particular, Catherine II was instrumental in destruction of Zaporizhzhia Cossacks autonomy in 1775 and driving them out of their ancestral lands to elsewhere. This was a genocidal act, if we look through the prism of the 21st century thinking.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquidati…

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From this historical perspective, the desire of people of Ukraine to remove monuments to genocidal Russian rulers who wanted to erase the notion of Ukraine and make its people into Russians is fully justified.

End of the thread.

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More from @alex_kokcharov

Feb 24
Russian war losses. A short thread:

Independent exiled Russian media run a list of identified names among the Russian military fatalities in the Russian war in Ukraine. The number of verified KIA is now over 200,000.

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The biggest Russian war fatalities in absolute numbers are from some ethnic republics plus economically depressed regions, notably in parts of Siberia:

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The biggest group among the verified Russian war fatalities are the volunteers:

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Read 6 tweets
Feb 11
So, the Kiel Institute's Ukraine Support Tracker update has been published, with the data to end of 2025.

Let's unpack, a short thread.

Overall, Western aid to Ukraine continued through 2025, but it is now mostly aid from geographic Europe. US ended its aid in January 2025.

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In 2022-25, Ukraine received nearly double amount of aid from geographic Europe compared to aid from the US; there are nearly 180 bn euros of European aid yet to be allocated to Ukraine.

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With the US stepping away from supporting Ukraine in early 2025, Europe had to step up its aid allocations, including both military, financial and humanitarian assistance.

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Read 6 tweets
Dec 10, 2025
The Kiel Institute for World Economy published an update to its Ukraine Support tracker which shows aid to Ukraine flowing from Western partners since 2022. Data set ends on Oct. 31, 2025.

THREAD.

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Europe remains the main source of government support to Ukraine, significantly bypassing the US. US effectively ended providing aid to Ukraine in early 2025, after the Trump administration returned to the White House.

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The Nordic countries lead in terms of the share of their GDP they allocate as aid to Ukraine, especially in 2025, after the US ended its support.

They give much more proportionally than the Big Five European countries.

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Read 6 tweets
Nov 22, 2025
So, I looked at the US-Russian “peace plan” and found multiple contradictions, where one point of the plan would directly contradict one or several other points. One thing is clear - the plan was not developed by diplomats or specialists in international law.

THREAD.

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2/11

1. “Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed” vs handing territory to Russia
•Point 1: “Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed.”
•Point 21: Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk are recognised as “de facto Russian, including by the United States.” Kherson and Zaporizhzhia are frozen along current front lines, and Ukrainian forces withdraw from the part of Donetsk they still control; that withdrawal zone becomes a neutral demilitarised buffer zone, internationally recognised as territory belonging to the Russian Federation.

These two ideas pull in opposite directions:
•If “sovereignty” is meant in the sense of Ukraine’s internationally recognised 1991 borders, then confirming it contradicts the explicit recognition of Russian control over Crimea, Donbas and a demilitarised slice of Donetsk.
•If instead “sovereignty” is silently redefined to mean “whatever is left after these concessions”, then point 1 becomes essentially cosmetic and misleading relative to the rest of the document.

So there’s a built-in contradiction between the headline promise (sovereignty confirmed) and the detailed territorial carve-outs.
3/11

2. “Reliable security guarantees” vs caps, alliance bans, and loss of guarantees if Ukraine fights back
•Point 5: “Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.”
•Points 6-8: Limit the Ukrainian armed forces to 600,000; require a constitutional ban on NATO membership; and forbid NATO from stationing troops in Ukraine.
•Point 22: After the territorial arrangements, both sides must not change them by force; any security guarantees do not apply if this is breached.

In practice:
•Ukraine is permanently barred from the main collective defence alliance that could make its security guarantee credible, and its own forces are capped.
•If Ukraine ever tries to regain lost territory “by force”, the guarantees are voided - effectively punishing it for exercising self-defence.

Calling such a conditional and one-sided promise “reliable” is internally inconsistent: the plan describes the guarantees as strong while simultaneously writing in conditions that gut them at the moment Ukraine might need them most.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 16, 2025
In Ukraine, there is a fresh opinion poll about the Russia-Ukraine war, by reputable KIIS pollster. A short thread.

Only 18% of Ukrainian respondents think that the war will end in 2025; 27% believe it will end in 2026; 32% - in 2027 or later.

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Number of Ukrainians saying that they are willing to endure the war "as long as necessary" is now 62%, up from 54% in March 2025.

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In the event if the US stops all support to Ukraine, overwhelming majority of Ukrainians (76% in Sep 2025) believe the country should continue its resistance; only 14% would support to agree to Russian demands:

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Read 7 tweets
Dec 30, 2024
By waging genocidal war, Russia kept destroying cities and towns across Ukraine, especially along the frontline, in 2024.

Here are some photos of what Russia does to Ukraine:

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Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, May 2024. Image
Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, Ukraine, May 2024.

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Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, Ukraine, October 2024.

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Read 18 tweets

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