🧵1) I downloaded all tweets since 6th February containing the word HAARP. It was way larger than I expected and I ended up without around 300k tweets across dozens of languages involving over 130k unique accounts! Read on for more #TurkeySyriaEarthquake #Disinformation
2) Firstly, why HAARP. Well, there's a conspiracy going around that HAARP - High-frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) (a former US program designed to investigate the ionosphere) is being used to weaponize weather, and even create earthquakes. Sound absurd right?
3) Nonetheless, tens of thousands have shared it on Twitter in dozens of languages, but mostly English, Turkish, Spanish, and French. Not everyone sharing it is agreeing with it, but the most shared tweets containing 'HAARP' support the conspiracy
4) The most retweeted accounts are not even well-known influencers. The English-speaking accounts include accounts that indicate they are right-wing US accounts, anti vaxxers, and at times anti-Semitic conspiracy theorists.
5/ Like one of the most shared tweets was from this guy - who combines anti-semitism with some sort of Satantic control of the music industry...His TL is quite something but he gets crazy engagement. Weird.
6) And if you thought HAARP was bad, some of the most shared accounts are also talking about 'project blue beam" - which apparently is a technology used to control the human race or something. Also, I like that these two have identical tweets.
7) In terms of the English-speaking accounts sharing the story, the eighth most common biographical term is 'MAGA' (Make America Great Again) - after freedom, life, patriot, god, anti, love, and Twitter. Again, pointing to a right-wing bent to this disinfo spreading
8) A lot of seems to be anti-NATO propaganda, a touch Russia adjacent... One of the tropes is that NATO used HAARP against Turkey to punish them for their position on Russia.
9) So far that's just some of the English activity. One of the most influential Turkish accounts is this guy, who seems to devote most of his time to tweeting conspiracy theories. But hey's he's got Twitter Blue so must be legit.
10) Curious though, the same account seems to have that same nexus of anti-freemasonry, anti-semitism, UNICEF abducting children (is this QAnon adjacent?). Anyway will go back to English now as maybe I'm missing context.
11) I'm fascinated by the disinfo grifters (disinfluencers) - This Stew Peters for example, is fully embracing HAARP creating that unusual (but natural) cloud in Turkey, and HAARP creating the earthquake too. FYI Peters was booted from Spotify for spreading Covid19 disinfo
12) An interesting thing about this HAARP conspiracy is that it started on the same day as the earthquake. There was no lag really. It's still going on now. Given the volume of tweets on it, it's likely to continue for some time and etch it's way into the disinfo lexicon.
13) (I' m aware HAARP is not a new conspiracy, but it's really got a shot in the arm). Anyway, I should go to bed but a few things are interesting.
1) The scale - there are a lot of people across different languages talking about this
2) It, perhaps unsurprisingly, coexists
14/ with other narratives such as anti-vaccination disinfo
3) It appears partisan, again have a conservative bent (although I imagine in Spanish we'd probably see a far left bent to it)
4) It has taken on an anti-NATO element, especially with regard to Turkey's role vis a vis
15/ ...Russia and Ukraine.
I am not saying this is a Russian influence operation - although as agitprop it works in their favour. It's also good for the Turkish government - potentially distracting some people from focusing on state responsibility in the disaster.
16/ So far though there does appear to be some element of inauthenticity to it - suggesting someone is boosting this narrative. The engagement and virality of lesser known accounts is particularly suspicious. Will keep an eye on it though. Night for now
17) An interesting aspect about the HAARP disinfo is that one of the most shared tweets mentioning the hashtag as early as 6th was not actually talking about HAARP, but telling people to avoid platitudes or construction theories to focus on help. So either using the hashtag
18) simply because it was trending as people tend to do, or for some other reason (i.e. get it trending but without being explicit). Again, shows that disinfo can be amplified without directly discussing it, either to promote it or debunk it. #Disinformation

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More from @marcowenjones

Feb 2
🧵1/ Musk is making Twitter much less transparent, much less accountable, & thus more vulnerable to manipulation. Many of the often poorly resourced activists & academics using the API to tackle foreign influence ops will no longer be able to. Governments should worry #TwitterAPI
2/ Musk is completely stripping Twitter of the resources required to tackle manipulation. The huge loss of human capital, the commodified verification system, the edgelordism, the drive for users to appease advertisers - all are creating a febrile atmosphere for info manipulation
3/ Twitter's immune system was never great, but it is being thoroughly compromised by Musk. The tacit public-private partnership that allowed researchers API access was a small contribution to innoculation against information warfare. #twitterapi
Read 4 tweets
Jan 15
Welcome to botception: Here you can see over 4k accounts liking a tweet by an account called @usviolations - in this case a tweet about Assange. Despite this, if you click on "likes" or "retweets" you won't see anything. It's possible that this is because most of the accounts
are brand new and/or of low quality so they don't appear due to algorithmic ranking - or perhaps it's indexing. The fake accounts can be seen individually (I found them as some people have reported being mass followed by sketchy accounts so i accessed them via viewing followers)
I don't think "quality" makes much difference. If you look at this other tweet from @usviolations you will see most of the retweets seem to be from fake accounts with strange handles, barely any followers, and erm, Korean bios.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 23, 2022
🧵1/ I think one of the biggest debates we will have going forward regarding deception/information manipulation is how researchers should approach it when it is perceived to be pro-Western FP or pro *causes we agree with*. Obviously as the war in Ukraine
2/ continues, tensions in Taiwan increase, and protest movements in the Middle East and elsewhere demand change, this question will become increasingly pertinent. I've heard conversations where people advocate flooding the information space with pro-Ukraine messaging in an ends
3/ justify the means manner (what this entailed exactly was unclear). However there are a myriad of reasons why such ostensibly benevolent campaigns can be dangerous. 1) a commitment to truth and transparency in and of itself is valuable. 2) influence operations are inherently
Read 10 tweets
Dec 23, 2022
1/ I downloaded the 24k likes to this tweet on the basis that many of them are likely bots. Sure enough most of them are bots, but they are not all as easy to detect. Below are some means of determining the bottiness. Aka, skinning a bot. Image
2/ Regarding the obvious bots. You can clearly see an anomalous spike in Dec 2022 (graph on right), where over 3000 bots were created in a 2 day period (21 and 22 December). At times, over 400 new accounts were created per hour -that's 6-7 bots created per minute (graph on left) ImageImage
3/ Date of creation isn't a great metric for determining whether the remaining accounts (left) are bots. But you can run some further analysis and find that, for example, 72% of accounts have between - 0-10 followers, with 94% of accounts having fewer than <50 followers (right) ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Dec 23, 2022
Despite what @elonmusk says, bots are definitely alive and kicking on the platform. My colleague @MonicaLMarks just got followed by approximately 1000 glamour bots with Turkish and Indian sounding names. The graph below shows how 1000+ accounts were created in two days
2/ At times, over one account was created per minute. Many are brand new and have not tweeted, but some are starting to awake from their slumber, mostly to like and retweet content.
3/ A few of the accounts that have become active are liking this post, about a festival in Riyadh, which has over 24k likes. If you click on the likes you can already tell (see photo on right) many of them are probably bots (will download to see)
Read 6 tweets
Dec 17, 2022
Really important (and difficult) piece by @WillTodman on the complexity of solidarity and advocacy in the Middle East. Also draws attention to how governments in the region are "instrumentaliIng homophobia for political gain". Some quotes...
"While well-intentioned and welcomed by some in the region, these protests have played into politicians’ efforts to make LGBTQ+ rights a wedge issue."
"The foreign protestors can go home, if they ever traveled to the region in the first place. Their futures are not shaped by a rising tide of intolerance or by accusations of disloyalty. Arab LGBTQ+ individuals are home, but they are finding their homes increasingly inhospitable"
Read 10 tweets

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