I may reach 50,000 people; government and media millions. Not all need all information (twitter is disinformation AND science-heavy, hence the schizophrenic vibe here)
Yet even basic warnings don't reach "the public" (I like the Chinese term, 老百姓)
To put it positively, we have a real challenge ahead.
Most people assume "things will balance out": That's not how complex systems work. They can decompensate sans warning after accumulating abuse for years. We all are complex NL adaptive systems! Jim White makes this point nicely via his (baby) brother here,
I wish I knew! We can analyze past error. We can learn from data, reconstruct or model alternate realities. I can tell you what I think our best shot is.
Here it is: no more no less than a good, honest chance
7. I don't usually hashtag people into threads, but @SocioAnalytic deserves a shoutout for making these points (in his own, critical way) most diligently and perceptively.
@SocioAnalytic 8. "Viral pandemics are no time to play politics."
If this sounds too simple, rethink. Climate is profound precisely because it is simple. As are many things in life.
This question affects all our lives - like climate, but faster.
@SocioAnalytic@GhoshAmitav@AndriMagnason 11. When someone says, "no political party, but policymakers in all parties worldwide abandoned public health," who are they: scientist, public health officer, conspiracy crack?
Some always ask whom to trust, what to read? - I can't make that choice for you. Think about it well.
I think it speaks climate, I think it speaks public health, and probably many more languages. Try to learn them well if you feel this is what is to be done now.
If everyone can catch up with Dr. Hansen's latest preprint and ask policymakers what they intend to do about that - and about not all of us catching SARS all the time -, both might help.
I mentioned SARS/MERS-CoV (1) persist in the renal epithelium in 1 in 3 patients until cells regenerate after 500-787 days; (2) are airborne; (3) draw down rather than build immunity; (4) infections drive mutations and should stop; (5) HIV medicine may help patients access care.
None of this new (to attentive readers) or even controversial. Yet it attracted an outsize crowd of fools and personal insults by at least one researcher, so I deleted the post. I gain nothing from useless controversy, it's just distraction. Good luck out there,
Did media and policymakers reconcile the contradiction yet that they believe Drosten just told them "the pandemic is over" in the same interview in which he told them in a deadpan way that unvaccinated children at 30 may have the immune system of an 80 yo.
Threads by @RealCheckMarker, or more SARS experts (?), are hidden. Like @NoyesJHumphrey previously. Bad sign - recall, it was a notable warning 👇 re #BQ* #XBB15)
1. Aviation. I think calling for point-of-entry screening, if needed isolation/quarantine as century old public health measures, to ensure international travelers don’t spread VoC at the current unmitigated rate, alone can be enough to be hidden/suspended.
Good question. We will make progress on mindbreaking questions only if experts laserfocus. I’ll add that viral persistence of up to 500-787 days in renal epithelial cells in 1 in 3 infected, PLUS policy of constant reinfection forever, mean any argument on reconstruction is void.
Public health has been silenced. Else we would have been warned in time. This article on SARS-acquired immune system damage dates 10 May 2020; we all knew by then. I applaud everyone’s pedagogical tact. As we enter the fourth year, denial is unsustainable.
SARS is a notifiable event under WHO IHR 2005 for good reason. Assume any index case(s) in 2019 were reported to WHO, because they must. The rest is global health politics, not science.
Vaccines have delivered what they can. Do we need better ones? Absolutely. Will better ones end the pandemic? No, because if we abuse them, SARS-CoV-2 will just mutate around them sooner or later. The present high incidence is unsustainable.
How can states stop (a) airborne spread and (b) individual and population-level immunodeficiency to end the pandemic with the tools available (WHO IHR 2005)?