Ayo Obe Profile picture
Mar 2 5 tweets 2 min read
1. The great thing about an Election Petition is than one has to condescend upon the particular.
So @PeterObi will produce the evidence to back his claim.
But if he’s saying he WON, it’s no longer a matter of cancelling or re-running. It’s about the maths.

#NigeriaDecides2023
2. This is the situation now: Image
3. Doing election petitions in 1983, if one was challenging figures, one needed results sheets signed by the presiding officer, the party agents and the police or other security personnel at the relevant level.
In the famous Ondo gubernatorial election petition, results sheets …
4. … collated up to the last but one level had been signed. Then completely bogus figures were awarded in the final result, awarding the win to Omoboriowo.
All GOK Ajayi SAN had to do was ask the court to take the figures from the last uncontested signed sheets and do the maths.
5. IReV may have been slow, but results from polling stations are now being uploaded.
To challenge those figures, party agents must now produce their own signed results sheets which are at variance with what @inecnigeria has on IReV.
Then we can all do the maths.

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More from @naijama

Mar 4
🧵re-threaded!
1. Understandably, a lot of media attention was focused on two main aspects of @YIAGA’s report on #NigeriaDecides2023 (that can - and should - be read here: yiaga.org/yiaga-africa-p……)
2. There was the deep disappointment at @inecnigeria’s logistical shortcomings & failure to live up to its #IReV promises; there was also YIAGA Africa’s finding that the results declared for Imo and Rivers were inconsistent with its parallel vote tabulation (PVT) projections.
3. @YIAGA could make that assertion because it had observers in all 774 Local Government Areas and used PVT which allows it to project the results to be expected.
(I hope no one is surprised that it was Imo and Rivers? Let's see if INEC upholds or corrects those results.)
Read 6 tweets
Feb 4
We are where we are and can only go forward now that #CurrencyChange is ‘on ground’, but we can’t ignore the reality of the election-linked timing.
Is the policy’s aim to stop #VoteBuying & #VoteSelling? Or is it to mop up excess liquidity, correct course or achieve some …/2
… other monetary or fiscal goal?
Yes, #VoteBuying & #VoteSelling are wrong and criminal, but must the nation’s whole policy be altered to suppress what law enforcement should be able to deal with, just because ordinary people (rather than delegates & legislators) are getting…/3
… a piece of the action? After all, if the person selling notes at a social event can get new notes, we should not delude ourselves that a politician who wants to do analogue #VoteBuying can’t lay their hands on them too.
But if the aim of the policy is monetary, that could …/4
Read 4 tweets
Jun 11, 2022
Inside the hall where MKO Abiola, tired of waiting for Sani Abacha to actualise his #June12th mandate, made his famous Ẹpẹtẹdo Declaration that he was the elected President of Nigeria.
Tbh, I think that @followlasg can do better for this historic site.
It’s now a Sports Centre, but again, to be frank it doesn’t amount to a hill of beans, even as a sports centre.
The former Governor of Kano State @MallamShekarau arrives direct from Kano for the event and of course I grab a selfie …
Read 7 tweets
Oct 19, 2021
A couple of corrections:
I did not say “Ṣe you are still screaming”, I said “You can continue screaming but …”
‘Gaslighting’ is trying to convince a person of a non-existent ‘reality’ - it doesn’t mean mere mocking - even if you confuse that with advice.
I was even ok with #EndSARS pivoting to demand good governance.
But to do that without any serious effort to engage in politics?
Even sympathetic supporters like @BankyW or @YeleSowore were derided as ‘politicians’, as if a democracy can work without people seeking votes!
It’s like having a driving licence, sitting in the bus and criticising the driver’s driving & where he’s going, but refusing to take over the vehicle because “I’m not a driver”.
Organisation & Fundraising for #EndSARS + numbers is more than a driving licence for Nigeria’s youth.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 13, 2018
Things I learnt while at The Electoral Institute yesterday:
1. That report about @MBuhari getting 75% of his votes in 2015 from areas where card readers were not used did not come from @inecnigeria or its data.
2. INEC will use #PVC #CardReaders in all the 2019 elections.
3. INEC does NOT need the #ElectoralBill to be enacted to be able to use #PVC #CardReaders. It has been using #CardReaders consistently since 2015 and intends to use them in 2019. If it hadn't already planned to, two months to the election would be far too late to start planning!
4. INEC has stopped the use of 'incident report' to justify non-use of #CardReader for voter identification.
5. These safeguards are why some now resort to #votebuying.
6. Slow/late funding issues will not stop the 2019 polls, just as they didn't stop the 2015 polls.
Read 5 tweets

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