EU Mo metal hits fresh highs on supply constraints | Argus Media

"There is zero availability on the ground and some people actually flew some material from China," a trader in Europe said.

#molybdenum
#commoditysupernova argusmedia.com/en/news/240844…
"I am not going to make a position when prices are at an all-time high," the trader said.

Ie. everyone is running down inventory because prices are at 15 year highs and nearing all time high.. so there’s no moly to be found now
Article speaks to a trader actually having to fly some molybdenum in…

What’s gonna happen is we will blow out to new highs. Squeeze and then settle back above the all time highs and contracting will begin. But it seems like with lower mining grades and production problems…
Around the world, plus China opening up the only thing that will stop a super squeeze in molybdenum will be significant demand destruction in the west… new mines take years to come on so even with economy troubles, I expect moly to keep making higher highs and lower lows

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More from @BambroughKevin

Jan 13
If interested in Greenland Resources $moly

Read the 43-101

greenlandresources.ca/data/pdfs/Malm…
#molybdenum sensitivity is actually ‘off the charts’ since the current price is ~$31/lb and dramatically above the high case ImageImage
The ‘net present value’ using a 6% discount rate is more than ~$1 bln higher than the levered best case at the end of the chart above. The higher the price of Molybdenum the easier it will be to get a fat supply/sales agreement done with a major euro steel co.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 12
People asking about $moly Greenland resources time to re-new permits.

Googled and found this regarding SIA. Social impact assessment. Says 4-12months

govmin.gl/wp-content/upl…
They said in early Dec press release they have completed the work and will submit the SIA and EIA in the next few weeks so it’s either submitted or about to be. So we will get our answers over the course of this year. Hopefully while the molybdenum price continues to rise.
Considering the project was permitted in the past and the environment plan has been improved to be better for the environment by current management I don’t see the EIA as a concern. It’s gonna come down to public support for or against the project. Jobs and taxes vs social impact
Read 12 tweets
Jan 12
Greenland Resources Comments on Trading Activity.

Molybdenum price going from $25-32/lb or ~30%+ might have something in do with it?
globenewswire.com/news-release/2…
A 30% jump in the price of #molybdenum $moly Greenland Resources is more than just a significant development imho

greenlandresources.ca/data/pdfs/Malm…
32.8 mln lbs per year multiplied by $7/lb is ~$230mln per year x 20+ years means and extra $4.6 BILLION of cash flow.

The increase in #molybdenum price is greater than $moly’s forecasted cash cost! Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 11
Fact is.. molybdenum that no one gives a fuck about is going into serious shortage.. when the price of moly runs… it runs. Will be testing all time inflation adjusted highs and likely blowing through. Mid $40’s $moly Greenland resources is the play mining.com/surging-molybd…
It won’t be substituted… it will be hoarded and the majors will try to buy out Greenland resources. $moly cause it can produce 30+ mln lbs a year with a sub $7/lb cost and be a cashflow giant for them for decades.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 10
Should be noted that utilities are going to keep stepping in to buy #uranium at spot when ever Sput is able to raise cash. They know they can’t let it consume any more. They prefer to try to sucker some producers into selling low price capped contracts. Same as last cycle
Fact is that the #uranium physical market is super thin now. There are entities that must buy all the spot volume to fill contracts and needs of utilities. Soon sput will be rising and the atm won’t even get turned on cause there will be no uranium avail
Last cycle the #uranium price was spiking along with Sput and we couldn’t raise funds for it because they couldn’t get any uranium at all. Sput then had to buy uf6. It’s gonna happen again and its rapidly approaching. Hard to say when the ‘market’ will clue in to this fact
Read 4 tweets
Jan 9
Just reviewing numbers on $moly Greenland Resources with a $32/lb molybdenum

80% pretax IRR
67% post tax IRR

NPV @5 ~$4 bln
NPV @10 ~$2.5 bln

*assume 60/40 debt equity

Vs $85 mln market cap

When this fucker gets it’s permits is gonna go bonkers. 10-20x
Numbers are ridiculous and it’s gonna be taken over quickly imho. It’s too big and strategic a project. Big steel company is gonna snag it. FFS
Best #molybdenum play around. One of the only pure plays moly companies of merit and it was permitted last cycle… getting close to completing its repermitting.

I loaded up on millions of shares cause this is exactly the type of stock that has delivered for me in the past
Read 25 tweets

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