Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jan 6 13 tweets 8 min read
We shared pandemic information in high frequency and intensity. Governments and even media shared less. Why?

Because the alternative to international cooperation in the face of a highly transmissible, mutating virus, is isolation.

thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/…
thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/… Image
I may reach 50,000 people; government and media millions. Not all need all information (twitter is disinformation AND science-heavy, hence the schizophrenic vibe here)

Yet even basic warnings don't reach "the public" (I like the Chinese term, 老百姓)

Eg
To put it positively, we have a real challenge ahead.
Most people assume "things will balance out": That's not how complex systems work. They can decompensate sans warning after accumulating abuse for years. We all are complex NL adaptive systems! Jim White makes this point nicely via his (baby) brother here,
5. Are you waiting to hear how this will end?

I wish I knew! We can analyze past error. We can learn from data, reconstruct or model alternate realities. I can tell you what I think our best shot is.

Here it is: no more no less than a good, honest chance
6. Here The Economist nails it. It's possible to explain it well.

(The same The Economist opposed #ZeroCovid but never explained the real alternatives.) We can explain well and end the pandemic.

I think we should heed the hard-earned lessons of the past. Image
7. I don't usually hashtag people into threads, but @SocioAnalytic deserves a shoutout for making these points (in his own, critical way) most diligently and perceptively.
@SocioAnalytic 8. "Viral pandemics are no time to play politics."

If this sounds too simple, rethink. Climate is profound precisely because it is simple. As are many things in life.

This question affects all our lives - like climate, but faster.
@SocioAnalytic 9. @GhoshAmitav 2016 taught us to see in climate change the Unthinkable, as well as in SARS. What does it mean?

It's white noise to most. As @AndriMagnason says, we don't see greater-than-human forces well; it's easier to have opinions on smaller matters.
@SocioAnalytic @GhoshAmitav @AndriMagnason 10. How do we visualize the Unthinkable?

Here a 2017/2018 draft, showing how we wrestled with ideas that led nowhere. Climate stubbornly remained white noise despite our efforts.

SARS is personal, intimate, fearsome; a different greater-than-human force.
Image
@SocioAnalytic @GhoshAmitav @AndriMagnason 11. When someone says, "no political party, but policymakers in all parties worldwide abandoned public health," who are they: scientist, public health officer, conspiracy crack?

Some always ask whom to trust, what to read? - I can't make that choice for you. Think about it well.
@SocioAnalytic @GhoshAmitav @AndriMagnason 12. What language does complexity speak, asks @pkhaff?

I think it speaks climate, I think it speaks public health, and probably many more languages. Try to learn them well if you feel this is what is to be done now.

I think it may be wise.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Paul Maidowski

Paul Maidowski Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @_ppmv

Jan 9
On climate and SARS, I don't think reduced visibility helps anyone right now; will leave my account unlocked for now. So the band plays on, Image
And the dolphins jump into the sun. Image
If everyone can catch up with Dr. Hansen's latest preprint and ask policymakers what they intend to do about that - and about not all of us catching SARS all the time -, both might help.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 9
I mentioned SARS/MERS-CoV (1) persist in the renal epithelium in 1 in 3 patients until cells regenerate after 500-787 days; (2) are airborne; (3) draw down rather than build immunity; (4) infections drive mutations and should stop; (5) HIV medicine may help patients access care.
None of this new (to attentive readers) or even controversial. Yet it attracted an outsize crowd of fools and personal insults by at least one researcher, so I deleted the post. I gain nothing from useless controversy, it's just distraction. Good luck out there,
Did media and policymakers reconcile the contradiction yet that they believe Drosten just told them "the pandemic is over" in the same interview in which he told them in a deadpan way that unvaccinated children at 30 may have the immune system of an 80 yo.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 8
Public Health Harry Potter

🤝

Invisibility cloak

Threads by @RealCheckMarker, or more SARS experts (?), are hidden. Like @NoyesJHumphrey previously. Bad sign - recall, it was a notable warning 👇 re #BQ* #XBB15) ImageImage
1. Aviation. I think calling for point-of-entry screening, if needed isolation/quarantine as century old public health measures, to ensure international travelers don’t spread VoC at the current unmitigated rate, alone can be enough to be hidden/suspended.
2. Superbugs. While I don’t know what bug plagues Twitter, here a brief thread worth rereading. threadreaderapp.com/thread/1597581…
Read 7 tweets
Jan 8
Good question. We will make progress on mindbreaking questions only if experts laserfocus. I’ll add that viral persistence of up to 500-787 days in renal epithelial cells in 1 in 3 infected, PLUS policy of constant reinfection forever, mean any argument on reconstruction is void. Image
Public health has been silenced. Else we would have been warned in time. This article on SARS-acquired immune system damage dates 10 May 2020; we all knew by then. I applaud everyone’s pedagogical tact. As we enter the fourth year, denial is unsustainable.
SARS is a notifiable event under WHO IHR 2005 for good reason. Assume any index case(s) in 2019 were reported to WHO, because they must. The rest is global health politics, not science.

washingtonpost.com/health/2020/05…
Read 8 tweets
Jan 8
“Herd”, “hybrid” or “vaccine” immunity are fantasy. The way out of the pandemic is to eradicate the pathogen - like we did for SARS 2003.

It shouldn’t take a Master’s in IR or political science to see that continuity is no option for states. 1/2
Vaccines have delivered what they can. Do we need better ones? Absolutely. Will better ones end the pandemic? No, because if we abuse them, SARS-CoV-2 will just mutate around them sooner or later. The present high incidence is unsustainable.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 31, 2022
(1) How will states stop SARS?

We covered the problem; let's explain the solution next year to help people

These elements sustain the pandemic:

(a) Airborne transmission
(b) Immunodeficiency
(c) Lack of leadership

Walensky speaks the truth. CDC can't control (c). #SIDU 221231 ImageImage
(a) airborne spread is known and we have solutions: Check ✅

(b) immunodeficiency/#LeonardiEffect are deniable. Read @RealCheckMarker @fitterhappierAJ

It's dynamic: no solutions but (a) will work. Check ✅

(c) Unaccountable leadership is the problem. ⛔️
@RealCheckMarker @fitterhappierAJ (3) Now reframe the question

How can states stop (a) airborne spread and (b) individual and population-level immunodeficiency to end the pandemic with the tools available (WHO IHR 2005)?

What is the alternative (BATNA) if they don't?

Here the solution:

Read 25 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(