ok, being more serious now -
Quick Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 26, 2023
Situation is very difficult in north & S-E #Bakhmut
situation is still degrading in lots of diff areas surrounding the city even if some controls remains
#UkraineMap
2/ contrary to what lot of people claims/feared there is no control on Ru side on the S-W part of #Bakhmut and #Ivanske is ok right now as the road..
no reason to freak out about that sector.
but on the opposite side of the city (S-E) i can't assess really if they are simply
3/ pulling back as expected or if it's just quite hard right now, but it's very uncertain what the real front line is right there. also no clear explanations from any chanels/commanders or units there.
so we'll see.

on the north part, it's definitively the same problem and
4/ right now the dyn is clearly ru, and Ukr there had no time to prepare anything that can stop them for a long time.
we know from both sides (because both reports the same) that there was several attacks towards #Bohdanivka but we don't know the true extent of the progress.
5/ What we can clearly assess if we simply take the rate of progression observed for the last couple weeks is that this entire area should be under Ru control within couple of days, so if UKR are not withdrawing right now, from the city, (i still think that they are preparing it)
6/ it could become "a bit" difficult this coming weeks.
so basically we are looking at this map right now.
i'll try to do better in coming days...
7/ i did not report all this earlier because i watched lots of diff vid & reports from UKR/Ru units etc & it takes a lot of time!
Also i've seen direct battle videos i'll try to post this week. explains a lot in some areas. sadly.
8/ nothing else really to report; same old same old. just crazy that there are still some human being able to fight in the totally destroyed #Mariinka.
it's really one of the most "crazy" thing of this war.
even other Ukrainians are in awe abt that place!

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More from @HeliosRunner

Feb 28
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 23, 2023
Situation is still evolving in North & East #Bakhmut
In the city the Ukr seems to draw back from previous contact lines. preparing retreat.
Really hard fights all day long... everywhere
#UkraineMap Image
2/ Ru are making notable progress along the NE-SW rail going between #Yahidne & #Khromove. RU forces are increasing their tactical harassements with continuous small groups of men ramping up like vermines... some pic of #Ukrainian LOCS taken by RU drones. direct mortar hit.
3/ As explained several times, if Ru take full control of this axis (even if #Bogdanivka is not fully taken) but up to #Khromove because of the particular terrain situation, #Ukrainian won't ever be able to take it back (acting like that of course.. )
so i think it's the reason Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 27
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 27, 2023
Situation is still tense in north and East #Bakhmut but under control & steady almost everywhere.
Also there is some good news to the south of #ChassivYar
#UkraineMap Image
2/ There is no "major counter attack" as i explained yesterday. this is pure bollocks. there was some real effort to send some troops /small units to control and defeat Ru adavances, but nothing else.
funny to see guys these morning still wondering about it, because of yesterday
3/ craziness. the funnier thing is the one taking the "bait" as i said several time are not even able to go check on all Ru (because they don't want to do proper job & are not able to understand anyway) "proper" chanels and same for Ukr reports.
Anyway, situation is ok..
Read 12 tweets
Feb 26
! Several reports now about several explosions confirmed on #Belarus
Ru mil AWACS A-50 was -allegedly- blown up at #Machulishchy military airfield in Belarus -
BYPOL.

others infos are out there but not confirmed yet.
right now as usual, people are just speculating on everything
2/ being possible from missiles to Drones to partisans/SOF etc. but we still don't know.
it seems to be limited in that specific area though.

good shot.
but i don't believe Ukr would "risk" any escalation for such a target (i mean directly sending missiles/drones). Maybe
3/ partisans/SOF sending drones, from inside the country itself...
we'll see when we'll have full report or direct visual confirmations.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 26
1/ @e_magistry merci pour votre mot Elisabeth!
Xavier était personnel naviguant, pas un spécialiste du renseignement humain ni un psy ni gendarme.. d'une part et d'autre part si qq'un se faisait ainsi passer par ex pr son père il n'aurait surement pas la meme reaction "détaché" .
2/ .. les hommes sont souvent comme ça. voir les reactions de tous vis a vis de Putin qd cela ne les touchait pas...
d'autre part le vol d'identité est un délit. point. le seul pb c'est qu'il n'y as pas pour l'instant d'utilisation de cette identité donc on se fait "croire" que
3/ pas grave mais c'est faux. faire passer ses idées pour celle d'un autre est également tres grave. imaginons si Pasteur avait eu un compte qui avait été squatté non par un antivax mais par un ancien infirmier pervers qui aurait été condamné puis viré pour attouchements ou
Read 5 tweets
Feb 25
1/ Twitter dans toute sa splendeur !!!
un maçon de 35 ans qui a piqué l'identité du general Yakovleff, (je vous avais prévenu qu'il y aurait des dérapages) qui refuse depuis le début de mettre "parodie" ou de répondre à mes premiers messages en ce sens.. (pourtant tres simple)
2/ il se fait maintenant complètement passé pour le général (il faut voir certaines reponses qu'il fait à certains dans son fil) et bien sur ne dément jamais quand on l'appelle "Mon général !"
plus d'une centaines comptés ces derniers jours..
3/ je vous avais prévenu que ce type non seulement n'était pas clair que cela allait mal finir cette histoire, maintenant il fait des cartes d'attaques de la Transnistrie tranquille, sur le nom du Général...

Autant je comprenais que des gens le suivent au début pour voir les
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
Raaahhh j'ai entendu plusieurs fois, en quelques jours, un morceau sur une web radio et je n'arrive plus à me le sortir de la tête maintenant...
alors il n'y a pas de raisons, je vous en fait profiter aussi 😄😄👋🤣
2/ Actually when i was much "younger" and doing a lot of motorcycle, i had my "walkman" and among my "tapes", there was some U2 albums, Springsteen, Queens, Pink floyd, etc.
but also a lot of "compilations" & back then one of my fav songs was :
3/ my dad was mil and i raised in Africa, and i also had all the "vietnam rock" type of music, because we had everything with 5 to 7 years delay..
so basically i "grew up" with a lot of classical music (from my mother) and this kind of music :
Read 5 tweets

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