Thread by @TradetheMatrix1

Shorting stuffed moves requires anticipation. For example ydays short on $BWEN 10:55, you need to focus on painted ranges (rigged) and be ready on what you need to see on tape to extract edge out of play like that (high tape velocity surge).
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1.

This brings us to another point, the edge in tape:
-its not the size
-its velocity changes
Strong changes in velocity for few minutes reveal large participant agenda. Size of one big order does not reveal consistency or aggression persistence. It can easily be a spoof.

2.

Single order can always be a spoof, velocity change cannot be spoofed. Hard data priority. Another reason why you should always pay more attention to speed changes and absorbing rather than what sits on bid or ask.

3.

Which is why I pay far less attention to big orders showing up here and there on tape but far more attention on when tape velocity all of sudden increases by factor of 5x for 1-10 minutes as it reveals far stronger signal relative to context.

4.

Majority of best shorts are into stuffed moves on high tape velocity. That's where price moves into your favor fast and deep as it is trap and unwind in the making. But you have to anticipate it ahead because sometimes you only have 10 seconds to recognize and react.

5.

Which is where recognizing rigged/painted action is necessary to know when to anticipate ahead potential tape pattern to be in play following it after (1.paint-2.exit scenario into liquidation and high velocity change).

6.