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Jan 17 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
Even if the smaller countries would give 14 comb, this is no match for 🇺🇦 losses of ~50 tanks a month. 🇩🇪 is guarding the Baltics as well, which gave away much equipment. So *scratches head* should we get back to #scalablesolutions?
#FreeTheLeopards
Thx to @manta_greg for the idea and to @WirrIst_DasVolk for making my ugly Update nice.
BTW: Lots of #FakeNews around this. Both Poland and Finland said they need to refurbish the Leo2A4s first and they can only send small numbers (<14 each). Also the Baltics have not a single tank, despite news about Lithuania wanting to send Leopards: eurotopics.net/en/294419/tank…
Why the Leopards up to 2A6 are struggling with the RPG and ATGM Threat in Ukraine in this short 🧵

(Industry expert suggested Polish Update with #ERAWA2 ERA tiles. This could be a solution, but won’t negate the low available numbers of <100 - 200 in 2 years)
This graphic was originally from @KampfmitKette It shows where the initial batches went to. Another industry insider said there were no new 🐆 2 hulls made in over 25 y, since the facilities to quench them don’t exist anymore. All “new” ones are updates of the initial batches.
Setting up new facilities, sourcing & rolling the tank steel needed, building barrels (takes up to 3 - 4 years) + other parts, training workers & so on will take at least 3 years, with initial batches of 50 to 150 depending on the success of @KM_GmbH with prep. Better order now!
And because it’s a hot topic too: There is no proof the current 🇩🇪 government is blocking Leopard2 Exports: Minister Habeck greenlighted it last summer and renewed his stance last week or so.
I doubt the federal security counsel would vote differently.
Now also available in Japanese! 😅
🎌🏯🇯🇵🫡
@manta_greg
Leopard 2A4 without additional armour packages.

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More from @WAJKoenitz

WAJK Profile picture
Jan 17
@NichtOlafScholz sie wollen es nicht wahr haben. Emotional. 🇷🇺 hat die Ressourcen das zu tun worüber wir gesprochen haben. Soviet 🇷🇺 war nicht weniger Korrupt und nach dem GrTerror hatte es ähnliche Probleme mit der Mobilisierung - Je länger das läuft, desto besser für sie.
Darum können wir auch nicht einfach unsere Sachen abgeben ohne Ersatz, selbst wenn die EU Armeen jetzt noch die dreifache Größe hat. Das scheint sich gerade zu ändern und im Krieg muss man sich auf WorstCase vorbereiten.
Darum weise ich auf eine Strategie hin, die auf Massenproduktion von StandOff Waffen setzt und Russland outproduced. Dazu gehört auch, dass wir unsere Neuanschaffungen beschleunigen, um doch noch mehr Leos usw zu schicken, wenn die EU T Panzer reduziert wurden in 🇺🇦
Read 4 tweets
WAJK Profile picture
Jan 16
Thinking about the parameters for winning or losing the war for 🇺🇦, a dark thought crossed my mind. As the joint chief commander of 🇺🇦 warned of 2 Mio Mobiks / 29 Mio 🇷🇺 men in fighting age, I figured Putin calculates 44 Mio 🇺🇦s & their ressources against the losses of 🇷🇺 1/X
Even a loss of 5 Mio men will still be an addition to the economic power of Russia, if he manages to conquer 🇺🇦 and use it as a slave labor camp like he did with Donbas before. So the question is: When will his calculation stop working? 2/X
🇺🇦 must raise the daily fallen / captured 🇷🇺 mobiks over a certain threshold & keep it there, without loosing too many of its own. I see only two ways here:

1. Heavily incr. Artillery units with artillery drone recce
2. Supplying masses of Ground and air fighting drones 3/X
Read 9 tweets
WAJK Profile picture
Jan 15
„Visegrád 24 was reportedly the first international social media feed to publish a video of 🇫🇮 Prime Minister Sanna Marin dancing with her friends at a house party in 08.2022. With 🇫🇮 waiting for its accession to NATO…“ …it benefited the opposition of the NATO membership!
„Heute im Obersten Gerichtshof habe ich endlich mit Jacek Kotas gewonnen:
- der berühmte "🇷🇺Link" der PiS;
- Stellvertretender Verteidigungsm. in der Kaczyński-Regierung;
- von der Spionageabwehr zu Geheimnissen zugelassen
Der OGH bestät. die 🇷🇺 Verbindungen von Kotas.“
Read 21 tweets
WAJK Profile picture
Dec 17, 2022
For month now, #FreeTheLeopards is a popular chant in the social networks. People demand especially from #Germany, to “finally take the foot from the break” and “send the Leopards”. As a Panzergrenadier Veteran and member of the #OSINT community, I want to give some insights 🧵
Main questions I hope to answer with the 🧵:

1. How many 🐆 MBTs are there?
2. How many does 🇩🇪 operate?
3. Are the stored Leopard 1 any good?
4. How many tanks does 🇺🇦 operate?
5. What does 🇺🇦 actually want?
6. What could be actually send?
7. Is 🇩🇪 blocking 🐆 from others?
1.&2.: 🇩🇪 owned 2.125 🐆2 MBTs in 1990. From these ≈1.800 were sold to other nations. 🇩🇪 reduced its own stock to 266 in 2020, soon to be re-increased to 328. The difference is accounted for by sales to many other nations and can be checked here: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leopard_2
Read 32 tweets
WAJK Profile picture
Dec 16, 2022
It is mind boggling to read this wave of hatred towards Musk from the political left, who claimed to be much more virtuous than the right wingers. This includes the use of #FakeNews about him flying to a childrapists island (without air strip), defence of stalkers and much more. ImageImage
And yes, Public tracking a private vehicle by its licence number / flight number is illegal in Europe and regarded as #Stalking - even more so since repeated attempts to change the number.
I knew there were many hypocrites within the left, but this just became extremely toxic and dangerous. Both sides now are violent and know no #Anstand anymore. Everything is just escalating more and more.
Read 6 tweets

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