1/ Could be a significant few weeks ahead
- DUP and likely ERG will vote against Windsor Framework
- a relaunch of ReformUK asking Tories to join them
- Partygate the gift that keeps on giving
- Polls that show Tories flailing whatever they announce
#ToriesOut256 #SunakOut147
2/
- Johnson guilty verdict likely
- Local elections May 4th
- Increasing splits in the Tories

Take all of that together - especially Reform aiming to wipe the Tories out and you have a situation where some who think it likely to lose their seats could defect
3/
If they think all is lost, that Brexit is not as they wished, Budget has not worked in their favour, Johnson is facing suspension and there is wipeout on ay 4th it is feasible a number will choose to jump ship.
4/
Johnson's Honours list should be announced too and 4 MPs are on that.
Even if half a dozen defected to Reform (and some were in talks from Dec 2021) Sunaks majority begins to sink fast
GE could be a lot sooner than we think
#GeneralElectionNow #Partygate

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with dave lawrence 🐟🐟🐠

dave lawrence 🐟🐟🐠 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @dave43law

Mar 21
🚨🚨BREAKING🚨🚨

The Johnson defence document in full
He essentially pleads ignorance
#Toriesout257 #SunakOut148 #GeneralElectionNow

committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidenc…
"It is of course true that my statements to Parliament that the Rules and Guidance had been followed at all times did not turn out to be correct, and I take this
opportunity to apologise to the House for that.
That is clear from the findings in the Sue Gray report, and the result of the Metropolitan Police investigation, which I accept. "

(That is an admission that he did not correct the record when able in the House - as far as I read it)
Read 6 tweets
Mar 18
Boris Johnson’s ‘bombshell’ that will ‘exonerate him from partygate’
PM set to unleash ‘defence dossier’ that will he believes will debunk claims he deliberately misled Parliament, say allies
#ToriesOUT254 #SunakOut145
Boris Johnson is preparing to unveil “bombshell” evidence that he believes will exonerate him over partygate, according to his allies.

Ahead of a grilling by the House of Commons privileges committee on Wednesday, the former prime minister’s legal team is finalising its defence
to claims that he knowingly and deliberately misled MPs about lockdown-breaking parties in Downing Street.

His “bombshell defence dossier”, as his friends call it, will include messages from Mr Johnson’s advisers sent shortly before he spoke in Parliament advising him
Read 16 tweets
Mar 17
Dominic Raab
"“Anyone involved in the inquiry who is commenting to the media anonymously or otherwise is breaching the rules and as a matter of basic professional integrity, I’m not going to do that,”
Change of behaviour.....
#ToriesOut253 #SunakOut144
belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/raab-i…
10th Feb 2023 to Telegraph - denies allegations
lbc.co.uk/news/dominic-r…
16th Nov - article where he denied bullying at PMQs
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 5
A leaked cache of government messages has revealed how Simon Case, the current head of the Civil Service, said to Matt Hancock the public needed to be told to isolate by “trusted local figures, not nationally distrusted figures like the PM”.
#ToriesOut241
telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/03/0…
The description of Mr Johnson is likely to be embarrassing for the Cabinet Secretary and potentially the former prime minister, whose character is being questioned - and who appointed Mr Case to his position.
#ToriesOut241 #SunakOut132 #GeneralElectionNow
#EnoughIsEnough
The conversation between the then health secretary and Mr Case took place on Oct 30 2020, as the Government was expanding its testing capability.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 4
And now the Tories come out attacking Case - the pressure is building
Hilarious when you think of
- Partygate
- Richard Sharp
and other things Case has been involved in
#ToriesOut240 #SunakOut131
telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/03/0…
Tories accuse Simon Case of left-wing bias over Covid rules
Cabinet Secretary’s comments revealed in leaked WhatsApp messages lead to claims that he overstepped the mark of Civil Service impartiality
Britain’s top civil servant has been accused of left-wing bias by senior Tories after he dismissed concerns about Covid rules as “pure Conservative ideology”.

Simon Case is facing questions over his political impartiality and conduct during the pandemic,
Read 7 tweets
Mar 4
This just goes to show that the Tories are totally unable to get a story straight
In this article Dan Hodges throws his few pennies in
This headline relates to late Dec
#ToriesOut240 #SunakOut131 #GeneralElectionN0W
- Yesterday she was an agent of Labour in early 2022 when undertaking the Sue Gray report
- Yet yesterday it was reported Badenoch wanted to promote her and Case blocked the appointment and Sunak failed to intervene and that was February
It would be useful if the Tories could at least give one consistent version of events
Then in the article the usual fantasy and conspiracy is invested - she has been leaking information......
No concern it seems when Badenoch wanted to promote her
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(