Update from the Zaporizhzhia Front: The Zaporizhzhia Line has now developed into the Zaporizhzhia Front as the Russian forces pressed on, on their major offensive on the western half of the defense line.
Russian forces over the past 24 hours captured Lobkove, Shcherbaky Mali, Novoandriivka, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka. With fighting continuing at Stepove, Bilohirya and Novopokrovka. Latest intel suggest Russian forces is currently doing clearing ops in captured settlements.
The fall of the entire Zaporizhzhia Line could threaten the resupply route stretching from Zaporizhzhia City to the Eastern Front.
Initial analysis suggest that the reason for the breakthrough is likely to have something to do with the redeployment of some Ukrainian forces to the Bakhmut from this region.
The weakened defense might be the reason for the Russian's trigger to attack - reminisce of Ukraine taking advantage of Russia's reduced troop numbers that triggered the Balakliya/Kharkiv Offensive.
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This is the link to the report by the 3 Russian hacker group that discovered the entire ukrainian network of "russian" telegram channels that the Ukrainians used to publish misinformation as well as solicit money "for the russian troops".
Lets write a short thread on the multi-facet geopolitical reality of the Ukraine War.
Prior to 2014, Ukraine is a 50-50 country. Half the people are pro-west; half are pro-russia. The president then was pro-russian voted in with 90% votes in the donbass region.
Overthrow him without due process, what do you think the regions who voted him with 90% votes gonna think or do?
The violence at maidan may or may not be instigated by the west; but regardless, that happened. and used as an excuse to overthrow the president.
Anarchy.
Russia's only western warm naval base is in Crimea, and it is leased to them due to soviet era politics where Crimea was cut away from Russia to give to Ukraine to strengthen Ukraine for internal political reasons.
Russian forces are currently stepping up their Avdiivka Offensive, where OSINT reports bigger and heavier bombs being used on the city targets.
Russian forces are also attacking across the entire front, from Pervomaiske all the way to Avdiivka itself on the western flank, and from Kamyanka all the way to Novokalynove on the northern flank.
In a curious turn of event, Zelenskyy puts out a very public video, claiming that he accepted his generals' decision to stay and fight for Bakhmut; instead of the tactical/organised withdrawal that is reportedly underway.
This could either be Zelenskyy throwing the generals under the bus; or perhaps the generals indeed is responding to the Wagner PMC's ammunition woes; to ride on the effectivenss of the counteroffensives thus far, to retake the surrounding regions of Bakhmut.
Mass Ukrainian withdrawal reported from the central and western districts of Bakhmut, and the withdrawal conducted along the country roads between Khromove and Ivanivske.