This is so unbearably tone-deaf. “There is war in Europe” - so I am standing in the middle of new year’s fireworks going off. Boom.
“There is war in Europe … for me this meant meeting some great people”.
Have they lost their mind in Berlin?
Most of the time when there are political communication disasters, one can see the intention (which went wrong). But this, from the setting, to the text and message, to the sound, is a catastrophe. With no good will can I come up with what they were trying to achieve. #Lambrecht
I’ve translated the relevant bits (as close to the original as I could, hence some clunky phrasing).
I’m sorry, this is disastrous.
I cannot believe that 9months into this war I have to listen to a German journalist monologuing how “we need to negotiate,weapons deliveries are important but we need to give diplomacy a chance” and he doesn’t get ONE QUESTION as to who he thinks should negotiate & about what?!🤯
Of - fucking - course diplomacy is important and of - fucking - course it would be better to talk rather than fight but who does he think could make this happen? Unbelievable that these banal and trite statements don’t get pushback.
I’m not even gonna link to the interview but it’s a big name journalist in a good public broadcaster show and we REALLY need to do better.
He starts by noting that “an epochal tectonic shift” - a Zeitenwende - has happened. “Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine has put an end to an era.”
“New powers have emerged or reemerged, including an economically strong and politically assertive China. In this new multipolar world, different countries and models of government are competing for power and influence.”
Excellent take.
“US spending of 5.6% of its defense budget to destroy nearly half of Russia’s conventional military capability seems like an absolutely incredible investment.” cepa.org/article/its-co…
(And no, this does not discard/ignore Ukrainian deaths. The US (west, Ukraine) did not start this war)
“the war has [also] served to destroy the myth that Russian military technology is somehow comparable to that of the US and West.… Wars are shop windows for defense manufacturers; any buyer in their right mind will want the technology made by the winner.“ cepa.org/article/its-co…
Fair (though for once I wasn’t primarily thinking about se tschermans). But this shows the reality of mutual defence clauses. They are - need to be! - at the same time flexible and rigid. You walk a thin line between “the others will definitely come!” and “but there is leeway”.
This btw explains why we talk so much about NATO article 5, and so little about the EU’s article 42.7. When you look at the wording, they seem very similar, and similarly strong 👇. But…
I am torn between just repeating over and over again “this is not an article 5 case!”* - and explaining that article 5 does not work like people seem to think it does.
*as far as we can tell right now.
But since it never hurts to know more: 1) If article 5 is invoked, the allies don’t *have* to do much of anything, really. Allies decide for themselves. NATO as an explainer on its website where it notes the article’s history 👇
2) Assistance under article 5 is not necessarily military. Again, the allies decide for themselves. The article’s text is already very clear about this: “actions as is deems necessary, *including* the use of armed force”.