1/ Ukraine TVD, 8-19 FEB 23. The past 2 weeks of February saw the Russian Winter Offensive intensify as major pushes continued in Kreminna, Bakhmut, and Vuhledar. Russian made few gains, Ukrainian defenses continue to hold. #UkraineRussiaWar#RussianArmy#UkraineFrontLines
2/ Operational Terms. To assist in easy of comprehension of the threads graphics, here is a list of commonly used terms and their definitions. (note: I am still refining and updating this list, please bear with me as I do, thank you).
3/ Luhansk OD. Russian forces press their attack in the Kreminna area. Svatove has been reinforced by the 98th GABD, signaling a Russian intent to push toward Kupyansk soon. UKR forces will continue to defend in depth & transition to the offense when opportunities arise. #Luhansk
4/ Kreminna AO. The 144th Guards Motorized Rifle Division supported by the 90th Guards Tank Division, 30th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, and BARS Battalions continue their attack south through the Kreminna Forest towards Serebryanka. Attacks westward have stalled. #Kreminna
5/ Donetsk OD. Donetsk Oblast remains the decisive OD for Russian Ground Forces. If Russian Airborne & Wagner Group units can complete their steady progress in Bakhmut in the coming weeks it increases the likelihood of a 2d Army Corps supported attack towards Siversk. #Donetsk
6/ Bakhmut AO. Bakhmut remains the most critical Objective Point of Maneuver in the Ukrainian TVD. With the fall of Krasna Hora & Paraskovilka & steady advances west from Blahodatne, Russian forces are positioned to force a general withdrawal from Bakhmut. #Bakhmut
7/ Zaporizhzhia OD. The SVRF continues its efforts to capture Orkhiv and Vuhledar at whatever cost is required. Russian forces have found no success in the Vuhledar region. The high loss in troops & equipment have grinded larger scale action to a stand still. #Zaporizhzhia
8/ Vuhledar AO. The Russian attempt to seize Vuhledar will likely remain a top priority through the spring. High losses have slowed the pace of operations, however newly arrived units from the Melitopol area & VMF replacements are being integrated for new assaults. #Vuhledar
9/ Kherson OD. Russian forces will continue an active defense on the Dnipro River with a focus on gaining control over the Dnipro Delta. UKR forces will continue to probe Russian defenses while missile & artillery strikes target logistic nodes in Kherson and Crimea. #Kherson
10/ Ukraine OTMO. The Black Seas Fleet remains focused on force protection of vessels, facilities, & personnel rather than offensive operations or active patrolling of sea lanes & the northern Black Sea coast / littoral. #Sevastopol
11/ Ukraine SVKO. Russian aerospace forces continue to prioritize targeting Ukrainian critical infrastructure & troop concentrations over suppression of Ukrainian air defenses. Ukrainian HIMARS & UCAVs will continue targeting Russian supply & command nodes. #airdefensefofukraine
12/ This is another short update focused on theater wide actions of the past two weeks. I am starting to get back into the rhythm of regular updates and will likely start to increase content in the coming weeks. Thank you for your patients, suggestions, & continued support.
13/ This open-source operational summary of the Ukrainian TVD is based on information from the ZSU & VSRF daily operations briefs, various Ukrainian & Russian Telegram channels, western intel agencies public statements, military analysts, & my own professional experience.
14/ Any errors to the information presented here is strictly my own and will be corrected as soon as it is discovered.
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1/15 🌍 Global Situation Update; Iran war D+11; Russo-Ukrainian War D+1,477; Sudanese Civil War, D+695: The international security architecture is experiencing unprecedented systemic stress. We are witnessing the simultaneous prosecution of industrialized, multi-domain warfare across three distinct geographic theaters. A breakdown of the operational picture: #IranWar2026 #EpicFury #LionsRoar #TruePromise4 #Sudan
2/ 🇸🇦🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸🇦🇪 Middle East: Operations Epic Fury (U.S.) and Lion's Roar (IDF) have successfully transitioned from the initial shaping phase to sustained operational exploitation. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the U.S. Air Force state that they are currently operating with "full aerial freedom" over Iranian sovereign airspace.
3/ 🇮🇱🇺🇸Today marks the most intense day of coalition strikes yet, with U.S. and Israeli assets simultaneously striking the IRGC special forces HQ, the Imam Hassan complex in Tehran, a massive Basij militia complex in Tabriz, and strategic sites in Isfahan and Qom.
1/9 🌍 Global Situation Update; Iran war D+10, Russo-Ukrainian War D+1,476: The international security architecture is facing unprecedented concurrent stress. As of March 10, 2026, the international system is simultaneously managing two high-intensity, theater-level conflicts that have fundamentally fractured the traditional concept of integrated deterrence. Here is a macro-strategic and tactical synthesis of Operations Epic Fury, Lion's Roar, and True Promise IV in the Middle Eastern theater of War and the Ukrainian TVD. #Irán #EpicFury #LionsRoar #TruePromise4 #UkraineWar #straightofhormuz
2a/9 🇺🇸🇮🇱 Persian Gulf Theater of Operations: Day 11 marks the kinetic zenith of Operations Epic Fury & Lion's Roar thus far. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and Gen. Dan Caine confirmed March 10 as the "most intense day of strikes inside Iran". Over 5,000 targets (IRGC HQs, IADS, drone hubs) have been dismantled to date.
2b/9 🇺🇸 The sheer scale and intensity of Operation Epic Fury have exposed critical vulnerabilities within the United States defense industrial base. The Pentagon reportedly expended an estimated $5.6 billion in precision munitions during the first 48 hours of the campaign alone.
This burn rate has triggered immediate congressional alarm regarding the rapid depletion of American weapon stockpiles, mirroring and severely exacerbating the magazine depth crisis previously observed during the arming of Ukraine. The operational efficacy of the Western security architecture is currently undergoing a structural stress test, forcing a rapid transition from a posture of sustainable power projection to a mathematically grueling war of industrial attrition.
1/ Global Situation Update; Iran war D+9, Russo-Ukrainian War D+1,475: The Persian Gulf and Ukrainian theaters are currently defined by unprecedented aerospace saturation, high-intensity ground maneuverability, and massive macroeconomic volatility. A thread on the multi-domain kinetic cascade. 🧵 #USIranWar #Epicfury #LionsRoar #TruePromise4 #UkraineWar
2a/ 🇺🇸🇮🇱 Persian Gulf Theater of Operations: The US-Israeli campaign (Epic Fury/Lion's Roar) has entered a grinding, multi-domain attrition phase. The IDF reports launching over 1,600 strike sorties since the operation's inception. Despite this intense bombardment, the Iranian regime's command structure has consolidated.
2b/ 🇺🇸To maintain this unrelenting operational tempo and secure the surrounding maritime corridors, the United States established a robust three-carrier posture: the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) positioned in the Eastern Mediterranean, the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) operating in the Arabian Sea, and the USS George Washington (CVN-73) forward-deployed at Yokosuka to maintain deterrence in the Pacific theater. The USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) Carrier Strike Group is preparing to deploy to support Operation Epic Fury, likely joining the USS Gerald R. Ford in the Eastern Mediterranean.
1/10 Global Situation Update; Iran war D+8, Russo-Ukrainian War D+1,474: The international security architecture continues to experience severe stress. High-intensity multi-domain operations across the Middle East (Epic Fury/Lion's Roar/True Promise IV) and Eastern Europe are beginning to strategically converge.
#IranWar2026 #EpicFury #LionsRoar #TruePromise4 #USIranWar #UkraineRussiaWar
2/10 🇮🇷 Strategic Pivot: Iran's Assembly of Experts has officially named 56-year-old Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader. This cements IRGC hardline control and marks the first hereditary transfer of supreme power since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. U.S. President Trump immediately condemned the succession, stating the new leader will not "last long" without U.S. approval.
3/10 🇺🇸 Operation Epic Fury: CENTCOM's aerospace campaign remains relentless. U.S. B-2 Spirit stealth bombers dropped dozens of 2,000-lb penetrator munitions specifically targeting deeply buried IRGC ballistic missile launchers. Concurrently, the U.S. military confirmed a 7th American service member died from injuries sustained during an earlier March 1 attack in Saudi Arabia.
1/ 🌍 Daily Tactical Update, Iran War D+7, Russo-Ukraine War D+1,473: The global security architecture is fracturing simultaneously across two primary theaters of war. The US-Israeli Coalition continues its air campaign (Epic Fury/Lion's Roar), while it faces an asymmetric Iranian response (True Promise IV), and the Russo-Ukrainian War sees major multi-domain innovations. A thread 🧵
#IranWar #IranIsraelWar #EpicFury #LionsRoar #TruePromise4
2/ 🇮🇷🇦🇪 Persian Gulf Theater of Operations: Iran's "True Promise IV" reached a critical inflection point today. An Iranian OWA drone penetrated UAE air defenses, striking Dubai Intl Airport (DXB) near Concourse A. Operations were temporarily suspended, which paralyzed Israeli repatriation airlifts. The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad and the Consulate in Erbil, Iraq, came under drone and rocket attack by Iranian forces.
3/ 🇮🇷 Iranian Command Rupture: Paradoxically, Iranian President Pezeshkian issued a televised "apology" and conditional ceasefire to Gulf states today. In contrast, the IRGC issued a statement calling President Pezeshkian's message a “mistake”, encouraging Pezeshkian's comments to be ignored. The juxtaposition of this diplomatic off-ramp with the DXB strike strongly indicates the Provisional Leadership Council has lost operational control of forward IRGC launch units.
1/7 Daily Tactical Update, Iran War D+6 / Russo-Ukraine War D+ 1,472: We are observing synchronized, high-intensity multi-domain combat operations across two distinct theaters—the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Here is a brief OSINT and strategic rollup of the last 24 hours. 🧵👇 #IranIsraelUSWar #EpicFury #LionsRoar #TruePromiseIV
2/7 🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇮🇱 Operations Epic Fury & Lion's Roar: The joint US-Israeli campaign has entered its 7th day. Allied forces have struck a combined 4,500+ targets (over 2,000 US strikes and 2,500 Israeli strikes), establishing near-total air superiority. March 6 kinetic strikes heavily degraded regime infrastructure in Tehran, completely destroying the Diplomatic Police Center and the Azadi Sports Complex.
3/7 🇮🇷 Operation True Promise IV: Iran continues its massive, multi-axis retaliation across the Persian Gulf and the Levant, utilizing ballistic missiles and one-way attack (OWA) drones. The sheer volume of Shahed-class munitions continues to strain regional integrated air defense systems (IADS), highlighting the rapid maturation of aerospace saturation tactics.