Paul Koshy Profile picture
Feb 25 14 tweets 4 min read
Dear India,

#ModiGovt 's headlines management through a pliable media has tried to take your attention away from some dangerous situation that our Nation is suffering from.

Allow me to update you on one extremely important topic - India's Forex reserves.

Why do we need Forex?
We need reserved of foreign currencies with the RBI to meet our

A. Import expenses
B. Repayment of external debts
C. Investments abroad
D. Services like education, medical treatment, tourism, on-site projects etc

We earn forex through exports. And add more dollars thru loans
Overall imports in April-November 2022 are estimated to be USD 610.70 Billion.

India's overall exports (Merchandise and Services combined) in April-November2022 are estimated to be USD 499.67 Billion.
As per RBI reports at end-September 2022, India's external debt was placed at US$ 621.5 billion

The external debt to GDP ratio stood at 19.2 per cent as at end- September 2022
More than 40%, or $267 billion worth of external debt of the total $621 billion, is due for repayment in the next nine months, the Reserve Bank of India data showed.

This repayment is equivalent to about 44% of the India's foreign exchange reserves.
The rupee fell to a new record low of ₹82.87 to the US dollar on 24th Feb.

When the exchange value of Indian Rupee falls against the US Dollar, it means that we as a Nation will have to pay more Rupees against the Dollar loans.

More than the dollar value at the time of loan.
Economists estimate the current account deficit, or excess of imports over exports, will touch 3.1% of India's GDP, up from 1.2% last year.

From the meagre GDP Growth that we do, a large portion of that drains out for our growing imports and paying back loans with a weak Rupee
India's foreign exchange (forex) reserves dropped by $5.68 billion to $561.26 billion for the week ended February 17th, the lowest in 11 weeks and the Reserve Bank of India likely sold dollars to prevent further weakness in rupee.
The value of gold reserves slumped by $1.04 billion to $41.81billion.

Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) fell by $87 million to $18.26 billion and India's reserve position with the International MonetaryFund (IMF) dropped by $34 million to $5.11 billion during the kast week.
The forex reserves have dipped amid continued selling pressure in the Indian equities markets, especially by the foreign institutions. "The domestic market is broadly demonstrating a lack of confidence despite global markets turning green
Gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the last quarter slipped to an annual 4.6%, according to the median forecast of 42 economists in the February 10-24 survey.

Ita is expected to slow further to 4.4% in the current quarter, and across 2023/24.
While we all get pulled in by the headlines like #AdaniScam, Lynching and murder of Muslims by the RSS, arrest of #Pawan_Khera for #GautamDas etc., please train yourself to stay watchful about the REAL headlines which suffers perennial miscarriages due to a sold out media.

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More from @Paul_Koshy

Feb 25
प्रिय भारतवासीयों,

मोदी सरकार के हेडलाइन मैनेजमेन्ट ने गोदी मीडिया के माध्यम से आपका ध्यान कुछ खतरनाक समस्या से दूर भटकाने की कोशिश की है, जिसका सामना हमारा देश कर रहा है।

मैं एक अत्यंत महत्वपूर्ण विषय से आपको अवगत कराना चाहता हूँ - भारत का विदेशी मुद्रा भंडार।
हमें विदेशी मुद्रा की आवश्यकता क्यों है?

आरबीआई को विदेशी मुद्राओं की आवश्यकता हमारी इन जरुरतों के लिए है:

A. विदेशों से आयात पर खर्च
B. विदेशी ऋणों का भुगतान
C. विदेश में निवेश
D. शिक्षा, चिकित्सा, पर्यटन, परियोजनाओं आदि जैसी सेवाओं पर खर्च
हम निर्यात के माध्यम से विदेशी मुद्रा कमाते हैं, और विदेशी ऋण के माध्यम से अतिरिक्त डॉलर अर्जित करते हैं।

अप्रैल-नवंबर 2022 में कुल आयात (अनुमानित) 61,070 करोड़ अमरीकी डालर था।

अप्रैल-नवंबर 2022 में भारत का कुल निर्यात (वस्तु और सेवा) 49,967 करोड़ अमरीकी डालर (अनुमानित) था।
Read 14 tweets
Feb 25
लचीले मीडिया के माध्यम से #मोदीसरकार के सुर्खियां प्रबंधन ने आपका ध्यान उस खतरनाक स्थिति से हटाने की कोशिश की है जिससे हमारा देश पीड़ित है।

मुझे एक अत्यंत महत्वपूर्ण विषय पर आपको अपडेट करने की अनुमति दें- विदेशी मुद्रा भंडार

हमें विदेशी मुद्रा की आवश्यकता क्यों है?
हमें अपनी नीचे उल्लिखित जरूरतों को पूरा करने के लिए भारतीय रिजर्व बैंक के पास आरक्षित विदेशी मुद्राओं की आवश्यकता है

A. आयात व्यय
B. बाहरी ऋण की चुकौती
C. विदेश में निवेश
D. विदेशी विश्वविद्यालय शिक्षा, चिकित्सा उपचार, पर्यटन, साइट पर परियोजनाओं आदि जैसी सेवाएं
हम निर्यात के माध्यम से विदेशी मुद्रा कमाते हैं। और ऋण के माध्यम से अतिरिक्त डॉलर जोड़ते हैं

अप्रैल-नवंबर 2022 में कुल आयात 610.70 अरब अमेरिकी डॉलर होने का अनुमान है।

अप्रैल-नवंबर 2022 में भारत का कुल निर्यात (व्यापार और सेवाएं संयुक्त) 499.67अरब अमेरिकी डॉलर होने का अनुमान है।
Read 12 tweets
Feb 24
While @PMOIndia refuses to answer about his direct role that caused massive wiping out of Billions of Dollars from investors in Adani Group shares and their other stake holders, pressures from the Supreme Court has forced SEBI to initiate a probe.

👇 SBIs response to SEBI
BJP IT Cell projects through its WhatsApp groups that the loss impacts only a handful of people who invest and trade in shares. That it does not affect most people because they do not invest in shares.

That's a lie. The loss in value of Adani Shares hits Banks net worth
The Adani Group pledged worthless shares of their new ventures and took massive loans from SBI

Value of these shares have fallen by over 83%.

So, to recover their loans if the banks sell these shares they recover ONLY 17% of the loan value.

#ModiGovt forced SBI to invest
Read 6 tweets
Feb 23
People in affluent Nation slog their entire lives and allow governments to deduct Income Tax at very high rates (50 to 60%)

This money, their Government hands over to investment bankers. With the profits they maintain a social security system that helps people in their old age
@gautam_adani developed a sense of credibility with the fund managers who manage these pension funds by leveraging on the @PMOIndia.

His proximity and intimate relationship with @narendramodi gave a message to the investors that they can trust Adani
@narendramodi extracted his piece of flesh by making Adani pay for his political career which involved full throttled use of free cash to buy MLAs, topple democratically elected governments, fund Election Campaigns, hacking EVMs, bribing & build a war chest at their Party office
Read 7 tweets
Feb 21
Sharing an observation
Post lockdown, especially during the past 8 or 10 months, most of regular house maids working in our residential area have vanished.

They have been replaced by people who have not worked as maids before. Many come for work in their 2 wheelers. Well groomed Image
My wife was hesitant to employ one of the new maid that we have at home. She tells me, this lady does not appear to be like the others that we have had. That she looks to be from a financially comfortable, and no reason to be working as a cleaning maid.

We employed her.
Then we learnt that her husband has a job as an electrician and earns well

But Covid and inflation has rinsed them out of their savings. So she decided to look for work and restore their rainy day buffer

Around mid 30, she has never worked anywhere before. This is a stress job
Read 8 tweets
Feb 21
Enticement of #SanjivChadha, CEO & MD Bank of Baroda, to continue providing fresh loans to the tainted #Adani group, which lost over 50% of its net worth during past 4 weeks, could be whatever.

India, Remember it's not personal money
businesstoday.in/latest/corpora… via @businesstoday
@bankofbaroda is playing with your money.

While every global financial institution has issued a Red Alert on #AdaniGroup and its devious methods, Mr Sanjiv Chadha proudly announces his resolve to pour more of your money to a group that the entire world sees as a fraudster
Dear India
We have 2 Options

1. Kick out CEO & MD of @bankofbaroda and replace him with a person of Integrity

2. Close your accounts with BoB and shift it into a bank which is not compromised

Can Banks who have nothing to do with Adani kindly raise their hands please 🖐️
Read 4 tweets

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