#Risk_Management: Seismologists warn that Istanbul (16 million inhabitants) is doomed to suffer major earthquakes (the last time in 1999). We deal with a "known unknown", when risks are on the horizon but not yet on the radar to predict escalation. The recent earthquakes⤵️
caused $34 billion worth of economic losses in Turkey and more than 50,000 deaths in total in Syria. To mitigate the consequences of a natural disaster that will hit Istanbul, the authorities and the population are working on 100,000 seismic resilience assessments of buildings.⤵️
This is better than nothing, but with a highly seismic environment, the Turkish authorities overlooked the need to develop a powerful audit of the old and new civil infrastructure. It seems that the disaster preparedness of state agencies and the population should be reviewed.
The EU should be proactive in preparing for the cross-border impact of the eventual earthquake in Istanbul. The following two effects are evident and very likely: 1) Turkish refugees and/or internally displaced persons; 2) influx of illegal immigrants stationed in Turkey.
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