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Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
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Feb 26 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
#China_Ukraine: After the Chinese media allegedly circulated an unacceptable map of what Ukraine should look like after the peace negotiations, there remains no doubt that China is on Russia's side. Some food for thought:⤵️
1) The West should wake up and objectively assess China's role in promoting the Russian narrative on Ukraine around the world, including in the Global South; ⤵️
2) In fact, just like the US, EU member states like France & Germany have the same right to have a direct dialogue with Beijing. However, that implies obligations of strategic thinking about European security, part of which is the restoration of Ukraine's territorial integrity;⤵️
3) The scandalous post-war map of Ukraine again explains why the 12 points of the Chinese proposal for peace negotiations in Ukraine have no mention of the withdrawal of Russian forces from the Ukrainian territories (before 2014 ).👇

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More from @DionisCenusa

Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
Feb 26
#Risk_Reduction: While high winter temperatures helped counter Russia's gas weaponization, the downside of the same natural anomaly is insufficient water. France prepares “sobriety plans” to save water, recalling the “energy saving” experience of 2022.⤵️
Not only agriculture, but also the civil nuclear industry is affected by the looming water crisis in France. Efficiency in the use of water is becoming a new national policy in France. This issue will bring back to the table the conversation about the H2Med hydrogen pipeline⤵️
that France wants to use for the production of pink hydrogen with the use of atomic energy (and d hydropower). The latter is going to suffer serious short, medium and long-term consequences due to more pronounced negative effects of the climate change.
Read 4 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
Feb 25
#Ukraine_Moldova: Zelensky has officially confirmed that Ukraine does not plan to attack Transnistria because it respects the independence of other countries. Several observations: 1) Once again, Zelensky's statement confirms that Kyiv avoids costly expansion of its military⤵️
capabilities outside of its focus on southeastern Ukraine against the Russian occupation. This is not to mention the serious reputational costs of Ukraine's support in the West (something that highlighted before in my comments and articles); ⤵️
2) Russian attempts to divert attention from Russian aggression in Ukraine to a fabricated story about an alleged “Ukrainian aggression” against Moldova failed. However, such stories become more frequent. The more repetitive they are, the greater the negative impact on public ⤵️
Read 5 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
Feb 25
#Russia_Sanctions: Russia's military potential is slowly degrading, with a lack of access to some 9,000 components for military equipments. With the adoption of the 10th EU sanctions package, there is more uniformity among Western nations. The following trends are to be watched⤵️
from now on: 1) An increased focus on export control of low technology (microchips that can be removed from electrical appliances in the kitchen); 2) extension of the classification of restricted dual-use goods for export to Russia; 3) application of financial sanctions to ⤵️
third countries that operate with Russian financial institutions (mainly from Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, the South Caucasus and Central Asia); 4) starving Russia financially though trade means (embargoes, high tariffs, etc.); 5) enforcing the sanctions and counter ⤵️
Read 6 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
Feb 25
#GlobalSouth: A large part of the Global South votes for Ukraine in the UN Assembly. This seems to be caused by the exposure of the issue of Russian aggression & the reputational costs associated with it. In practice, the Global South does not join in sanctions against⤵️
Russia and does not provide military aid to Ukraine. The self-exclusion of those from Asia, Africa and South America from international efforts to stop Russian aggression stems from biases inherent in the construction of global politics:⤵️
1) anti-Americanism (revolving around critical perceptions of respect of int law during military actions in Iraq, Libya or Serbia); 2) anti-colonialism (the fact that Europe & the US were involved in colonialism seen through the imagery of slavery, involving the African pop);⤵️
Read 6 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
Feb 24
#China_Ukraine: Beijing has finally released its vision of what a peace deal between Russia (aggressor) and Ukraine (victim) should look like. Here are my main remarks: 1) The first two points out of 12 are a mix of Chinese and Russian geopolitical interests involving the⤵️
principle of sovereignty (Taiwan question) and “Cold War” mentality (indirectly against opposition to enlargement of NATO and the geographic extension of the US). military cooperation); 2) The cessation of hostilities ranks only third in Chinese documents and lacks⤵️
the essentials: the complete and unconditional withdrawal of Russian forces; 3) China insists that peace talks begin as the next step, without restoration of the pre-war status quo with Ukraine's legitimate control over all its territories (2013);⤵️
Read 12 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
Feb 24
#Russia_Sanctions: The adoption of the 10th package faces a delay. The EU has wanted to turn it into a symbolic gesture before the commemoration of 1 year of the outbreak of Russian aggression against Ukraine (today): Here are some of the reasons:⤵️
1) Poland demands tougher sanctions instead of mimicry (especially with regard to the quotas on synthetic rubber); 2) Opposition to penalize Rosatom executives for fear that it could affect Russia's supply of civil nuclear technology (in previous attempts it was Hungary);⤵️
3) Reluctance to include Russian diamond producer Alrosa (Belgium is protecting its diamond industry in Atwerp).
Read 4 tweets

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