Well, bang goes another...but, at least vulnerable people in the US and other countries benefitted from months of protection, approaching normality...the UK was still trying to find its conviction...cilgivimab worked vs BA.5.
The good news is that FDA are demanding stockpiles
are retained to counter further evolution, wise move.
I've obv not seen the data, but I'm assured by a trusted source that current variants really do escape this...other long-lasting m'abs exist tho...just saying!
AZ has another Evusheld like med in the pipeline, and I hope there
are others being developed. Prevention is ALWAYS better than cure. Small molecule drugs require rapid intense therapy to clear virus. You could argue that folks with Evusheld have a similar scenario to most of the population, loads of Abs, never enough n'abs...😔...abs don't
just neutralise virus, of course...isn't that right @StantonRich ?
What I don't understand is why the pipeline for m'abs and small molecules is running so dry. Oral remdesivir seems a sole beacon in the dark, especially as NICE are recommending to ditch the IV form...🤦♂️
The short
lifespan for spike (S1) targeted m'abs at the moment clearly isn't going to be helped by Governments taking steps to limit diversity 🙄, so we either need to persuade pharma to go after other targets, get more creative vs S1, or fund our own projects...
We simply cannot stop and
rely upon paxlovid to prevent severe disease (note, severe is a subjective term! #LongCovid) in vulnerable people, esp those with immunodeficiency, good a drug as it is. Treatment desperately needs combination therapy to ensure it's future proof,orally available, ideally. Someone
needs to persuade Pfizer and Gilead to get their act together and generate a decent combo. I'd even consider adding molnupiravir as a ribavirin-like enhancer, but NOT without other drugs that hit replication fast. Favipiravir feels like a worse version of molnupiravir to me...BUT
therapeutics are great, and obviously more will be needed in the longer term as we rely on a vaccine programme that's simultaneously being crowbarred into a seasonal flu shaped hole and withdrawn from kids at the same time...🧐
However, ask any of the #forgotten500k what they need to get their lives back, and it's prophylaxis. Why else did they clamour for Evusheld? Why were they up in arms when @SteveBarclay refused to fund it last spring, and when the review was kicked down the road until THIS spring?
Simply put, because they neither wanted, nor should be expected to risk infection during every day life just because the Government have successfully managed to cramm the pandemic into the understairs cupboard and muffle the noise it's making #ONS ...
All they wanted was parity,
NOT charity.
Yes, the IFR has come down and "most people" don't now succumb to severe disease...but something is causing hundreds of death certificates with certain codes every week during multiple waves, and excess deaths are not all down to nutcase conspiracies from folks that
enjoy peer reviewing their own research🤪
They're also not all #CEV by any means. However, the quality of life afforded to the vulnerable by "most" people amounts nowadays to put up, or shut up. This isn't intentional from most, the Government lead this narrative and then expect
booster campaigns to have good responses when they panic and introduce one...@GeorgeMonbiot has an article in @guardian today...well worth reading.
How can we reconcile "living with COVID" when so many simply can't, and the platitudes and assurances are continually dropping like
flies? Where is the future proofing? Where is the investment in therapeutics to match vaccines? Are we really going to pretend that another pandemic is a century away? Well, despite some voices saying not, we still have one to deal with currently. We have the technical know-how
for clean air and other NPIs, but if governments continue to rely on market led priorities for therapeutics then the next pandemic will have the same dreadful start as this one, the shelves bare again...look at what CAN be done, and let's do more to prevent #CEV being badly done
Whether acute or long COVID, good or bad vax responses, "just the flu"...these are only half the story.
The other half is our immune response and other systems, defined by genetics, and variable within populations.
Bell-shaped curve: most avg, some great, some poor...then there
environmental/underlying factors which modulate responses, plus neither immunity nor viruses are static...
Hence, there's a REALLY tough decision to make, where what's best for a population will necessarily mean some of us don't thrive.
Public health is meant to form the safety
net that keeps this number down to a minimum. By it's very nature, whilst striving for greatest overall benefit, it is supposed to account for minorities, mitigate against rare events and provide support for those who suffer disproportionately compared to the main population.
As I've said over and over, nobody is saying there are no bad reactions to vaccines, COVID or otherwise, and every single one is tragic, my sincere condolences to anyone affected. My work with @LongCovidKids reminds me of this constantly.
It's a complex immunological problem that
requires intensive research to hopefully one day ID all those at potential risk. The individual cases are heartbreaking and important.
However, as with any medicine, especially when faced with a challenge like COVID, it is the harm of the disease that must be balanced vs any harm
done by the vaccine. This is, unfortunately, a population scale decision, and I support it. That does NOT mean that those suffering don't matter.
I'm not going to argue about whether COVID is a threat, mRNA tech, or how vaccines work etc. See my pinned tweet for my views.
I'm
OK, so China...
Do I agree with some of the draconian measures used to implement their COVID strategy? Of course not.
However, there are some laudable achievements at play. Their test/trace/isolate network is incredible. They have also kept deaths right down following the first
emergence of SARS2 back in 2019. No small feat in a country of 1.4 bn inhabitants. If they had the same deaths/100k as the UK we're talking an unprecedented humanitarian crisis. Sadly, we may be about to see a version of this.
Have they completely unlocked and r "living" with
the virus? Well, no. In fact, they retain a pretty good set of mitigations, the likes of which would be great to see here.
So, what's the problem? Well, China simply doesn't have the extent of vaccine/infection induced immunity that we have. They made their own killed virus vax,
OK, so I know that Editors generally choose headlines rather than correspondents, but I'm hoping @emilylcraig can persuade @DailyMailUK to change this one...and find a better picture!
epidemiological reasons that might be behind the disruption of seasonal endemic viruses, strepA etc., as well as debunking the 💩 some are spouting around the twisted immunity debt/hygiene hypothesis.
My message was that we should learn from our pandemic experiences and ensure
that children in particular are protected by vaccines and mitigations wherever possible, rather than allowing avoidable infections. The situation now could also be compounded by an increased susceptible pool from us missing e.g. influenza waves previously, and other endemic stuff
This is just getting bizarre.
"Immunity debt" was coined in 2021.
The issue is some use this term for a mish-mash of flawed understanding: 1. Supposed increased individual risk because immunity hasn't been "trained"...which is utter hygiene hypothesis + immunological muscle 💩
2. The increased susceptible pool incurred when the pattern of seasonal endemic infection is disrupted...i.e. people are prevented from being sick (!), for example by improved vaccination or NPIs...this is a real thing, but... 3. The consequences of allowing exposure at the same
level as in previous years, ignoring the fact that the pandemic, whether by safeguarding, infection or otherwise, has upset seasonal infection patterns. I know some will say we shouldn't have locked down, which is valid for numbers 2, 3... which were predictable and preventable,