Thread by @AlfUpATree

[🧵] GC data nerds! A date to put in your diary! 👇

25th of this month we get the UK census data on "gender identity" responses broken down by age group.

My prediction: Strong skew to younger demographics claiming an identity different from their sex.
ons.gov.uk/releasecalenda…

Why is this interesting? Well, if the trans activist ideologues are correct, then the trans population is a stable, ongoing component of the whole population, and we should expect roughly even proportions of people identifying as trans across all age groups.

If on the other hand "trans" is to any extent a fad, a youth movement, or an emergent neo-religion, we will see a related correlation with age.

This exact skew was apparent in Canada's census. Trans identification varied from 0.79% to 0.12% by age group. www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quoti…

The obvious defence trans activists will mount, is that this skew is a result of previous generations either not realising they are trans (the Many Old Eggs Theory), or this older demographic not feeling as comfortable disclosing their trans status.

These are IMO an extremely /

/ tough sell. Canada has been absolutely suffused with "trans" stories and ideas for a good many years prior to this census. It's bordering on absurd to suggest large numbers of the older demographic have not had cause to consider if it was an idea that applied to them. And as /

/ for the "greater discomfort in disclosing" theory; I could buy that if the dataset was a result of people coming out as trans publicly, but it's not. I can't imagine a lower barrier to entry than privately ticking a box on a form that nobody in your life will see. The idea /

/ would seem comparable to suggesting something like:

"loads of people *actually* support [political party x], but you don't see that reflected in election results because they're too embarrassed to vote for them"

Anyone? 🤷‍♂️

Frustratingly, the Canadian census did not ask a question about sexuality so we can't draw comparisons, but the UK census did. We should get the sexuality by age group info in the same release as the GI data, on the 25th!

I'm gonna hesitantly predict a slight correlation /

/ with age, with youth being mildly more likely to describe themselves as non-heterosexual. We will see...

However it comes out I think comparing these two sets of data will be very informative of the real nature of the "trans" phenomenon. 🤓
#nerdstuff
#GenderCritical