Alexander Kokcharov Profile picture
Dec 29, 2022 7 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Thread.

Overnight, in #Odesa, south #Ukraine, the monument to the Russian Empress Catherine II, was removed from its site

This will cause a major propaganda uproar in #Russia, which will blame Ukraine of “removing Russian cultural heritage”.

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The monument to Catherine II, Empress of Russia in 1762-1796, was erected in Odesa in 1900. It was dismantled shortly after the Russian Revolution, in 1920, after the Bolsheviks gained control of the city.

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In 1965, on the 60th anniversary of the uprising at the battleship "Potemkin", part of the Soviet founding myth (The unsuccessful Russian revolution of 1905), a monument to its mutineering sailors was erected in this location.

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The monument was restored in 2007 by a pro-Russian businessman and Odesa councillor Ruslan Tarpan amid the protests against its restoration. Thousands of Odesa residents protested against it.

Tarpan has been charged with fraud in 2017 and now lives in exile in UAE.

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While Russia likes to present Catherine II as “the Great”, she was clearly not a friend to the Ukrainian people and culture. Under her reign, Ukrainian political autonomy was dismantled, Ukrainian language banned and Ukrainian culture destroyed.

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In particular, Catherine II was instrumental in destruction of Zaporizhzhia Cossacks autonomy in 1775 and driving them out of their ancestral lands to elsewhere. This was a genocidal act, if we look through the prism of the 21st century thinking.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquidati…

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From this historical perspective, the desire of people of Ukraine to remove monuments to genocidal Russian rulers who wanted to erase the notion of Ukraine and make its people into Russians is fully justified.

End of the thread.

7/7

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More from @alex_kokcharov

Dec 10
The Kiel Institute for World Economy published an update to its Ukraine Support tracker which shows aid to Ukraine flowing from Western partners since 2022. Data set ends on Oct. 31, 2025.

THREAD.

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Europe remains the main source of government support to Ukraine, significantly bypassing the US. US effectively ended providing aid to Ukraine in early 2025, after the Trump administration returned to the White House.

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The Nordic countries lead in terms of the share of their GDP they allocate as aid to Ukraine, especially in 2025, after the US ended its support.

They give much more proportionally than the Big Five European countries.

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Read 6 tweets
Nov 22
So, I looked at the US-Russian “peace plan” and found multiple contradictions, where one point of the plan would directly contradict one or several other points. One thing is clear - the plan was not developed by diplomats or specialists in international law.

THREAD.

1/11 Image
2/11

1. “Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed” vs handing territory to Russia
•Point 1: “Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed.”
•Point 21: Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk are recognised as “de facto Russian, including by the United States.” Kherson and Zaporizhzhia are frozen along current front lines, and Ukrainian forces withdraw from the part of Donetsk they still control; that withdrawal zone becomes a neutral demilitarised buffer zone, internationally recognised as territory belonging to the Russian Federation.

These two ideas pull in opposite directions:
•If “sovereignty” is meant in the sense of Ukraine’s internationally recognised 1991 borders, then confirming it contradicts the explicit recognition of Russian control over Crimea, Donbas and a demilitarised slice of Donetsk.
•If instead “sovereignty” is silently redefined to mean “whatever is left after these concessions”, then point 1 becomes essentially cosmetic and misleading relative to the rest of the document.

So there’s a built-in contradiction between the headline promise (sovereignty confirmed) and the detailed territorial carve-outs.
3/11

2. “Reliable security guarantees” vs caps, alliance bans, and loss of guarantees if Ukraine fights back
•Point 5: “Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.”
•Points 6-8: Limit the Ukrainian armed forces to 600,000; require a constitutional ban on NATO membership; and forbid NATO from stationing troops in Ukraine.
•Point 22: After the territorial arrangements, both sides must not change them by force; any security guarantees do not apply if this is breached.

In practice:
•Ukraine is permanently barred from the main collective defence alliance that could make its security guarantee credible, and its own forces are capped.
•If Ukraine ever tries to regain lost territory “by force”, the guarantees are voided - effectively punishing it for exercising self-defence.

Calling such a conditional and one-sided promise “reliable” is internally inconsistent: the plan describes the guarantees as strong while simultaneously writing in conditions that gut them at the moment Ukraine might need them most.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 16
In Ukraine, there is a fresh opinion poll about the Russia-Ukraine war, by reputable KIIS pollster. A short thread.

Only 18% of Ukrainian respondents think that the war will end in 2025; 27% believe it will end in 2026; 32% - in 2027 or later.

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Number of Ukrainians saying that they are willing to endure the war "as long as necessary" is now 62%, up from 54% in March 2025.

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In the event if the US stops all support to Ukraine, overwhelming majority of Ukrainians (76% in Sep 2025) believe the country should continue its resistance; only 14% would support to agree to Russian demands:

3/x Image
Read 7 tweets
Dec 30, 2024
By waging genocidal war, Russia kept destroying cities and towns across Ukraine, especially along the frontline, in 2024.

Here are some photos of what Russia does to Ukraine:

1/18

Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, May 2024. Image
Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, Ukraine, May 2024.

2/18 Image
Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, Ukraine, October 2024.

3/18 Image
Read 18 tweets
Jul 21, 2024
THREAD on #Belarus:

Yesterday, it was exactly 30 years since dictator Alexander Lukashenka came to power in Belarus on 20 July 1994. He campaigned on the platform of being a young and energetic leader in his late 30s who wanted to replace the 70 year olds in power.

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In June-July 1994, Belarusians went to a free and open election, the last free election in Belarusian history. I was 17 back then and could not vote.

Before the election, Lukashenka claimed that he would fight against corruption and would restore the ling standards.

2/x Image
Within a year from the election, Lukashenka held a referendum, which gave Russian the official language status (thus ending the process of revitalising Belarusian language and culture), and replaced national flag and coat of arms with the Soviet ones.

3/x Image
Read 16 tweets
Jun 9, 2024
Yesterday, Ukrainian attack UAVs have reportedly targeted #Mozdok military airfield in #NorthOssetia, south #Russia.

This was the first time North Ossetia was targeted by #Ukraine-launched strikes since the start of the war.

1/4

themoscowtimes.com/2024/06/08/in-…
Also yesterday, Ukrainian attack UAVs have reportedly targeted an oil field in northern #Dagestan, south #Russia.

This was the first time Dagestan was targeted by #Ukraine-launched strikes since the start of the war.

2/4

newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/russia-cl…
Today, in #Akhtubinsk, #Astrakhan region, south #Russia, Ukrainian attack UAVs have reportedly targeted a military airfield located some 600 km from #Ukraine, reportedly causing damage to Su-57 fighter jet.

3/4

theaviationist.com/2024/06/09/su-…
Read 4 tweets

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