Thread by @naijama

🧵re-threaded!
1. Understandably, a lot of media attention was focused on two main aspects of @YIAGA’s report on #NigeriaDecides2023 (that can - and should - be read here: yiaga.org/yiaga-africa-p……)

2. There was the deep disappointment at @inecnigeria’s logistical shortcomings & failure to live up to its #IReV promises; there was also YIAGA Africa’s finding that the results declared for Imo and Rivers were inconsistent with its parallel vote tabulation (PVT) projections.

3. @YIAGA could make that assertion because it had observers in all 774 Local Government Areas and used PVT which allows it to project the results to be expected.
(I hope no one is surprised that it was Imo and Rivers? Let's see if INEC upholds or corrects those results.)

4. What is largely overlooked is that @YIAGA’s PVT estimates mostly accorded with the results announced by @inecnigeria in the other 34 states. That means, for example, that INEC’s result for Lagos (where the OBIdient claim that @PeterObi's margin of victory was much greater …

5. … than announced by INEC, and that @officialABAT didn’t get even the desirable 25%) is considered by this leading CSO to be a largely accurate result based on its PVT estimates.
The #IReV is also there to support the accuracy of @YIAGA’s PVT estimates.

6. As supporters of @Atiku, Obi, and even @KwankwasoRM make ever more fantastic claims in the media about how they “won”, the overall accuracy of the numbers suggest that something more than demands to be declared the winner should be sought in the coming litigation.